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An approach based on the Fisher information (FI) is developed to quantify the maximum information gain and optimal experimental design in neutron reflectometry experiments. In these experiments, the FI can be analytically calculated and…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2021-08-03 James H. Durant , Lucas Wilkins , Keith Butler , Joshaniel F. K. Cooper

This paper proposes an information-based inference method for partially identified parameters in incomplete models that is valid both when the model is correctly specified and when it is misspecified. Key features of the method are: (i) it…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-02-25 Hiroaki Kaido , Francesca Molinari

This paper develops a continuous-time filtering framework for estimating a hazard rate subject to an unobservable change-point. This framework naturally arises in both financial and insurance applications, where the default intensity of a…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2026-01-12 Matteo Buttarazzi , Claudia Ceci

We provide a new perspective on Stein's so-called density approach by introducing a new operator and characterizing class which are valid for a much wider family of probability distributions on the real line. We prove an elementary…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-04-05 Christophe Ley , Yvik Swan

Intercurrent events, common in clinical trials and observational studies, affect the existence or interpretation of final outcomes. Principal stratification addresses this challenge by defining local average treatment effect estimands…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-09-22 Jiaqi Tong , Brennan Kahan , Michael O. Harhay , Fan Li

Semi-supervised datasets are ubiquitous across diverse domains where obtaining fully labeled data is costly or time-consuming. The prevalence of such datasets has consistently driven the demand for new tools and methods that exploit the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-03-12 Ilmun Kim , Larry Wasserman , Sivaraman Balakrishnan , Matey Neykov

Alternative proofs for the superadditivity and the affinity (in the large system limit) of the usual and some fractional Fisher informations of a probability density of many variables are provided. They are consequences of the fact that…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2020-08-26 Nicolas Rougerie

Modern data analysis depends increasingly on estimating models via flexible high-dimensional or nonparametric machine learning methods, where the identification of structural parameters is often challenging and untestable. In linear…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-01-21 Andrii Babii , Jean-Pierre Florens

This paper analyzes a semiparametric model of network formation in the presence of unobserved agent-specific heterogeneity. The objective is to identify and estimate the preference parameters associated with homophily on observed attributes…

Econometrics · Economics 2020-09-01 Luis E. Candelaria

We derive an information criterion to select a parametric model of complete-data distribution when only incomplete or partially observed data is available. Compared with AIC, our new criterion has an additional penalty term for missing…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-11-07 Hidetoshi Shimodaira , Haruyoshi Maeda

The Fisher information matrix (FIM) is a fundamental quantity to represent the characteristics of a stochastic model, including deep neural networks (DNNs). The present study reveals novel statistics of FIM that are universal among a wide…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-10-10 Ryo Karakida , Shotaro Akaho , Shun-ichi Amari

We address the fundamental limits of learning unknown parameters of any stochastic process from time-series data, and discover exact closed-form expressions for how optimal inference scales with observation length. Given a parametrized…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-10-09 Paul M. Riechers

A statistic on a statistical model is sufficient if it has no information loss, namely, the Fisher metric of the induced model coincides with that of the original model due to Kullback and Ay-Jost-L\^e-Schwachh\"ofer. We introduce a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-05-28 Kaori Yamaguchi , Hiraku Nozawa

Statistical inference with nonresponse is quite challenging, especially when the response mechanism is nonignorable. In this case, the validity of statistical inference depends on untestable correct specification of the response model. To…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-01-15 Shonosuke Sugasawa , Kosuke Morikawa , Keisuke Takahata

Classical Fisher-information asymptotics describe the covariance of regular efficient estimators through the local quadratic approximation of the log-likelihood, and thus capture first-order geometry only. In curved models, including…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-04-15 Malik Amir , Sourangshu Ghosh

This paper studies nonparametric local (over-)identification and the semiparametric efficiency in modern causal frameworks. We develop a unified approach that begins by translating structural models with latent variables into their induced…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-03-02 Xiaohong Chen , Haitian Xie

Deep learning (DL) models are popular across various domains due to their remarkable performance and efficiency. However, their effectiveness relies heavily on large amounts of labeled data, which are often time-consuming and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-11-11 Shreen Gul , Mohamed Elmahallawy , Sanjay Madria , Ardhendu Tripathy

Most of the semi-supervised classification methods developed so far use unlabeled data for regularization purposes under particular distributional assumptions such as the cluster assumption. In contrast, recently developed methods of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2017-06-19 Tomoya Sakai , Marthinus Christoffel du Plessis , Gang Niu , Masashi Sugiyama

We consider natural and general exponential families $(Q_m)_{m\in M}$ on $\mathbb{R}^d$ parametrized by the means. We study the submodels $(Q_{\theta m_1+(1-\theta)m_2})_{\theta\in[0,1]}$ parametrized by a segment in the means domain,…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-02-07 Piotr Graczyk , Salha Mamane

Sample selection is pervasive in applied economic studies. This paper develops semiparametric selection models that achieve point identification without relying on exclusion restrictions, an assumption long believed necessary for…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-02-11 Dongwoo Kim , Young Jun Lee