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In the last few decades, Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) methods have been widely applied to Bayesian updating of structural dynamic models in the field of structural health monitoring. Recently, several MCMC algorithms have been developed…

Applications · Statistics 2026-04-29 Xianghao Meng , James L. Beck , Yong Huang , Hui Li

The advances in materials and biological sciences have necessitated the use of molecular simulations to study polymers. The Markov chain Monte Carlo simulations enable the sampling of relevant microstates of polymeric systems by traversing…

Soft Condensed Matter · Physics 2023-07-24 Monika Angwani , Tushar Mahendrakar , Kaustubh Rane

An efficient Monte Carlo algorithm for the simulation of spin models with long-range interactions is discussed. Its central feature is that the number of operations required to flip a spin is independent of the number of interactions…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2007-05-23 Erik Luijten

We design and implement a novel algorithm for computing a multilevel Monte Carlo (MLMC) estimator of the cumulative distribution function of a quantity of interest in problems with random input parameters or initial conditions. Our approach…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2020-08-26 Søren Taverniers , Daniel M. Tartakovsky

In the stochastic gradient descent (SGD) for sequential simulations such as the neural stochastic differential equations, the Multilevel Monte Carlo (MLMC) method is known to offer better theoretical computational complexity compared to the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-10-11 Kei Ishikawa

We propose an efficient method for Monte Carlo simulation of quantum lattice models. Unlike most other quantum Monte Carlo methods, a single run of the proposed method yields the free energy and the entropy with high precision for the whole…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-10 Chiaki Yamaguchi , Naoki Kawashima , Yutaka Okabe

The self-learning Metropolis-Hastings algorithm is a powerful Monte Carlo method that, with the help of machine learning, adaptively generates an easy-to-sample probability distribution for approximating a given hard-to-sample distribution.…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2021-01-04 Katsuhiro Endo , Taichi Nakamura , Keisuke Fujii , Naoki Yamamoto

Sequential Monte Carlo (SMC) methods are not only a popular tool in the analysis of state space models, but offer an alternative to MCMC in situations where Bayesian inference must proceed via simulation. This paper introduces a new SMC…

Computation · Statistics 2010-05-11 Paul Fearnhead , Benjamin M. Taylor

Advanced algorithms are necessary to obtain faster-than-real-time dynamic simulations in a number of different physical problems that are characterized by widely disparate time scales. Recent advanced dynamic Monte Carlo algorithms that…

Materials Science · Physics 2016-11-23 M. A. Novotny

Stochastic gradient Markov chain Monte Carlo (SG-MCMC) has become increasingly popular for simulating posterior samples in large-scale Bayesian modeling. However, existing SG-MCMC schemes are not tailored to any specific probabilistic…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-06-13 Wenbo Gong , Yingzhen Li , José Miguel Hernández-Lobato

Being the most classical generative model for serial data, state-space models (SSM) are fundamental in AI and statistical machine learning. In SSM, any form of parameter learning or latent state inference typically involves the computation…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-07-04 Alessandro Mastrototaro , Jimmy Olsson

Markov chain Monte Carlo is an inherently serial algorithm. Although likelihood calculations for individual steps can sometimes be parallelized, the serial evolution of the process is widely viewed as incompatible with parallelization,…

Computation · Statistics 2013-12-31 Douglas N. VanDerwerken , Scott C. Schmidler

In this paper the application of the multi-level Monte Carlo (MLMC) method on numerical simulations of turbulent flows with uncertain parameters is investigated. Several strategies for setting up the MLMC method are presented, and the…

Computation · Statistics 2016-08-22 Qingsha Chen , Ju Ming

In this paper we present a new approach to control variates for improving computational efficiency of Ensemble Monte Carlo. We present the approach using simulation of paths of a time-dependent nonlinear stochastic equation. The core idea…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2008-09-25 T. Borogovac , F. J. Alexander , P. Vakili

We show how to speed up Sequential Monte Carlo (SMC) for Bayesian inference in large data problems by data subsampling. SMC sequentially updates a cloud of particles through a sequence of distributions, beginning with a distribution that is…

Computation · Statistics 2020-03-25 David Gunawan , Khue-Dung Dang , Matias Quiroz , Robert Kohn , Minh-Ngoc Tran

Computing systems interacting with real-world processes must safely and reliably process uncertain data. The Monte Carlo method is a popular approach for computing with such uncertain values. This article introduces a framework for…

We explain in detail how to estimate mean values and assess statistical errors for arbitrary functions of elementary observables in Monte Carlo simulations. The method is to estimate and sum the relevant autocorrelation functions, which is…

High Energy Physics - Lattice · Physics 2009-09-29 Ulli Wolff

Determinant quantum Monte Carlo (DQMC) is a widely used unbiased numerical method for simulating strongly correlated electron systems. However, the update process in DQMC is often a bottleneck for its efficiency. To address this issue, we…

Strongly Correlated Electrons · Physics 2025-06-06 Fanjie Sun , Xiao Yan Xu

We describe an embarrassingly parallel, anytime Monte Carlo method for likelihood-free models. The algorithm starts with the view that the stochasticity of the pseudo-samples generated by the simulator can be controlled externally by a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2015-12-03 Edward Meeds , Max Welling

Monte Carlo methods play important part in modern statistical physics. The application of these methods suffer from two main difficulties.The first is caused by the relatively small number of particles that can participate in any numerical…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2007-05-23 A. Brandt , V. Ilyin