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We discuss the nonlinear phenomena of irreversible tipping for non-autonomous systems where time-varying inputs correspond to a smooth "parameter shift" from one asymptotic value to another. We express tipping in terms of pullback…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2018-04-24 Peter Ashwin , Clare Perryman , Sebastian Wieczorek

We consider a model for substrate-depletion oscillations in genetic systems, based on a stochastic differential equation with a slowly evolving external signal. We show the existence of critical transitions in the system. We apply two…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2014-03-13 Jesse Berwald , Marian Gidea

Tipping elements in the Earth System receive increased scientific attention over the recent years due to their nonlinear behavior and the risks of abrupt state changes. While being stable over a large range of parameters, a tipping element…

Physics and Society · Physics 2023-10-25 Jan Kohler , Nico Wunderling , Jonathan F. Donges , Jürgen Vollmer

Approaching a dangerous bifurcation, from which a dynamical system such as the Earth's climate will jump (tip) to a different state, the current stable state lies within a shrinking basin of attraction. Persistence of the state becomes…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2015-08-11 Jan Sieber , J. Michael T. Thompson

In clean and weakly disordered systems, topological and trivial phases having a finite bulk energy gap can transit to each other via a quantum critical point. In presence of strong disorder, both the nature of the phases and the associated…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2025-06-26 Saikat Mondal , Adhip Agarwala

Critical transitions, ubiquitous in nature and technology, necessitate anticipation to avert adverse outcomes. While many studies focus on bifurcation-induced tipping, where a control parameter change leads to destabilization, alternative…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2026-03-03 Martin Heßler , Oliver Kamps

Tipping points (TP) are abrupt transitions between metastable states in complex systems, most often described by a bifurcation or crisis of a multistable system induced by a slowly changing control parameter. An avenue for predicting TPs in…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2025-11-07 Johannes Lohmann , Georg A. Gottwald

We study circle maps with a flat interval where the critical exponents at the two boundary points of the flat spot might be different. The space of such systems is partitioned in two connected parts whose common boundary only depends on the…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2019-07-26 Liviana Palmisano , Bertuel Tangue

A wide variety of physical systems ranging from the firing of neurons to eutrophication of lakes to the presence of Arctic summer sea ice exhibit a phenomenon known as tipping. In mathematical models, tipping can be caused by bifurcations,…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2018-03-14 Alanna Hoyer-Leitzel , Alice Nadeau , Andrew Roberts , Andrew Steyer

A variation in the environment of a system, such as the temperature, the concentration of a chemical solution or the appearance of a magnetic field, may lead to a drift in one of the parameters. If the parameter crosses a bifurcation point,…

Adaptation and Self-Organizing Systems · Physics 2023-08-16 Julia Cantisán , Serhiy Yanchuk , Jesús M. Seoane , Miguel A. F. Sanjuán , Jürgen Kurths

Recent work has highlighted the utility of methods for early warning signal detection in dynamic systems approaching critical tipping thresholds. Often these tipping points resemble local bifurcations, whose low dimensional dynamics can…

Computational Physics · Physics 2024-08-08 Daniel Dylewsky , Madhur Anand , Chris T. Bauch

Tipping points characterize situations where a regulated system may experience a sudden and irreversible change and are generally associated with a random state of the system below which the change materializes. In this paper, we study a…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-02-25 Jean-Paul Décamps , Fabien Gensbittel , Thomas Mariotti , Stéphane Villeneuve

We consider stochastic electro-mechanical dynamics of an overdamped power system in the vicinity of the saddle-node bifurcation associated with the loss of global stability such as voltage collapse or phase angle instability. Fluctuations…

Physics and Society · Physics 2016-11-18 Dmitry Podolsky , Konstantin Turitsyn

Many climate subsystems are thought to be susceptible to tipping - and some might be close to a tipping point. The general belief and intuition, based on simple conceptual models of tipping elements, is that tipping leads to reorganization…

Pattern Formation and Solitons · Physics 2021-12-01 Robbin Bastiaansen , Henk A. Dijkstra , Anna S. von der Heydt

We study Hopfield networks with non-reciprocal coupling inducing switches between memory patterns. Dynamical phase transitions occur between phases of no memory retrieval, retrieval of multiple point-attractors, and limit-cycle attractors.…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2025-10-21 Shuyue Xue , Mohammad Maghrebi , George I. Mias , Carlo Piermarocchi

Abrupt transitions are a central concern in climate and ecological research, and may arise when critical thresholds known as tipping points are crossed. However, previous work has shown that finite-time overshoots of tipping points can be…

Critical transitions, or large changes in the state of a system after a small change in the system's external conditions or parameters, commonly occur in a wide variety of disciplines, from the biological and social sciences to physics.…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2021-10-26 George I. Hagstrom , Simon A. Levin

A function with finite asymptotic limits gives rise to a transition equation between a "past system" and a "future system". This question is analyzed in the case of nonautonomous coercive nonlinear scalar ordinary differential equations…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2023-10-11 Jesús Dueñas , Carmen Núñez , Rafael Obaya

With rising global temperatures Earth's tipping elements are becoming increasingly more vulnerable to crossing their critical thresholds. The reaching of such tipping points does not only impact other tipping elements through their…

Adaptation and Self-Organizing Systems · Physics 2025-05-08 Tom Bdolach , Jürgen Kurths , Serhiy Yanchuk

The structural properties of an economical model for a confined plasma turbulence governor are investigated through bifurcation and stability analyses. A close relationship is demonstrated between the underlying bifurcation framework of the…

Plasma Physics · Physics 2009-11-07 R. Ball , R. L. Dewar , H. Sugama