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We study the extinction of long-lived epidemics on finite complex networks induced by intrinsic noise. Applying analytical techniques to the stochastic Susceptible-Infected-Susceptible model, we predict the distribution of large…

Physics and Society · Physics 2017-05-31 Jason Hindes , Ira B. Schwartz

Suppose there is a spreading process such as an infectious disease propagating on a graph. How would we reduce the number of affected nodes in the spreading process? This question appears in recent studies about implementing mobility…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2023-03-17 Dongyue Li , Tina Eliassi-Rad , Hongyang R. Zhang

The Susceptible-Infected-Susceptible (SIS) model is one of the simplest memoryless system for describing information/epidemic spreading phenomena with competing creation and spontaneous annihilation reactions. The effect of quenched…

Physics and Society · Physics 2013-09-10 Géza Ódor

In this work, we use the spectral properties of graphons to study stability and sensitivity to noise of deterministic SIS epidemics over large networks. We consider the presence of additive noise in a linearized SIS model and we derive a…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-01-31 Renato Vizuete , Paolo Frasca , Federica Garin

Network epidemics is a ubiquitous model that can represent different phenomena and finds applications in various domains. Among its various characteristics, a fundamental question concerns the time when an epidemic stops propagating. We…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-05-20 Daniel Figueiredo , Giulio Iacobelli , Seva Shneer

Motivated by fundamental issues in non-equilibrium statistical mechanics (NESM), we study the venerable susceptible-infected (SIS) model of disease spreading in an idealized, simple setting. Using Monte Carlo and analytic techniques, we…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-06-22 Maxim S. Shkarayev , R. K. P. Zia

We study the SIRS (Susceptible-Infected-Recovered-Susceptible) spreading processes over complex networks, by considering its exact $3^n$-state Markov chain model. The Markov chain model exhibits an interesting connection with its $2n$-state…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2016-03-17 Navid Azizan Ruhi , Babak Hassibi

In this paper we provide the derivation of a super compact pairwise model with only 4 equations in the context of describing susceptible-infected-susceptible (SIS) epidemic dynamics on heterogenous networks. The super compact model is based…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2015-03-04 Péter L. Simon , Istvan Z. Kiss

We study the standard SIS model of epidemic spreading on networks where individuals have a fluctuating number of connections around a preferred degree $\kappa $. Using very simple rules for forming such preferred degree networks, we find…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2012-12-05 Shivakumar Jolad , Wenjia Liu , B. Schmittmann , R. K. P. Zia

We study the statistical properties of the SIR epidemics in heterogeneous networks, when an epidemic is defined as only those SIR propagations that reach or exceed a minimum size s_c. Using percolation theory to calculate the average…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2009-11-13 C. Lagorio , M. V. Migueles , L. A. Braunstein , E. López , P. A. Macri

Two simple agent based models are often employed in epidemic studies: the susceptible-infected (SI) and the susceptible-infected-susceptible (SIS). Both models describe the time evolution of infectious diseases in networks in which vertices…

Epidemic threshold is one of the most important features of the epidemic dynamics. Through a lot of numerical simulations in classic Susceptible-Infected-Recovered (SIR) and Susceptible-Infected-Susceptible (SIS) models on various types of…

Physics and Society · Physics 2014-10-16 Panpan Shu , Wei Wang , Ming Tang , Younghae Do

We study the extinction of epidemics in a simplicial susceptible-infected-susceptible model, where each susceptible individual becomes infected either by two-body interactions ($S+I \to 2I$) with a rate $\beta$ or by three-body interactions…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2024-01-26 Yingshan Guo , Chuansheng Shen , Hanshuang Chen

The SIR model is a three-compartment model of the time development of an epidemic. After normalizing the dependent variables, the model is a system of two non-linear differential equations for the susceptible proportion $S$ and the infected…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2021-04-27 William G. Faris

The paper describes and compares three approaches to modeling an epidemic spread. The first approach is a well-known system of SIR ordinary differential equations. The second is a mean-field model, in which an isolation strategy for each…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2024-11-06 Viktoriya Petrakova , Olga Krivorotko

The knowledge of the network topology is imperative to precisely describing the viral dynamics of an SIS epidemic process. In scenarios for which the network topology is unknown, one resorts to reconstructing the network from observing the…

Computational Complexity · Computer Science 2018-07-24 Bastian Prasse , Piet Van Mieghem

Populations are seldom completely isolated from their environment. Individuals in a particular geographic or social region may be considered a distinct network due to strong local ties, but will also interact with individuals in other…

Physics and Society · Physics 2012-03-30 M. Dickison , S. Havlin , H. E. Stanley

A model for epidemic spreading on rewiring networks is introduced and analyzed for the case of scale free steady state networks. It is found that contrary to what one would have naively expected, the rewiring process typically tends to…

Physics and Society · Physics 2013-05-29 Yonathan Schwarzkopf , Attila Rakos , David Mukamel

The epidemic spreading has been widely studied when each node may get infected by an infected neighbor with the same rate. However, the infection rate between a pair of nodes is usually heterogeneous and even correlated with their nodal…

Physics and Society · Physics 2017-02-01 Bo Qu , Huijuan Wang

We study the spreading of an infection within an SIS epidemiological model on a network. Susceptible agents are given the opportunity of breaking their links with infected agents, and reconnecting those links with the rest of the…

Physics and Society · Physics 2007-07-11 Damian H. Zanette