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Vector autoregression has been widely used for modeling and analysis of multivariate time series data. In high-dimensional settings, model parameter regularization schemes inducing sparsity yield interpretable models and achieved good…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-06-08 Leo L. Duan , Zeyu Yuwen , George Michailidis , Zhengwu Zhang

We consider branching random walks and contact processes on infinite, connected, locally finite graphs whose reproduction and infectivity rates across edges are inversely proportional to vertex degree. We show that when the ambient graph is…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-04-16 Wei Su

Topological phylogenetic trees can be assigned edge weights in several natural ways, highlighting different aspects of the tree. Here the rooted triple and quartet metrizations are introduced, and applied to formulate novel fast methods of…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2019-05-15 John A. Rhodes

We consider a Galton-Watson tree where each node is marked independently of each others with a probability depending on its outdegree. We give a complete picture of the local convergence of critical or sub-critical marked Galton-Watson…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-09-29 Romain Abraham , Sonia Boulal , Pierre Debs

A symbolic-computational algorithm, fully implemented in Maple, is described, that computes explicit expressions for generating functions that enable the efficient computations of the expectation, variance, and higher moments, of the random…

Combinatorics · Mathematics 2017-03-22 Andrew Lohr , Doron Zeilberger

Exploratory data analysis is crucial for developing and understanding classification models from high-dimensional datasets. We explore the utility of a new unsupervised tree ensemble called uncharted forest for visualizing class…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-07-03 Casey Kneale , Steven D. Brown

The standard procedures for analysing hierarquical or grouped data are by (non)linear mixed models or generalized mixed models. However, the generalized additive models for location, scale and shape (GAMLSSs) also allow different types of…

Behavior trees (BTs) emerged from video game development as a graphical language for modeling intelligent agent behavior. BTs have several properties which are attractive for modeling medical procedures including human-readability,…

Robotics · Computer Science 2018-01-25 Blake Hannaford

We consider the problem of estimating a large causal polytree from a relatively small i.i.d. sample. This is motivated by the problem of determining causal structure when the number of variables is very large compared to the sample size,…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-08-20 Sourav Chatterjee , Mathukumalli Vidyasagar

The perspective of developing trustworthy AI for critical applications in science and engineering requires machine learning techniques that are capable of estimating their own uncertainty. In the context of regression, instead of estimating…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-14 Quentin Duchemin , Guillaume Obozinski

We consider Galton--Watson trees conditioned on both the total number of vertices $n$ and the number of leaves $k$. The focus is on the case in which both $k$ and $n$ grow to infinity and $k = \alpha n + O(1)$, with $\alpha \in (0, 1)$.…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-10-19 Vladislav Kargin

We propose and analyze a new estimator of the covariance matrix that admits strong theoretical guarantees under weak assumptions on the underlying distribution, such as existence of moments of only low order. While estimation of covariance…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-01-17 Stanislav Minsker , Xiaohan Wei

This paper shows that decision trees constructed with Classification and Regression Trees (CART) and C4.5 methodology are consistent for regression and classification tasks, even when the number of predictor variables grows…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-11-15 Jason M. Klusowski , Peter M. Tian

Variable trees are a new method for the exploration of discrete multivariate data. They display nested subsets and corresponding frequencies and percentages. Manual calculation of these quantities can be laborious, especially when there are…

Computation · Statistics 2021-02-08 Nick Barrowman , Richard J. Webster

The properties of scale-free random trees are investigated using both preconditioning on non-extinction and fixed size averages, in order to study the thermodynamic limit. The scaling form of volume probability is found, the connectivity…

Other Condensed Matter · Physics 2009-11-10 Luca Donetti , Claudio Destri

Explaining why and how a tree $t$ structurally differs from another tree $t^\star$ is a question that is encountered throughout computer science, including in understanding tree-structured data such as XML or JSON data. In this article, we…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-02-19 Daniel Neider , Leif Sabellek , Johannes Schmidt , Fabian Vehlken , Thomas Zeume

Collected data, which is used for analysis or prediction tasks, often have a hierarchical structure, for example, data from various people performing the same task. Modeling the data's structure can improve the reliability of the derived…

Applications · Statistics 2018-11-12 Dennis Becker

Under minimal condition, we prove the local convergence of a critical multi-type Galton-Watson tree conditioned on having a large total progeny by types towards a multi-type Kesten's tree. We obtain the result by generalizing Neveu's strong…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-09-28 Romain Abraham , Jean-François Delmas , Hongsong Guo

Risk assessment of cyber-physical systems, such as power plants, connected devices and IT-infrastructures has always been challenging: safety (i.e. absence of unintentional failures) and security (i.e. no disruptions due to attackers) are…

Cryptography and Security · Computer Science 2019-05-10 Étienne André , Didier Lime , Mathias Ramparison , Mariëlle Stoelinga

The simple Galton--Watson process describes populations where individuals live one season and are then replaced by a random number of children. It can also be viewed as a way of generating random trees, each vertex being an individual of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2008-11-17 Peter Jagers , Serik Sagitov
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