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Abrupt and irreversible winter Arctic sea-ice loss may occur under anthropogenic warming due to the collapse of a sea-ice equilibrium at a threshold value of CO$_2$, commonly referred to as a tipping point. Previous work has been unable to…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2022-12-21 Camille Hankel , Eli Tziperman

In an effort to understand the dynamics of the Arctic sea-ice edge, we present a simple model of heat and mass transfer in the Fram Strait that reveals some fundamental mechanisms controlling sea-ice extent in the marginal seas and the…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2017-12-21 Sahil Agarwal , M. Grae Worster

The variation in the Arctic sea ice is dominated by the seasonal cycle with little inter-annual correlation. Though the mean sea ice area has decreased steadily in the period of satellite observations, a dramatic transition in the dynamics…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2012-09-20 Peter D. Ditlevsen

Sea ice breaks up and regenerates rapidly during winter conditions in the Arctic. Analyzing satellite data from the Kara Sea, we find that the average ice floe size depends on weather conditions. Nevertheless, the frequency of floes of size…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-10 R. Korsnes , S. R. Souza , R. Donangelo , R. Donangelo , M. Paczuski , K. Sneppen

Sea-Ice drift affects various global processes including the air-sea-ice energy system, numerical ocean modelling, and maritime activity in the polar regions. Drift has been investigated via various technologies ranging from satellite based…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-07-21 James H. Hepworth , Amit Kumar Mishra

Freshwater forcing from a retreating Antarctic Ice Sheet could have a wide range of impacts on future global climate. Here, we report on multi-century (present-2250) climate simulations performed using a fully coupled numerical model…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2020-05-21 Shaina Rogstad , Alan Condron , Robert DeConto , David Pollard

Monitoring the dynamics of global land-ocean cover is fundamental for regulating the Earth's climate and sustaining terrestrial and marine ecosystems. However, existing datasets and research often exhibit limitations in temporal resolution…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2026-04-08 Lixing Wang , Tao Li , Xinyu Dou , Zhu Liu

Liquid-water oceans likely underlie the ice shells of Europa and Enceladus, but ocean properties are challenging to measure due to the overlying ice. Here, we consider gravity-driven flow of the ice shells of icy satellites and relate this…

Earth and Planetary Astrophysics · Physics 2024-10-10 Nicole C. Shibley , Ching-Yao Lai , Riley Culberg

A controlling factor in the seasonal and climatological evolution of the sea ice cover is its albedo $\alpha$. Here we analyze Arctic data from the Advanced Very High Resolution Radiometer (AVHRR) Polar Pathfinder and assess the seasonality…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2011-10-31 S. Agarwal , W. Moon , J. S. Wettlaufer

The extent to which the ongoing decline in Arctic sea ice affects mid-latitude climate has received great attention and polarised opinions. The basic issue is whether the inter-annual variability in Arctic sea ice is the cause of, or the…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2019-11-26 Giuseppe Zappa , Theodore G. Shepherd , Paulo Ceppi

Arctic sea ice extent has drawn increasing interest and alarm from geoscientists, owing to its rapid decline. In this article, we propose a Bayesian spatio-temporal hierarchical statistical model for binary Arctic sea ice data over two…

Applications · Statistics 2020-03-17 Bohai Zhang , Noel Cressie

A model-data inversion is applied to a very large observational dataset collected in the Southern Ocean north of the Ross Sea during late autumn to early winter, producing estimates of the frequency-dependent rate of dissipation by sea ice.…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2020-06-16 W. Erick Rogers , Michael H. Meylan , Alison L. Kohout

The downward trend in Arctic sea ice extent is one of the most dramatic signals of climate change during recent decades. Comprehensive climate models have struggled to reproduce this, typically simulating a slower rate of sea ice retreat…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2016-12-21 Erica Rosenblum , Ian Eisenman

Arctic sea ice plays an important role in the global climate. Sea ice models governed by physical equations have been used to simulate the state of the ice including characteristics such as ice thickness, concentration, and motion. More…

The sea-ice cover of the Arctic Ocean is an important element of the climate and ocean system in the Northern Hemisphere as it impacts albedo, atmospheric pressure regimes, CO2-exchange at the ocean/atmosphere interface as well as the North…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2021-02-09 Claude Hillaire-Marcel , Anne de Vernal , Michel Crucifix

The reduction in sea ice cover with Arctic warming facilitates the transit of ships through routes that are remarkably shorter than the traditional shipping routes. Automatic Identification System (AIS), ideally designed to avoid vessel…

Physics and Society · Physics 2024-07-04 Jorge P. Rodríguez , Konstantin Klemm , Carlos M. Duarte , Víctor M. Eguíluz

The presence of salt in ocean water strongly affects the melt rate and the shape evolution of ice, both of utmost relevance in geophysical and ocean flow and thus for the climate. To get a better quantitative understanding of the physical…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2023-02-07 Rui Yang , Christopher J. Howland , Hao-Ran Liu , Roberto Verzicco , Detlef Lohse

Quantifying kinetic energy (KE) and enstrophy transfer, mixing, and dissipation in the Arctic Ocean is key to understanding polar ocean dynamics, which are critical components of the global climate system. However, in ice-covered regions,…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2025-09-29 Minki Kim , Georgy E. Manucharyan , Michelle H. DiBenedetto , Ellen M. Buckley , Daniel M. Watkins , Monica M. Wilhelmus

By arguing that the surface pressure field over the Arctic Ocean can be treated as an isotropic, stationary, homogeneous, Gaussian random field, Thorndike estimated a number of covariance functions from two years of data (1979 and 1980).…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2017-06-28 Sahil Agarwal , John S. Wettlaufer

Microwave emissivity models of sea ice are poorly validated empirically. Typical validation studies involve using averaged or stereotyped profiles of ice parameters against averaged radiance measurements. Measurement sites are rarely…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2012-08-10 Peter Mills