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Hazardous tsunamis are known to be generated predominantly at subduction zones. However, the 2018 Mw 7.5 Sulawesi (Indonesia) earthquake on a strike-slip fault generated a tsunami that devastated the city of Palu. The mechanism by which…

As an object of study, we chose the global activity of strong earthquakes (M > 7). The subject of the study is the waiting time for the next strong earthquake. The purpose of the study is to compare two distributions of waiting time, one of…

Geophysics · Physics 2022-09-02 A. V. Guglielmi , O. D. Zotov

The relaxation dynamics of aftershocks after large volatility shocks are investigated based on two high-frequency data sets of the Shanghai Stock Exchange Composite (SSEC) index. Compared with previous relevant work, we have defined main…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2008-12-02 Guo-Hua Mu , Wei-Xing Zhou

Aftershocks of aftershocks - and their aftershock cascades - substantially contribute to the increased seismicity rate and the associated elevated seismic hazard after the occurrence of a large earthquake. Current state-of-the-art…

Geophysics · Physics 2024-11-07 Leila Mizrahi , Dario Jozinović

According to the data of quasi-vertical sounding at Usolie-Tory path (midpoint - 52.3N, 103E, 120km distance), the dynamics of vertical structure of the midscale inhomogeneities of the plasma frequency was reconstructed. These…

Geophysics · Physics 2015-07-15 Oleg I. Berngardt , G. V. Kotovich , S. Ya. Mikhailov , A. V. Podlesny

We consider two statistical regularities that were used to explain Omori's law of the aftershock rate decay: the Levy and Inverse Gaussian (IGD) distributions. These distributions are thought to describe stress behavior influenced by…

Applications · Statistics 2012-07-24 Yan Y. Kagan

This paper provides theoretical and practical arguments regarding the possibility of predicting strong and major earthquakes worldwide. Many strong and major earthquakes can be predicted at least two to five months in advance, based on…

Geophysics · Physics 2021-04-20 Oleg Elshin , Andrew A. Tronin

Moment tensor inversion is conducted to characterize the source properties of the September 3, M6.3, the September 3, M4.6, and the September 23, M3.4 seismic events occurred in 2017 in the nuclear test site of DPRK. To overcome the…

Geophysics · Physics 2017-10-05 Libo Han , Zhongliang Wu , Changsheng Jiang , Jie Liu

We propose a new metric to quantify the correlation between any two earthquakes. The metric consists of a product involving the time interval and spatial distance between two events, as well as the magnitude of the first one. According to…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2007-05-23 Marco Baiesi , Maya Paczuski

The 2023 Turkey Earthquake sequence involved unexpected ruptures across numerous fault segments, challenging data interpretation efforts. We present rapid, 3D dynamic rupture simulations to illuminate the complexities of the $M_W$7.8 and…

The multi-master method based on waveform cross-correlation has found several aftershocks of the third (DPRK3) and the fourth (DPRK4) announced underground nuclear tests conducted by the DPRK on 12.02.2013, and 06.01.2016, respectively. The…

Geophysics · Physics 2021-10-20 Ivan Kitov , Dmitry Bobrov , Mikhail Rozhkov

Japan's GPS observed the fifteen-month megathrust earthquake genesis process of the 2011 Tohoku M9, suggesting the real-time predictability of such events.

Geophysics · Physics 2023-06-06 Fumihide Takeda

We report on a novel stochastic analysis of seismic time series for the Earth's vertical velocity, by using methods originally developed for complex hierarchical systems, and in particular for turbulent flows. Analysis of the fluctuations…

The variation of fractal dimension and entropy during a damage evolution process, especially approaching critical failure, has been recently investigated. A sudden drop of fractal dimension has been proposed as a quantitative indicator of…

Geophysics · Physics 2013-08-15 S. M. Potirakis , G. Minadakis , K. Eftaxias

Spatial and temporal data for earthquakes with magnitude M greater than or equal to 6.5 can provide crucial information about the seismic history and potential for large earthquakes in a region. We analyzed approximately 313,500 events that…

We review the "critical point" concept for large earthquakes and enlarge it in the framework of so-called "finite-time singularities". The singular behavior associated with accelerated seismic release is shown to result from a positive…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-06-24 S. G. Sammis , D. Sornette

The earthquake source after the main shock can theoretically be represented as a black box without an entrance. At the output, there is a signal in the form of aftershocks, the frequency of which decreases on average with time according to…

Geophysics · Physics 2023-03-07 A. Guglielmi , O. Zotov

The decay rate of aftershocks is commonly very well described by the modified Omori law, $n(t) \propto t^{-p}$, where n(t) is the number of aftershocks per unit time, t is the time after the main shock, and p is a constant in the range…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-06-24 Y. Moreno , A. Correig , J. B. Gomez , A. F. Pacheco

The role of the moon in triggering earthquakes has been studied since the early 1900s. Theory states that as land tides swept by the moon cross fault lines, stress in the Earth's plates intensifies, increasing the likelihood of small…

Geophysics · Physics 2012-10-10 Lyndie Chiou

The statistical property of the calm times, i.e., time intervals between successive earthquakes with arbitrary values of magnitude, is studied by analyzing the seismic time series data in California and Japan. It is found that the calm…

Other Condensed Matter · Physics 2009-11-10 Sumiyoshi Abe , Norikazu Suzuki
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