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Crustal deformation due to the 2016 earthquake sequence in Kumamoto, Japan, that culminated in a preceding earthquake of magnitude M6.5 and a subsequent M7.3 earthquake 28 hours later, caused stress perturbation on and around the causative…

Geophysics · Physics 2021-12-08 K. Z. Nanjo , J. Izutsu , Y. Orihara , M. Kamogawa

We investigated changes in the b value of the Gutenberg-Richter's law in and around the focal areas of earthquakes on March 20 and on May 1, 2021, with magnitude (M) 6.9 and 6.8, respectively, which occurred off the Pacific coast of Miyagi…

Geophysics · Physics 2021-09-16 K. Z. Nanjo , A. Yoshida

We report precursory seismic patterns prior to the 2016 Kumamoto earthquakes, as measured by four different methods based on changes in seismicity that can be used for earthquake forecasting: the b-value method, two methods of seismic…

Geophysics · Physics 2016-11-08 K. Z. Nanjo , J. Izutsu , Y. Orihara , N. Furuse , S. Togo , H. Nitta , T. Okada , R. Tanaka , M. Kamogawa , T. Nagao

Xu et al. [J. Asian Earth Sci. {\bf 77}, 59-65 (2013)] It has just been reported that approximately 2 months prior to the $M_w$9.0 Tohoku earthquake that occurred in Japan on 11 March 2011 anomalous variations of the geomagnetic field have…

Geophysics · Physics 2017-04-25 E. S Skordas , N. V. Sarlis

Monitoring stress recovery and accumulation associated with megaquakes helps to assess their recurrence. Previous studies proposed a high likelihood of imminent recurrence for the 2011 Tohoku and the 17th-century Hokkaido megaquakes…

Geophysics · Physics 2026-02-09 K. Z. Nanjo , T. Hori , D. Iwata

Mainshocks are often followed by increased earthquake activity (aftershocks). According to the Omori-Utsu law, the rate of aftershocks decays as a power law over time. While aftershocks typically occur in the vicinity of the mainshock,…

Geophysics · Physics 2023-10-05 Yongwen Zhang , Maor Elbaz , Shlomo Havlin , Yosef Ashkenazy

A characteristic change of seismicity has been recently uncovered when the precursory Seismic Electric Signals activities initiate before an earthquake occurrence. In particular, the fluctuations of the order parameter of seismicity exhibit…

Geophysics · Physics 2017-03-27 Panayiotis A. Varotsos , Nicholas V. Sarlis , Efthimios S. Skordas

The eastern Izu Peninsula in Japan is volcanically and seismically active. Ordinary earthquakes frequently occurred at shallow depths in 2006 and 2009, when they clustered as swarms. Beneath ordinary earthquakes, low-frequency earthquakes…

Geophysics · Physics 2025-05-20 K. Z. Nanjo , Y. Yukutake , T. Kumazawa

We consider two issues related to the 2011 Tohoku mega-earthquake: (1) what is the repeat time for the largest earthquakes in this area, and (2) what are the possibilities of numerical short-term forecasts during the 2011 earthquake…

Geophysics · Physics 2012-01-10 Yan Y. Kagan , David D. Jackson

Analysis of the Sumatra-Andaman earthquake on 26.12.2004 (M = 9) has allowed us to identify two non- trivial properties of the dynamics of aftershocks. First, the strongest aftershock (M = 7.2) was likely triggered by the round-the-world…

Geophysics · Physics 2013-07-17 A. V. Guglielmi , O. D. Zotov , A. D. Zavyalov

It has been shown [Phys. Rev. E 84, 022101 (2011); Chaos 22, 023123 (2012)] that earthquakes of magnitude $M$ greater or equal to 7 are globally correlated. Such correlations were identified by studying the variance $\kappa_1$ of natural…

Geophysics · Physics 2017-04-21 N. V. Sarlis , S. -R. G. Christopoulos , E. S. Skordas

Together with the Gutenberg-Richter distribution of earthquake magnitudes, Omori's law is the best established empirical characterization of earthquake sequences and states that the number of smaller earthquakes per unit time triggered by a…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-06-25 A. Sornette , D. Sornette

We consider three questions related to the 2011 Tohoku mega-earthquake: (1) Why was the event size so grossly under-estimated? (2) How should we evaluate the chances of giant earthquakes in subduction zones? and (3) What is the repeat time…

Geophysics · Physics 2012-07-24 Yan Y. Kagan , David D. Jackson

On January 1, 2024, a moment magnitude (Mw) 7.6 earthquake struck the Noto Peninsula, Japan, causing intense ground shaking and triggering a tsunami along the Japan Sea coast. Preliminary analysis by the Japan Meteorological Agency (JMA)…

Geophysics · Physics 2026-05-20 Hamzeh Mohammadigheymasi , Jin-Oh Park

A megathrust subduction earthquake (Mw7.8) struck the coast of Ecuador on April 16th, 2016 at 23h58 UTC. This earthquake is one of the best-recorded megathrust events up to date. Besides the mainshock, two large aftershocks have been…

According to the Omori-Utsu law, the rate of aftershocks after a mainshock decays as a power law with an exponent close to 1. This well-established law was intensively used in the past to study and model the statistical properties of…

Geophysics · Physics 2023-08-28 Eitan E. Asher , Shlomo Havlin , Shay Moshel , Yosef Ashkenazy

We propose a new physically-based ``multifractal stress activation'' model of earthquake interaction and triggering based on two simple ingredients: (i) a seismic rupture results from activated processes giving an exponential dependence on…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2007-05-23 G. Ouillon , D. Sornette

Low-frequency earthquakes are a particular class of slow earthquakes that provide a unique source of information on the mechanical properties of a subduction zone during the preparation of large earthquakes. Despite increasing detection of…

The paper is based on the report read by the author on October 24, 2018 at the meeting of the Scientific Council of the Institute of Earth Physics of the Russian Academy of Sciences. The report was dedicated to the 150th anniversary of the…

Geophysics · Physics 2019-05-07 A. V. Guglielmi

The aftershock sequence of the devastating Japan earthquake of March 2011 is analyzed for the presence of periodicities at the Earth tide periods. We use spectral analysis as well as a time-domain method KORRECT developed earlier to detect…

Geophysics · Physics 2011-06-16 Arjun Datta , Kamal
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