Related papers: The random matrix hard edge: rare events and a tra…

Extreme events are by nature rare and difficult to predict, yet are often much more important than frequent, typical events. An interesting counterpoint to the prediction of such events is their retrodiction -- given a process in an outlier…

We prove a central limit type theorem for critical marked Hawkes processes. We study the case where the marks are i.i.d. with nonnegative values and their common distribution is either heavy tailed or has finite variance. The kernel…

A famous result going back to Eric Kostlan states that the moduli of the eigenvalues of random normal matrices with radial potential are independent yet non identically distributed. This phenomenon is at the heart of the asymptotic analysis…

In this paper, we study rare events in spherical and Gaussian random geometric graphs in high dimensions. In these models, the vertices correspond to points sampled uniformly at random on the $d$ dimensional unit sphere or correspond to $d$…

We study largest singular values of large random matrices, each with mean of a fixed rank $K$. Our main result is a limit theorem as the number of rows and columns approach infinity, while their ratio approaches a positive constant. It…

We prove limit theorems of an entirely new type for certain long memory regularly varying stationary infinitely divisible random processes. These theorems involve multiple phase transitions governed by how long the memory is. Apart from one…

In this note we study a natural measure on plane partitions giving rise to a certain discrete-time Muttalib-Borodin process (MBP): each time-slice is a discrete version of a Muttalib-Borodin ensemble (MBE). The process is determinantal with…

Let $I$ be an independent set drawn from the discrete $d$-dimensional hypercube $Q_d=\{0,1\}^d$ according to the hard-core distribution with parameter $\lambda>0$ (that is, the distribution in which each independent set $I$ is chosen with…

The object of study is a soft random geometric graph with vertices given by a Poisson point process on a line and edges between vertices present with probability that has a polynomial decay in the distance between them. Various aspects of…

We study rare-event simulation for a class of problems where the target hitting sets of interest are defined via modern machine learning tools such as neural networks and random forests. This problem is motivated from fast emerging studies…

We look at the eigenvalues of the complex Ginibre Ensemble of random matrices consisting of $N$ eigenvalues. We study the event that for $ {c \in [0,1]}$, $\lfloor cN \rfloor$ of the eigenvalues are located outside of a disk of radius $ R…

We show that the limiting minimal eigenvalue distributions for a natural generalization of Gaussian sample-covariance structures (the "beta ensembles") are described by the spectrum of a random diffusion generator. By a Riccati…

In this article, we study linearly edge-reinforced random walk on general multi-level ladders for large initial edge weights. For infinite ladders, we show that the process can be represented as a random walk in a random environment, given…

We study the large deviation estimates for the short time asymptotic behavior of a strongly degenerate diffusion process. Assuming a nilpotent structure of the Lie algebra generated by the driving vector fields, we obtain a graded large…

We use point processes theory to describe the asymptotic distribution of all upper order statistics for observations collected at renewal times. As a corollary, we obtain limiting theorems for corresponding extremal processes.

We study the asymptotic behavior of short cycles of random permutations with cycle weights. More specifically, on a specially constructed metric space whose elements encode all possible cycles, we consider a point process containing all…

For parameters $n,\delta,B,$ and $C$, let $X=(X_{k\ell})$ be the random uniform contingency table whose first $\lfloor n^{\delta} \rfloor $ rows and columns have margin $\lfloor BCn \rfloor$ and the last $n$ rows and columns have margin…

Inter-relations between random matrix ensembles with different symmetry types provide inter-relations between generating functions for the gap probabilites at the spectrum edge. Combining these in the scaled limit with the exact evaluation…

We consider the edge-triangle model, a two-parameter family of exponential random graphs in which dependence between edges is introduced through triangles. In the so-called replica symmetric regime, the limiting free energy exists together…

The boundary modified contact process models an epidemic spreading in one dimension with two infection parameters, $\lambda_i$ and $\lambda_e$. Starting from a finite infected set, each edge of $\mathbb{Z}$ transmits the infection at rate…