Related papers: Gaussian approximation of nonlinear Hawkes process…
Fueled in part by recent applications in neuroscience, the multivariate Hawkes process has become a popular tool for modeling the network of interactions among high-dimensional point process data. While evaluating the uncertainty of the…
Cohen, Guyon, Perrin and Pontier have given assumptions under which the second-order quadratic variations of a Gaussian process converge almost surely to a deterministic limit. In this paper we present two new convergence results about…
We study the total mass of high points in a random model for the Riemann-Zeta function. We consider the same model as in [8], [2], and build on the convergence to 'Gaussian' multiplicative chaos proved in [14]. We show that the total mass…
Gaussian process (GP) regression is a non-parametric, Bayesian framework to approximate complex models. Standard GP regression can lead to an unbounded model in which some points can take infeasible values. We introduce a new GP method that…
The paper considers a Cox process where the stochastic intensity function for the Poisson data model is itself a non-homogeneous Poisson process. We show that it is possible to obtain the marginal data process, namely a non-homogeneous…
We propose a simulation method for multidimensional Hawkes processes based on superposition theory of point processes. This formulation allows us to design efficient simulations for Hawkes processes with differing exponentially decaying…
We establish the incompressible limit of weakly asymmetric simple exclusion processes coupled through particle collisions. The incompressible limit depends on various parameters in the particle system and is linked to fluid dynamics…
In this paper, we develop an efficient nonparametric Bayesian estimation of the kernel function of Hawkes processes. The non-parametric Bayesian approach is important because it provides flexible Hawkes kernels and quantifies their…
We introduce a hull operator on Poisson point processes, the easiest example being the convex hull of the support of a point process in Euclidean space. Assuming that the intensity measure of the process is known on the set generated by the…
We establish optimal logarithmic rates of convergence in the strong invariance principle for multivariate cumulative processes in the Smith's sense. Exponential probabilistic inequalities of Koml\'{o}s-Major-Tusn\'{a}dy type are obtained.…
We construct two kinds of stochastic flows of discrete Galton-Watson branching processes. Some scaling limit theorems for the flows are proved, which lead to local and nonlocal branching superprocesses over the positive half line.
The computational cost for inference and prediction of statistical models based on Gaussian processes with Mat\'ern covariance functions scales cubicly with the number of observations, limiting their applicability to large data sets. The…
We establish uniform pointwise estimates for the densities of a family of $\alpha$-stable processes with respect to the index $\alpha \in [\alpha_0,2]$ for some $\alpha_0>0$. In addition, we estimate the difference between the heat kernels…
This work studies nonparametric Bayesian estimation of the intensity function of an inhomogeneous Poisson point process in the important case where the intensity depends on covariates, based on the observation of a single realisation of the…
This article provides a new theory for the analysis of forward and backward particle approximations of Feynman-Kac models. Such formulae are found in a wide variety of applications and their numerical (particle) approximation are required…
Large-scale Gaussian process inference has long faced practical challenges due to time and space complexity that is superlinear in dataset size. While sparse variational Gaussian process models are capable of learning from large-scale data,…
This paper establishes the theoretical foundation for statistical applications of an intriguing new type of spatial point processes called critical point processes. These point processes, residing in Euclidean space, consist of the critical…
We propose a new Kalikow decomposition for continuous time multivariate counting processes, on potentially infinite networks. We prove the existence of such a decomposition in various cases. This decomposition allows us to derive simulation…
A general formalism is developed to construct a Markov chain model that converges to a one-dimensional map in the infinite population limit. Stochastic fluctuations are therefore internal to the system and not externally specified. For…
The main results in this paper concern large deviations for families of non-Gaussian processes obtained as suitable perturbations of continuous centered multivariate Gaussian processes which satisfy a large deviation principle. We present…