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We explore extreme value phenomena in spatial scale-free random graphs in a continuum setting based on a homogeneous Poisson point process in $\mathbb{R}^d$. Vertices carry i.i.d. weights $(W_x)$ and, conditionally on the vertex set and the…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-02-17 Arnaud Rousselle , Ercan Sönmez

The extreme event statistics plays a very important role in the theory and practice of time series analysis. The reassembly of classical theoretical results is often undermined by non-stationarity and dependence between increments.…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2015-05-28 Mauro Politi , Nicolas Millot , Anirban Chakraborti

In this paper, we study a class of self-exciting point processes. The intensity of the point process has a nonlinear dependence on the past history and time. When a new jump occurs, the intensity increases and we expect more jumps to come.…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-12-12 Tzu-Wei Yang , Lingjiong Zhu

Inspired by a recent paper of I. Grama, E. Le Page and M. Peign\'e, we consider a sequence $(g_n)_{n \geq 1}$ of i.i.d. random $d\times d$-matrices with non-negative entries and study the fluctuations of the process $(\log \vert g_n\cdots…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-06-19 C. Pham

We consider regular variation for marked point processes with independent heavy-tailed marks and prove a single large point heuristic: the limit measure is concentrated on the cone of point measures with one single point. We then…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-02-15 Clément Dombry , Charles Tillier , Olivier Wintenberger

Covariances and variances of linear statistics of a point process can be written as integrals over the truncated two-point correlation function. When the point process consists of the eigenvalues of a random matrix ensemble, there are often…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2022-05-04 Peter J. Forrester

We present a new method for estimating the edge of a two-dimensional bounded set, given a finite random set of points drawn from the interior. The estimator is based both on Haar series and extreme values of the point process. We give…

Methodology · Statistics 2011-03-31 Stéphane Girard , Pierre Jacob

The number of peaks of a random permutation is known to be asymptotically normal. We give a new proof of this and prove a central limit theorem for the distribution of peaks in a fixed conjugacy class of the symmetric group. Our technique…

Combinatorics · Mathematics 2019-02-05 Jason Fulman , Gene B. Kim , Sangchul Lee

For any family of $N\times N$ random matrices $(\mathbf{A}_k)_{k\in K}$ which is invariant, in law, under unitary conjugation, we give general sufficient conditions for central limit theorems for random variables of the type…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-03-01 Florent Benaych-Georges , Guillaume Cébron , Jean Rochet

The purpose of this paper is to study the limiting distribution of special {\it additive functionals} on random planar maps, namely the number of occurrences of a given {\it pattern}. The main result is a central limit theorem for these…

Combinatorics · Mathematics 2024-06-11 Michael Drmota , Eva-Maria Hainzl , Nick Wormald

Our interest is in the cumulative probabilities Pr(L(t) \le l) for the maximum length of increasing subsequences in Poissonized ensembles of random permutations, random fixed point free involutions and reversed random fixed point free…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2009-11-07 Alexei Borodin , Peter J. Forrester

We investigate the almost sure asymptotic properties of vector martingale transforms. Assuming some appropriate regularity conditions both on the increasing process and on the moments of the martingale, we prove that normalized moments of…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-12-05 Bernard Bercu , Peggy Cénac , Guy Fayolle

We introduce the concept of matrix liberation process, a random matrix counterpart of the liberation process in free probability, and prove a large deviation upper bound for its empirical distribution with several properties on its rate…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-05-21 Yoshimichi Ueda

We study sufficient conditions for the belonging of random process to certain Besov space and for the Central Limit Theorem (CLT) in these spaces. We investigate also the non-asymptotic tail behavior of normed sums of centered random…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-07-03 E. Ostrovsky , L. Sirota

We consider empirical multi-dimensional Rare Events Point Processes that keep track both of the time occurrence of extremal observations and of their severity, for stochastic processes arising from a dynamical system, by evaluating a given…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2017-09-19 Ana Cristina Moreira Freitas , Jorge Milhazes Freitas , Mário Magalhães

We consider random permutation matrices following a one-parameter family of deformations of the uniform distribution, called Ewens' measures, and modifications of these matrices where the entries equal to one are replaced by i.i.d uniform…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-03-12 Valentin Bahier

We consider a two-dimensional point process whose points are separated into two disjoint components by a hard wall, and study the multivariate moment generating function of the corresponding disk counting statistics. We investigate the…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2022-10-26 Yacin Ameur , Christophe Charlier , Joakim Cronvall , Jonatan Lenells

We study the random binary contingency tables with non-uniform margin. More precisely, for parameters $n,\delta,B,C$, we consider $X=(X_{ij})$ with $X_{ij}\in \lbrace 0,1\rbrace$, the random binary contingency tables whose first…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-09-19 Da Wu

Extreme events can come either from point processes, when the size or energy of the events is above a certain threshold, or from time series, when the intensity of a signal surpasses a threshold value. We are particularly concerned by the…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2017-07-26 Alvaro Corral

The asymptotic behavior, as $n\rightarrow \infty $ of the probability of the event that a decomposable critical branching process $\mathbf{Z}(m)=(Z_{1}(m),...,Z_{N}(m)),$ $m=0,1,2,...,$ with $N$ types of particles dies at moment $n$ is…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-04-21 Vladimir Vatutin , Elena Dyakonova
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