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As language models (LMs) deliver increasing performance on a range of NLP tasks, probing classifiers have become an indispensable technique in the effort to better understand their inner workings. A typical setup involves (1) defining an…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2024-08-01 Charles Jin , Martin Rinard

Current psychiatric research is in crisis. In this review I will describe the causes of this crisis and highlight recent efforts to overcome current challenges. One particularly promising approach is the emerging field of computational…

Neurons and Cognition · Quantitative Biology 2013-03-25 Thomas V. Wiecki

Bayesian methods have become a popular way to incorporate prior knowledge and a notion of uncertainty into machine learning models. At the same time, the complexity of modern machine learning makes it challenging to comprehend a model's…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-09-09 Sarem Seitz

When teaching and discussing statistical assumptions, our focus is oftentimes placed on how to test and address potential violations rather than the effects of violating assumptions on the estimates produced by our statistical models. The…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-06-14 Ian A Silver

To date, most probabilistic reasoning systems have relied on a fixed belief network constructed at design time. The network is used by an application program as a representation of (in)dependencies in the domain. Probabilistic inference…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-03-25 Robert P. Goldman , John S. Breese

We propose a novel method to model nonlinear regression problems by adapting the principle of penalization to Partial Least Squares (PLS). Starting with a generalized additive model, we expand the additive component of each variable in…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2010-08-13 Nicole Kraemer , Anne-Laure Boulesteix , Gerhard Tutz

A key sticking point of Bayesian analysis is the choice of prior distribution, and there is a vast literature on potential defaults including uniform priors, Jeffreys' priors, reference priors, maximum entropy priors, and weakly informative…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-11-22 Andrew Gelman , Daniel Simpson , Michael Betancourt

We comment on some conceptual and and technical problems related to computational mechanics, point out some errors in several papers, and straighten out some wrong priority claims. We present explicitly the correct algorithm for…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2018-04-09 Peter Grassberger

All current investigations to analyze the derivational complexity of term rewrite systems are based on a single termination method, possibly preceded by transformations. However, the exclusive use of direct criteria is problematic due to…

Logic in Computer Science · Computer Science 2015-07-01 Harald Zankl , Martin Korp

We present a quantitative measure of physical complexity, based on the amount of information required to build a given physical structure through self-assembly. Our procedure can be adapted to any given geometry, and thus to any given type…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2010-09-02 S. E. Ahnert , I. G. Johnston , T. M. A. Fink , J. P. K. Doye , A. A. Louis

Bayesian methods are actively used for parameter identification and uncertainty quantification when solving nonlinear inverse problems with random noise. However, there are only few theoretical results justifying the Bayesian approach.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-02-04 Vladimir Spokoiny

Variance parameters in additive models are typically assigned independent priors that do not account for model structure. We present a new framework for prior selection based on a hierarchical decomposition of the total variance along a…

A new general framework is presented for implementing complex a priori knowledge, having in mind especially situations where the number of available training data is small compared to the complexity of the learning task. A priori…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2007-05-23 Joerg C. Lemm

Post hoc explanation methods, such as LIME and SHAP, provide interpretable insights into black-box classifiers and are increasingly used to assess model biases and generalizability. However, these methods are vulnerable to adversarial…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-08-18 Sam Chauhan , Estelle Duguet , Karthik Ramakrishnan , Hugh Van Deventer , Jack Kruger , Ranjan Subbaraman

The major goal of this paper is to study the second order frequentist properties of the marginal posterior distribution of the parametric component in semiparametric Bayesian models, in particular, a second order semiparametric…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-03-17 Yun Yang , Guang Cheng , David B. Dunson

Specification theories as a tool in model-driven development processes of component-based software systems have recently attracted a considerable attention. Current specification theories are however qualitative in nature, and therefore…

Logic in Computer Science · Computer Science 2012-10-23 Sebastian S. Bauer , Uli Fahrenberg , Line Juhl , Kim G. Larsen , Axel Legay , Claus Thrane

Despite their successes, deep learning models struggle with tasks requiring complex reasoning and function composition. We present a theoretical and empirical investigation into the limitations of Structured State Space Models (SSMs) and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-03-04 Nikola Zubić , Federico Soldá , Aurelio Sulser , Davide Scaramuzza

Priors in which a large number of parameters are specified to be independent are dangerous; they make it hard to learn from data. I present a couple of examples from the literature and work through a bit of large sample theory to show what…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-07-09 Richard A Lockhart

A common problem in natural sciences is the comparison of competing models in the light of observed data. Bayesian model comparison provides a statistically sound framework for this comparison based on the evidence each model provides for…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-03-23 Jan Boelts

NLP models often rely on superficial cues known as dataset biases to achieve impressive performance, and can fail on examples where these biases do not hold. Recent work sought to develop robust, unbiased models by filtering biased examples…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2023-05-31 Yuval Reif , Roy Schwartz