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Despite the availability of ever more data enabled through modern sensor and computer technology, it still remains an open problem to learn dynamical systems in a sample-efficient way. We propose active learning strategies that leverage…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-12-08 Mona Buisson-Fenet , Friedrich Solowjow , Sebastian Trimpe

We study a model of learning on social networks in dynamic environments, describing a group of agents who are each trying to estimate an underlying state that varies over time, given access to weak signals and the estimates of their social…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2013-07-19 Rafael M. Frongillo , Grant Schoenebeck , Omer Tamuz

We study a sequential-learning model featuring a network of naive agents with Gaussian information structures. Agents apply a heuristic rule to aggregate predecessors' actions. They weigh these actions according the strengths of their…

Economics · Quantitative Finance 2020-05-05 Krishna Dasaratha , Kevin He

This paper addresses the problem of online learning in a dynamic setting. We consider a social network in which each individual observes a private signal about the underlying state of the world and communicates with her neighbors at each…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2013-10-02 Shahin Shahrampour , Alexander Rakhlin , Ali Jadbabaie

Integrating information gained by observing others via Social Bayesian Learning can be beneficial for an agent's performance, but can also enable population wide information cascades that perpetuate false beliefs through the agent…

Multiagent Systems · Computer Science 2014-06-05 Christoph Salge , Daniel Polani

In the classical herding literature, agents receive a private signal regarding a binary state of nature, and sequentially choose an action, after observing the actions of their predecessors. When the informativeness of private signals is…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-07-27 Wade Hann-Caruthers , Vadim V. Martynov , Omer Tamuz

To make decisions we are guided by the evidence we collect, as well as the opinions of friends and neighbors. How do we integrate our private beliefs with information we obtain from our social network? To understand the strategies humans…

Physics and Society · Physics 2020-03-04 Bhargav Karamched , Simon Stolarczyk , Zachary Kilpatrick , Krešimir Josić

Recent work has shown that Transformers can perform in-context learning for linear regression under restrictive assumptions, including i.i.d. data, Gaussian noise, and Gaussian regression coefficients. However, real-world data often violate…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-20 Hoang T. H. Cao , Hai D. V. Trinh , Tho Quan , Lan V. Truong

Sequential learning models situations where agents predict a ground truth in sequence, by using their private, noisy measurements, and the predictions of agents who came earlier in the sequence. We study sequential learning in a social…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2025-02-19 Filip Úradník , Amanda Wang , Jie Gao

There is increasing interest in learning how human brain networks vary as a function of a continuous trait, but flexible and efficient procedures to accomplish this goal are limited. We develop a Bayesian semiparametric model, which…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-02-02 Lu Wang , Daniele Durante , Rex E. Jung , David B. Dunson

We study a social learning scheme where at every time instant, each agent chooses to receive information from one of its neighbors at random. We show that under this sparser communication scheme, the agents learn the truth eventually and…

Multiagent Systems · Computer Science 2022-05-13 Yunus Inan , Mert Kayaalp , Emre Telatar , Ali H. Sayed

We study a sequential social learning model in which there is uncertainty about the informativeness of a common signal-generating process. Rational agents arrive in order and make decisions based on the past actions of others and their…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2025-07-01 Wanying Huang

We study sequential social learning with endogenous information acquisition when agents have a taste for nonconformity. Each agent observes predecessors' actions, chooses whether to acquire a private signal (and its precision), and then…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2026-01-05 Georgy Lukyanov , Vasilii Ivanik

This work studies sequential social learning (also known as Bayesian observational learning), and how private communication can enable agents to avoid herding to the wrong action/state. Starting from the seminal BHW (Bikhchandani,…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2018-11-14 Grant Schoenebeck , Shih-Tang Su , Vijay Subramanian

Autonomous learning has been a promising direction in control and robotics for more than a decade since data-driven learning allows to reduce the amount of engineering knowledge, which is otherwise required. However, autonomous…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-10-12 Marc Peter Deisenroth , Dieter Fox , Carl Edward Rasmussen

When does society eventually learn the truth, or take the correct action, via observational learning? In a general model of sequential learning over social networks, we identify a simple condition for learning dubbed excludability.…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2024-04-05 Navin Kartik , SangMok Lee , Tianhao Liu , Daniel Rappoport

Perceptual estimates exhibit a reversal in bias depending on uncertainty: they shift toward prior expectations under high stimulus noise, but away from them when sensory noise dominates. The normative framework of a Bayesian observer model…

Neurons and Cognition · Quantitative Biology 2025-10-16 Hyun-Jun Jeon , Hansol Choi , Oh-Sang Kwon

We study the convergence of the log-linear non-Bayesian social learning update rule, for a group of agents that collectively seek to identify a parameter that best describes a joint sequence of observations. Contrary to recent literature,…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2018-12-27 César A. Uribe , Ali Jadbabaie

In the sequential learning problem, agents in a network attempt to predict a binary ground truth, informed by both a noisy private signal and the predictions of neighboring agents before them. It is well known that social learning in this…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2026-02-10 William Guo , Edward Xiong , Jie Gao

We consider the problem of distributed hypothesis testing (or social learning) where a network of agents seeks to identify the true state of the world from a finite set of hypotheses, based on a series of stochastic signals that each agent…

Multiagent Systems · Computer Science 2020-04-06 Shreyas Sundaram , Aritra Mitra