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This chapter provides a overview of Bayesian inference, mostly emphasising that it is a universal method for summarising uncertainty and making estimates and predictions using probability statements conditional on observed data and an…

Methodology · Statistics 2010-02-11 Christian P. Robert , Jean-Michel Marin , Judith Rousseau

We aim to produce predictive models that are not only accurate, but are also interpretable to human experts. Our models are decision lists, which consist of a series of if...then... statements (e.g., if high blood pressure, then stroke)…

Applications · Statistics 2015-11-06 Benjamin Letham , Cynthia Rudin , Tyler H. McCormick , David Madigan

This is a non-standard paper, containing some problems, mainly in model theory, which I have, in various degrees, been interested in. Sometimes with a discussion on what I have to say; sometimes, of what makes them interesting to me,…

Logic · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Saharon Shelah

This paper concerns the robust regression model when the number of predictors and the number of observations grow in a similar rate. Theory for M-estimators in this regime has been recently developed by several authors [El Karoui et al.,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-04-06 Daniel Nevo , Ya'acov Ritov

The use of Bayesian information criterion (BIC) in the model selection procedure is under the assumption that the observations are independent and identically distributed (i.i.d.). However, in practice, we do not always have i.i.d. samples.…

Applications · Statistics 2021-05-03 Nan Shen , Bárbara González

Bayesian networks are now being used in enormous fields, for example, diagnosis of a system, data mining, clustering and so on. In spite of their wide range of applications, the statistical properties have not yet been clarified, because…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2012-12-12 Keisuke Yamazaki , Sumio Watanbe

Contribution to the discussion of the paper "Causal inference using invariant prediction: identification and confidence intervals" by Peters, B\"uhlmann and Meinshausen, to appear in the Journal of the Royal Statistical Society, Series B.

Methodology · Statistics 2016-05-27 Chris J. Oates , Jessica Kasza , Sach Mukherjee

ReRecent studies in machine learning are based on models in which parameters or state variables are bounded restricted. These restrictions are from prior information to ensure the validity of scientific theories or structural consistency…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-01-26 Solmaz Seifollahi , Hossein Bevrani , Kristofer Mansson

Duda, Hart, and Nilsson have set forth a method for rule-based inference systems to use in updating the probabilities of hypotheses on the basis of multiple items of new evidence. Pednault, Zucker, and Muresan claimed to give conditions…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-04-15 Rodney W. Johnson

We apply the method of determinants to study the distribution of the largest singular values of large $ m \times n $ real rectangular random matrices with independent Cauchy entries. We show that statistical properties of the (rescaled by a…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-11-10 Alexander Soshnikov , Yan V. Fyodorov

The stochastic expansion of the marginal quasi-likelihood function associated with a class of generalized linear models is shown. Based on the expansion, a quasi-Bayesian information criterion is proposed that is able to deal with…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-04-19 Shoichi Eguchi

Bayesian approaches to data analysis and machine learning are widespread and popular as they provide intuitive yet rigorous axioms for learning from data; see Bernardo and Smith (2004) and Bishop (2006). However, this rigour comes with a…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-01-31 Chris Holmes , Stephen Walker

We examine Bayesian methods for learning Bayesian networks from a combination of prior knowledge and statistical data. In particular, we unify the approaches we presented at last year's conference for discrete and Gaussian domains. We…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2021-07-01 David Heckerman , Dan Geiger

Rejoinder of "Bayesian Models and Methods in Public Policy and Government Settings" by S. E. Fienberg [arXiv:1108.2177]

Methodology · Statistics 2011-08-22 Stephen E. Fienberg

The principle of peer review is central to the evaluation of research, by ensuring that only high-quality items are funded or published. But peer review has also received criticism, as the selection of reviewers may introduce biases in the…

Other Statistics · Statistics 2015-07-24 Olivier Francois

This article evaluates the determinants of two classes of special matrices, which are both from a number theory problem. Applications of the evaluated determinants can be found in [arXiv:math.NT/0509523]. Note that the two determinants are…

Number Theory · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Shujun Li

It is oftentimes impossible to understand how machine learning models reach a decision. While recent research has proposed various technical approaches to provide some clues as to how a learning model makes individual decisions, they cannot…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2017-05-25 Wenbo Guo , Kaixuan Zhang , Lin Lin , Sui Huang , Xinyu Xing

Singularities of a statistical model are the elements of the model's parameter space which make the corresponding Fisher information matrix degenerate. These are the points for which estimation techniques such as the maximum likelihood…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-07-25 Nhat Ho , XuanLong Nguyen

I begin my discussion by giving an overview of the main results. Then I proceed to touch upon issues about whether the credible ball constructed can be interpreted as a confidence ball, suggestions on reducing computational costs, and…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-06-29 William Weimin Yoo

The authors modify the Balazard-Saias criterion for the Riemann hypothesis by changing the cutoff of the Dirichlet series. They establish some asymptotic results related to the modified criterion.

Number Theory · Mathematics 2016-09-07 J. Brian Conrey , Gerald Myerson