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The Multilevel Monte Carlo method is an efficient variance reduction technique. It uses a sequence of coarse approximations to reduce the computational cost in uncertainty quantification applications. The method is nowadays often considered…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2018-06-15 Pieterjan Robbe , Dirk Nuyens , Stefan Vandewalle

We study the implicit regularization of gradient descent towards structured sparsity via a novel neural reparameterization, which we call a diagonally grouped linear neural network. We show the following intriguing property of our…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-01-31 Jiangyuan Li , Thanh V. Nguyen , Chinmay Hegde , Raymond K. W. Wong

Multivariate generalized Gamma convolutions are distributions defined by a convolutional semi-parametric structure. Their flexible dependence structures, the marginal possibilities and their useful convolutional expression make them…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-03-28 Oskar Laverny

Generalized linear models are widely used in many areas of knowledge. As in other classes of regression models, it is desirable to perform diagnostic analysis in generalized linear models using residuals that are approximately standard…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-11-01 Juliana Scudilio , Gustavo H. A. Pereira

Thanks to the reparameterization trick, deep latent Gaussian models have shown tremendous success recently in learning latent representations. The ability to couple them however with nonparamet-ric priors such as the Dirichlet Process (DP)…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-07-28 Amine Echraibi , Joachim Flocon-Cholet , Stéphane Gosselin , Sandrine Vaton

Many machine learning problems involve Monte Carlo gradient estimators. As a prominent example, we focus on Monte Carlo variational inference (MCVI) in this paper. The performance of MCVI crucially depends on the variance of its stochastic…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-07-05 Alexander Buchholz , Florian Wenzel , Stephan Mandt

Envelope models provide a sufficient dimension reduction framework for multivariate regression analysis. Bayesian inference for these models has been developed primarily using Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) methods. Specifically, Gibbs…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-03 Seunghyeon Kim , Kwangmin Lee , Yeonhee Park

This paper shows that gradient boosting based on symmetric decision trees can be equivalently reformulated as a kernel method that converges to the solution of a certain Kernel Ridge Regression problem. Thus, we obtain the convergence to a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-03-14 Aleksei Ustimenko , Artem Beliakov , Liudmila Prokhorenkova

We develop the idea of using Monte Carlo sampling of random portfolios to solve portfolio investment problems. In this first paper we explore the need for more general optimization tools, and consider the means by which constrained random…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2010-08-24 William T. Shaw

Variational approximations are increasingly based on gradient-based optimization of expectations estimated by sampling. Handling discrete latent variables is then challenging because the sampling process is not differentiable. Continuous…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-02-09 Tomasz Kuśmierczyk , Arto Klami

Deep latent variable models have become a popular model choice due to the scalable learning algorithms introduced by (Kingma & Welling, 2013; Rezende et al., 2014). These approaches maximize a variational lower bound on the intractable log…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-11-20 George Tucker , Dieterich Lawson , Shixiang Gu , Chris J. Maddison

In this paper, we develop Bayesian Hamiltonian Monte Carlo methods for inference in asymmetric GARCH models under different distributions for the error term. We implemented Zero-variance and Hamiltonian Monte Carlo schemes for parameter…

Computation · Statistics 2017-10-24 Rafael S. Paixão , Ricardo S. Ehlers

Generative diffusions are a powerful class of Monte Carlo samplers that leverage bridging Markov processes to approximate complex, high-dimensional distributions, such as those found in image processing and language models. Despite their…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-02-20 Zheng Zhao , Ziwei Luo , Jens Sjölund , Thomas B. Schön

The advantages of sequential Monte Carlo (SMC) are exploited to develop parameter estimation and model selection methods for GARCH (Generalized AutoRegressive Conditional Heteroskedasticity) style models. It provides an alternative method…

Applications · Statistics 2020-03-06 Dan Li , Adam Clements , Christopher Drovandi

Stochastic variational inference algorithms are derived for fitting various heteroskedastic time series models. We examine Gaussian, t, and skew-t response GARCH models and fit these using Gaussian variational approximating densities. We…

Computation · Statistics 2023-08-30 Hanwen Xuan , Luca Maestrini , Feng Chen , Clara Grazian

Several recent works have explored stochastic gradient methods for variational inference that exploit the geometry of the variational-parameter space. However, the theoretical properties of these methods are not well-understood and these…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-08-15 Mohammad Emtiyaz Khan , Reza Babanezhad , Wu Lin , Mark Schmidt , Masashi Sugiyama

It was recently shown that path integral Monte Carlo can be used to directly compute partition functions of Hamiltonians with vibronic coupling [J. Chem. Phys. 148, 194110 (2018)]. While the importance sampling Monte Carlo integration…

Chemical Physics · Physics 2019-12-30 Dmitri Iouchtchenko , Neil Raymond , Pierre-Nicholas Roy , Marcel Nooijen

Understanding generalization in reinforcement learning (RL) is a significant challenge, as many common assumptions of traditional supervised learning theory do not apply. We focus on the special class of reparameterizable RL problems, where…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-05-31 Huan Wang , Stephan Zheng , Caiming Xiong , Richard Socher

The generalized perturbative approach is an all purpose variant of Stein's method used to obtain rates of normal approximation. Originally developed for functions of independent random variables this method is here extended to functions of…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-10-12 Christian Houdré , George Kerchev

Uncertainty estimation in deep models is essential in many real-world applications and has benefited from developments over the last several years. Recent evidence suggests that existing solutions dependent on simple Gaussian formulations…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-05-11 Jurijs Nazarovs , Ronak R. Mehta , Vishnu Suresh Lokhande , Vikas Singh