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The Multifractal Stress-Activated (MSA) model is a statistical model of triggered seismicity based on mechanical and thermodynamic principles. It predicts that, above a triggering magnitude cut-off $M_0$, the exponent $p$ of the Omori law…

Geophysics · Physics 2007-06-13 G. Ouillon , E. Ribeiro , D. Sornette

An earthquake, Tohoku region Pacific Coast earthquake, occurred on the 11th of March, 2011, and subsequent Fukushima nuclear power plant accidents have been stirring natural radiation around the author's office in Fukushima Medical…

Medical Physics · Physics 2011-11-11 Tsuneo Kobayashi

The decay rate of aftershocks has been modeled as a power law since the pioneering work of Omori in the late nineteenth century. Considered the second most fundamental empirical law after the Gutenberg-Richter relationship, the power law…

Geophysics · Physics 2016-01-07 Arnaud Mignan

The fundamentals of the phenomenological theory of aftershocks are presented. The theory contains an original concept of the proper time of the earthquake source, the course of which, generally speaking, differs from the course of world…

Geophysics · Physics 2025-10-03 A. V. Guglielmi

Fault ruptures of regular earthquakes typically grow in a self-similar manner, where the radiated energy is proportional to the seismic moment. Their proportionality factor, termed as scaled energy, has been conventionally described as the…

Geophysics · Physics 2024-06-19 Dye SK Sato

Despite dissimilar slip rates, slow earthquakes are faulting as ordinary earthquakes are. It is therefore physically natural that slow earthquakes also cause postseismic motions similarly to ordinary earthquakes, even though coseismic and…

Geophysics · Physics 2025-12-04 Dye SK Sato , Takane Hori , Takeshi Iinuma , Masayuki Kano , Yusuke Tanaka

Predicting earthquakes is of the utmost importance, especially to those countries of high risk, and although much effort has been made, it has yet to be realised. Nevertheless, there is a paucity of statistical approaches in seismic studies…

Geophysics · Physics 2023-02-07 Tomokazu Konishi

On October 14th, 2016, the station of Tofino (British Columbia, Canada) issued the first ever real-time tsunami alert triggered by a coastal High-Frequency Radar system, based on the identification of abnormal surface current patterns. The…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2021-03-17 Baptiste Domps , Julien Marmain , Charles-Antoine Guérin

Meta-instability is an irreversible precursor of earthquakes. To identify the meta-instability precursor of the Yangbi $M_S$ 6.4 earthquake ($99.87^{\circ}\mathrm{E}$, $25.67^{\circ}\mathrm{N}$)that occurred on May 21, 2021, we selected…

Geophysics · Physics 2025-02-19 Shouyong Li

We analyze retrospectively/prospectively the transient variations of three different physical parameters of atmosphere during the time of M7.8 and M7.3 events in Nepal: outgoing earth radiation (OLR), GPS/TEC and the thermodynamic…

Geophysics · Physics 2015-08-19 Dimitar Ouzounov , Sergey Pulinets , Dmitry Davidenko

The data analysis of aftershock events of L Aquila earthquake in Apennines following the main 6.3 Mw event of April 6, 2009 has been carried out by standard statistical geophysical tools. The results show the heterogeneity of seismic…

Geophysics · Physics 2009-05-12 D. Innocenti , M. Iovenitti , N. Poccia , A. Ricci , M. Caputo , A. Bianconi

By applying natural time analysis to the time series of earthquakes, we find that the order parameter of seismicity exhibits a unique change approximately at the date(s) at which Seismic Electric Signals (SES) activities have been reported…

We develop and implement a new type of global earthquake forecast. Our forecast is a perturbation on a smoothed seismicity (Relative Intensity) spatial forecast combined with a temporal time-averaged (Poisson) forecast. A variety of…

Geophysics · Physics 2013-07-23 James R Holliday , William R Graves , John B Rundle , Donald L Turcotte

The decay pattern of aftershocks in the so-called 'coherent-noise' models [M. E. J. Newman and K. Sneppen, Phys. Rev. E54, 6226 (1996)] is studied in detail. Analytical and numerical results show that the probability to find a large event…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2009-10-30 C. Wilke , S. Altmeyer , T. Martinetz

Megathrusts host Earth's largest earthquakes. Understanding the physical conditions controlling their rupture dynamics is critical for assessing seismic and tsunami hazards. These earthquakes often display complex rupture dynamics,…

Geophysics · Physics 2026-03-12 Jeremy Wing Ching Wong , Alice-Agnes Gabriel , Wenyuan Fan

One hundred years ago, Fusakichi Omori died. Our paper is dedicated to his memory. Omori made an outstanding contribution to the physics of earthquakes. In 1894 he formulated the law of aftershock evolution. Omori's Law states that after…

Geophysics · Physics 2023-02-03 A. Guglielmi , B. Klain , A. Zavyalov , O. Zotov

The paper is devoted to comparing two approaches to the study of aftershocks. The methodological foundations of the traditional approach were laid many years ago. A new approach has emerged relatively recently. The two approaches differ…

Geophysics · Physics 2023-09-26 A. V. Guglielmi

Strong earthquakes can have a dual impact on the slow-moving landslide budget of a landscape by either triggering new actively deforming hillslopes or stabilizing existing ones. However, their regional-scale influence on hillslope processes…

The power law of aftershock evolution was proposed by Hirano in 1924 and introduced by Utsu into seismology in the second half of the last century. The Hirano-Utsu law is widely used in studying the relaxation of earthquake source after the…

Geophysics · Physics 2024-08-01 A. V. Guglielmi

The advanced machine learning algorithm NESTORE (Next STrOng Related Earthquake) was developed to forecast strong aftershocks in earthquake sequences and has been successfully tested in Italy, western Slovenia, Greece, and California.…