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Multilevel Monte Carlo (MLMC) is a flexible and effective variance reduction technique for accelerating reliability assessments of complex power system. Recently, data-driven surrogate models have been proposed as lower-level models in the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-07-31 Ruiqi Zhang , Simon H. Tindemans

Sequential Monte Carlo (SMC) methods are a class of Monte Carlo methods that are used to obtain random samples of a high dimensional random variable in a sequential fashion. Many problems encountered in applications often involve different…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-12-20 Chencheng Cai , Rong Chen , Ming Lin

In dynamic Monte Carlo simulations, using for example the Metropolis dynamic, it is often required to simulate for long times and to simulate large systems. We present an overview of advanced algorithms to simulate for larger times and to…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2007-05-23 M. A. Novotny , Alice K. Kolakowska , G. Korniss

Sequential Monte Carlo (SMC) is a class of algorithms that approximate high-dimensional expectations of a Markov chain. SMC algorithms typically include a resampling step. There are many possible ways to resample, but the relative…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2019-04-01 Robert J. Webber

This paper concerns the use of sequential Monte Carlo methods (SMC) for smoothing in general state space models. A well-known problem when applying the standard SMC technique in the smoothing mode is that the resampling mechanism introduces…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2008-03-06 Jimmy Olsson , Olivier Cappé , Randal Douc , Eric Moulines

Augmenting the multi-step reasoning abilities of Large Language Models (LLMs) has been a persistent challenge. Recently, verification has shown promise in improving solution consistency by evaluating generated outputs. However, current…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-03-04 Shengyu Feng , Xiang Kong , Shuang Ma , Aonan Zhang , Dong Yin , Chong Wang , Ruoming Pang , Yiming Yang

The kinetic Monte Carlo (kMC) method is used in many scientific fields in applications involving rare-event transitions. Due to its discrete stochastic nature, efforts to parallelize kMC approaches often produce unbalanced time evolutions…

Computational Physics · Physics 2017-01-04 Jerome P. Nilmeier , Jaime Marian

Monte Carlo sampling is a powerful toolbox of algorithmic techniques widely used for a number of applications wherein some noisy quantity, or summary statistic thereof, is sought to be estimated. In this paper, we survey the literature for…

While generally considered computationally expensive, Uncertainty Quantification using Monte Carlo sampling remains beneficial for applications with uncertainties of high dimension. As an extension of the naive Monte Carlo method, the…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2026-01-06 Robert Hahn , Sebastian Schöps

Monte Carlo (MC) simulations are essential computational approaches with widespread use throughout all areas of science. We present a method for accelerating lattice MC simulations using fully connected and convolutional artificial neural…

Strongly Correlated Electrons · Physics 2019-07-31 Shaozhi Li , Philip M. Dee , Ehsan Khatami , Steven Johnston

We build on auto-encoding sequential Monte Carlo (AESMC): a method for model and proposal learning based on maximizing the lower bound to the log marginal likelihood in a broad family of structured probabilistic models. Our approach relies…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-04-06 Tuan Anh Le , Maximilian Igl , Tom Rainforth , Tom Jin , Frank Wood

We consider the problem of estimating the probability of a large loss from a financial portfolio, where the future loss is expressed as a conditional expectation. Since the conditional expectation is intractable in most cases, one may…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2020-11-25 Zhenghang Xu , Zhijian He , Xiaoqun Wang

Monte Carlo simulations of quantum field theories on a lattice become increasingly expensive as the continuum limit is approached since the cost per independent sample grows with a high power of the inverse lattice spacing. Simulations on…

High Energy Physics - Lattice · Physics 2021-01-04 Karl Jansen , Eike Hermann Müller , Robert Scheichl

We present an algorithmic framework for a variant of the quantum Monte Carlo operator-loop algorithm, where non-local cluster updates are constructed in a way that makes each individual loop smaller. The algorithm is designed to increase…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2016-09-08 Ying-Jer Kao , Roger G. Melko

Within ab initio Quantum Monte Carlo simulations, the leading numerical cost for large systems is the computation of the values of the Slater determinants in the trial wavefunction. Each Monte Carlo step requires finding the determinant of…

Computational Physics · Physics 2017-11-22 T. McDaniel , E. F. D'Azevedo , Y. W. Li , K. Wong , P. R. C. Kent

We present a novel way of performing kinetic Monte Carlo simulations which does not require an {\it a priori} list of diffusion processes and their associated energetics and reaction rates. Rather, at any time during the simulation,…

Materials Science · Physics 2009-11-11 Oleg Trushin , Altaf Karim , Abdelkader Kara , Talat S. Rahman

We introduce a Hamiltonian Monte Carlo (HMC) methodology based on a randomized selection of integration times, referred to as eHMC, where "e" stands for empirical. The approach relies on an offline calibration phase that leverages…

Computation · Statistics 2026-05-25 Changye Wu , Pierre Pudlo , Christian P. Robert , Julien Stoehr

The standard kinetic Monte Carlo algorithm is an extremely efficient method to carry out serial simulations of dynamical processes such as thin-film growth. However, in some cases it is necessary to study systems over extended time and…

Materials Science · Physics 2007-05-23 Yunsic Shim , Jacques G. Amar

Monte Carlo simulations are widely used in many areas including particle accelerators. In this lecture, after a short introduction and reviewing of some statistical backgrounds, we will discuss methods such as direct inversion, rejection…

Computational Physics · Physics 2020-06-19 Ji Qiang

Despite their exceptional flexibility and popularity, the Monte Carlo methods often suffer from slow mixing times for challenging statistical physics problems. We present a general strategy to overcome this difficulty by adopting ideas and…

Computational Physics · Physics 2017-01-06 Li Huang , Lei Wang