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We present a novel extension of multi-output Gaussian processes for handling heterogeneous outputs. We assume that each output has its own likelihood function and use a vector-valued Gaussian process prior to jointly model the parameters in…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-01-04 Pablo Moreno-Muñoz , Antonio Artés-Rodríguez , Mauricio A. Álvarez

We propose a new definition of the Gaussian multiplicative chaos (GMC) and an approach based on the relation of subcritical GMC to randomized shifts of a Gaussian measure. Using this relation we prove general uniqueness and convergence…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-05-30 Alexander Shamov

We consider a Poisson process $\eta$ on an arbitrary measurable space with an arbitrary sigma-finite intensity measure. We establish an explicit Fock space representation of square integrable functions of $\eta$. As a consequence we…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-09-18 Guenter Last , Mathew D. Penrose

In this paper, we consider the sigmoid Gaussian Hawkes process model: the baseline intensity and triggering kernel of Hawkes process are both modeled as the sigmoid transformation of random trajectories drawn from Gaussian processes (GP).…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-10-30 Feng Zhou , Zhidong Li , Xuhui Fan , Yang Wang , Arcot Sowmya , Fang Chen

Gaussian Process is a non-parametric prior which can be understood as a distribution on the function space intuitively. It is known that by introducing appropriate prior to the weights of the neural networks, Gaussian Process can be…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-01-08 Erdong Guo , David Draper

In a discrete-time setting, we consider an arrival process $\left\{\xi_n \, \middle| \, n = 1, 2, \ldots \right\}$, which models the occurrence of events, and a corresponding point process $\left\{H_n \, \middle| \, n = 1, 2, \ldots…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-03-10 Utpal Jyoti Deba Sarma , Dharmaraja Selvamuthu

One goal in Bayesian machine learning is to encode prior knowledge into prior distributions, to model data efficiently. We consider prior knowledge from systems of linear partial differential equations together with their boundary…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-02-16 Markus Lange-Hegermann

We consider a modification of the covariance function in Gaussian processes to correctly account for known linear constraints. By modelling the target function as a transformation of an underlying function, the constraints are explicitly…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-09-20 Carl Jidling , Niklas Wahlström , Adrian Wills , Thomas B. Schön

By departing from the previous attempt (Phys. Rev. {\bf E 51}, 4114, (1995)) we give a detailed construction of conditional and perturbed Markov processes, under the assumption that the Cauchy law of probability replaces the Gaussian law…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2015-06-26 P. Garbaczewski , R. Olkiewicz

Non-linear Hawkes processes with memory kernels given by the sum of Erlang kernels are considered. It is shown that their stability properties can be studied in terms of an associated class of piecewise deterministic Markov processes,…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-11-27 Aline Duarte , Eva Löcherbach , Guilherme Ost

We consider the behavior of spatial point processes when subjected to a class of linear transformations indexed by a variable T. It was shown in Ellis [Adv. in Appl. Probab. 18 (1986) 646-659] that, under mild assumptions, the transformed…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Dominic Schuhmacher

We have random number of independent diffusion processes with absorption on boundaries in some region at initial time $t=0$. The initial numbers and positions of processes in region is defined by Poisson random measure. It is required to…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-09-07 Aniello Fedullo , Vitalii A. Gasanenko

This paper addresses the Bayesian calibration of dynamic models with parametric and structural uncertainties, in particular where the uncertain parameters are unknown/poorly known spatio-temporally varying subsystem models. Independent…

Computation · Statistics 2012-11-02 Piyush Tagade , Han-Lim Choi

The marked Hawkes risk process is a compound point process for which the occurrence and amplitude of past events impact the future. Thanks to its autoregressive properties, it found applications in various fields such as neuosciences,…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-09-11 Laure Coutin , Mahmoud Khabou

An important task in the statistical analysis of inhomogeneous point processes is to investigate the influence of a set of covariates on the point-generating mechanism. In this article, we consider the nonparametric Bayesian approach to…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-01-19 Patric Dolmeta , Matteo Giordano

Under certain mild conditions, limit theorems for additive functionals of some $d$-dimensional self-similar Gaussian processes are obtained. These limit theorems work for general Gaussian processes including fractional Brownian motions,…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-05-23 Minhao Hong , Heguang Liu , Fangjun Xu

Through a reformulation of the local limit theorem and law of small numbers, which is obtained by working in the spaces naturally associated to the limiting distributions, we discover a general and abstract framework for the investigation…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-04-21 Alberto Lanconelli

We propose a way to construct manifestly gauge independent quantities out of the gauge dependent quantities occurring in the linearized Einstein equations. Thereupon, we show that these gauge-invariant combinations can be identified with…

General Relativity and Quantum Cosmology · Physics 2007-05-23 P. G. Miedema , W. A. van Leeuwen

We prove a law of large numbers and a functional central limit theorem for multivariate Hawkes processes observed over a time interval $[0,T]$ in the limit $T \rightarrow \infty$. We further exhibit the asymptotic behaviour of the…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-02-07 Emmanuel Bacry , Sylvain Delattre , Marc Hoffmann , Jean François Muzy

We review and present some known results for non-linear functionals of Gaussian variables in the context of discrete Gaussian fields defined on the $d$ dimensional lattice. Our main result is a Central Limit Theorem in the spirit of the…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-12-16 Fabio Coppini , Wioletta M. Ruszel
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