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Predicting Arctic sea ice extent is a notoriously difficult forecasting problem, even for lead times as short as one month. Motivated by Arctic intraannual variability phenomena such as reemergence of sea surface temperature and sea ice…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2018-10-17 Darin Comeau , Dimitrios Giannakis , Zhizhen Zhao , Andrew J. Majda

Increased research interest and economic activity in the Arctic raise the need for new observations of sea ice dynamics. Remote sensing as well as mathematical and numerical models of wave propagation in sea ice would benefit from more in…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2021-11-22 Trygve K. Løken , Jean Rabault , Atle Jensen , Graig Sutherland , Kai H. Christensen , Malte Müller

Understanding how sea ice melts is critical to climate projections. In the Arctic, melt ponds that develop on the surface of sea ice floes during the late spring and summer largely determine their albedo -- a key parameter in climate…

Pattern Formation and Solitons · Physics 2017-11-28 Ivan Sudakov , Sergey A. Vakulenko , Kenneth M. Golden

Ocean surface waves can propagate long distances through regions containing floating ice covers. The impacts ocean waves have on the ice covers are of interest in the climate change era, as the polar regions experience pressure from rising…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2025-05-27 Luke G Bennetts

Two drifting wave buoys were deployed in the central Arctic Ocean, north of the Laptev Sea, where there are historically no wave observations available. An experimental wave buoy was deployed alongside a commercial buoy. The inter-buoy…

As climate change continues to reshape marginal ice zones in the Arctic, accurate and reliable sea ice data are critical for ensuring maritime safety. This study compares regional ice charts from the Alaska Sea Ice Program with satellite…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2025-12-15 Grant Peel , Ersegun Deniz Gedikli

Sunlight radiation under snow-covered sea ice obtained from remote sensing could help assess under-ice primary production at pan-Arctic scale. Yet, the current remote sensing methods to estimate sunlight transmittance under sea ice is…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2026-01-13 Christophe Perron , Bastian Raulier , Philippe Massicotte , Martin Vancoppenolle , Marcel Babin

Sea ice is a crucial component of the Earth's climate system and is highly sensitive to changes in temperature and atmospheric conditions. Accurate and timely measurement of sea ice parameters is important for understanding and predicting…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2023-06-14 Nicolae-Catalin Ristea , Andrei Anghel , Mihai Datcu

Sea ice mechanical properties are involved in dynamical processes acting from the scale of meters to several hundred kilometers. The current rapid changes in the state of polar sea ice require a better understanding and modeling of these…

Significant salinity anomalies have been observed in the Arctic Ocean surface layer during the last decade. Using gridded data of winter salinity in the upper 50 m layer of the Arctic Ocean for the period 1950-1993 and 2007-2012, we…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2014-09-09 Ekaterina A. Chernyavskaya , Ivan Sudakov , Kenneth M. Golden , Leonid A. Timokhov

Perhaps the most iconic feature of melting Arctic sea ice is the formation of distinctive, complex ponds on its surface during late spring. The evolution of melt ponds and their geometrical characteristics determines the albedo of sea ice,…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2017-08-11 Yi-Ping Ma , Ivan Sudakov , Courtenay Strong , Kenneth M. Golden

The persistent lack of spatially complete Antarctic sea ice thickness (SIT) data at sub-monthly resolution has fundamentally constrained the quantitative understanding of large-scale sea ice mass balance processes. In this study, a…

Geophysics · Physics 2025-05-13 Ziqi Ma , Qinghua Yang , Yue Xu , Wen Shi , Xiaoran Dong , Qian Shi , Hao Luo , Jiping Liu , Petteri Uotila , Yafei Nie

The Arctic has warmed dramatically compared to the global average over the last few decades. During this same period, there have been strong cooling trends observed in the wintertime, near-surface air temperature over central Eurasia, a…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2019-11-20 Stephen Outten , Richard Davy , Linling Chen

The phase transition between water and ice is ubiquitous and one of the most important phenomena in nature. Here, we performed time-resolved x-ray scattering experiments capturing the melting and recrystallization dynamics of ice. The…

As Arctic conditions rapidly change, human activity in the Arctic will continue to increase and so will the need for high-resolution observations of sea ice. While satellite imagery can provide high spatial resolution, it is temporally…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2019-06-03 M. D. Parno , B. A. West , A. J. Song , T. S. Hodgdon , D. T. O'Connor

Snow cover plays a critical yet often underrepresented role in shaping the thermodynamic behavior of Antarctic sea ice. In this study, we investigate the seasonal variability of snow distribution and its impact on surface albedo and energy…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2025-07-16 Ippolita Tersigni , Filippo Nelli , Emiliano Cimoli , Petra Heil , Luke Bennetts , Giulio Passerotti , Alessandro Toffoli

Waves can drastically transform a sea ice cover by inducing break-up over vast distances in the course of a few hours. However, relatively few detailed studies have described this phenomenon in a quantitative manner, and the process of sea…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2020-12-01 J. J. Voermans , J. Rabault , K. Filchuk , I. Ryzhov , P. Heil , A. Marchenko , C. Collins , M. Dabboor , G. Sutherland , A. V. Babanin

In this paper, we analyze the sea surface temperature obtained from the global drifter program. The experimental Fourier power spectrum shows a two-decade power-law behavior as $E_{\theta}(f)\propto f^{-7/3}$ in the frequency domain.…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2019-05-08 Yongxiang Huang , Lipo Wang

This paper presents the first estimate of the seasonal cycle of ocean and sea ice net heat and freshwater (FW) fluxes around the boundary of the Arctic Ocean. The ocean transports are estimated primarily using 138 moored instruments…

We propose a reduced-form benchmark predictive model (BPM) for fixed-target forecasting of Arctic sea ice extent, and we provide a case study of its real-time performance for target date September 2020. We visually detail the evolution of…

Econometrics · Economics 2022-01-04 Francis X. Diebold , Maximilian Gobel