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This paper explores and develops alternative statistical representations and estimation approaches for dynamic mortality models. The framework we adopt is to reinterpret popular mortality models such as the Lee-Carter class of models in a…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2020-08-04 Man Chung Fung , Gareth W. Peters , Pavel V. Shevchenko

Autoregressive (AR) models, the theoretical performance benchmark for learned lossless image compression, are often dismissed as impractical due to prohibitive computational cost. This work re-thinks this paradigm, introducing a framework…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-11-17 Daxin Li , Yuanchao Bai , Kai Wang , Wenbo Zhao , Junjun Jiang , Xianming Liu

Advances in Geographical Information Systems (GIS) have led to the enormous recent burgeoning of spatial-temporal databases and associated statistical modeling. Here we depart from the rather rich literature in space-time modeling by…

Applications · Statistics 2013-04-17 Harrison Quick , Sudipto Banerjee , Bradley P. Carlin

This work presents the spatial error model with heteroskedasticity, which allows the joint modeling of the parameters associated with both the mean and the variance, within a traditional approach to spatial econometrics. The estimation…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-11-21 J. D. Toloza , O. O. Melo , N. A. Cruz

In this work, we employ autoregressive models developed in financial engineering for modeling of forest dynamics. Autoregressive models have some theoretical advantage over currently employed forest modeling approaches such as Markov chains…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2019-11-22 Olga Rumyantseva , Andrey Sarantsev , Nikolay Strigul

Conditional heteroscedastic (CH) models are routinely used to analyze financial datasets. The classical models such as ARCH-GARCH with time-invariant coefficients are often inadequate to describe frequent changes over time due to market…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-03-09 Sayar Karmakar , Arkaprava Roy

The hybrid Monte Carlo (HMC) algorithm is used for Bayesian analysis of the generalized autoregressive conditional heteroscedasticity (GARCH) model. The HMC algorithm is one of Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) algorithms and it updates all…

Computational Physics · Physics 2008-12-09 Tetsuya Takaishi

Cardiac cells exhibit variability in the shape and duration of their action potentials in space within a single individual. To create a mathematical model of cardiac action potentials (AP) which captures this spatial variability and also…

The AutoRegressive Conditional Heteroskedasticity (ARCH) and its generalized version (GARCH) family of models have grown to encompass a wide range of specifications, each of them is designed to enhance the ability of the model to capture…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2007-05-23 G. R. Jafari , A. Bahraminasab , P. Norouzzadeh

In this work we explore the temporal dynamics of spatial heterogeneity during the process of tumorigenesis from healthy tissue. We utilize a spatial stochastic process model of mutation accumulation and clonal expansion in a structured…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2015-11-03 K. Storey , M. D. Ryser , K. Leder , J. Foo

In this paper, we introduce the concept of fractional integration for spatial autoregressive models. We show that the range of the dependence can be spatially extended or diminished by introducing a further fractional integration parameter…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-09-14 Philipp Otto , Philipp Sibbertsen

In epidemiological disease mapping one aims to estimate the spatio-temporal pattern in disease risk and identify high-risk clusters, allowing health interventions to be appropriately targeted. Bayesian spatio-temporal models are used to…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-11-11 Duncan Lee , Andrew Lawson

We extend the theory from Fan and Li (2001) on penalized likelihood-based estimation and model-selection to statistical and econometric models which allow for non-negativity constraints on some or all of the parameters, as well as…

Econometrics · Economics 2023-02-07 Heino Bohn Nielsen , Anders Rahbek

Spatial regression or geographically weighted regression models have been widely adopted to capture the effects of auxiliary information on a response variable of interest over a region. In contrast, relationships between response and…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-04-29 Shonosuke Sugasawa , Daisuke Murakami

We propose a new centered autologistic spatio-temporal model for binary data on a lattice. The centering allows the interpretation of the autoregression coefficients in separating the large scale structure of the model corresponding to an…

Applications · Statistics 2018-11-19 Anne Gégout-Petit , Lucia Guérin-Dubrana , Shuxian Li

A novel first-order autoregressive moving average model for analyzing discrete-time series observed at irregularly spaced times is introduced. Under Gaussianity, it is established that the model is strictly stationary and ergodic. In the…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-03-31 Cesar Ojeda , Wilfredo Palma , Susana Eyheramendy , Felipe Elorrieta

Spherically embedded spatial data are spatially indexed observations whose values naturally reside on or can be equivalently mapped to the unit sphere. Such data are increasingly ubiquitous in fields ranging from geochemistry to demography.…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-01-26 Jiazhen Xu , Han Lin Shang

A novel spatial autoregressive model for panel data is introduced, which incorporates multilayer networks and accounts for time-varying relationships. Moreover, the proposed approach allows the structural variance to evolve smoothly over…

Applications · Statistics 2023-10-27 Michele Costola , Matteo Iacopini , Casper Wichers

We introduce a new class of conditional autoregressive models for spatially dependent functional data, formulated through conditional means given neighboring functional observations and characterized by a covariance operator and a spatial…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-22 Sooran Kim

Aerial robots hold great potential for aiding Search and Rescue (SAR) efforts over large areas. Traditional approaches typically searches an area exhaustively, thereby ignoring that the density of victims varies based on predictable…

Robotics · Computer Science 2019-03-26 Olov Andersson , Per Sidén , Johan Dahlin , Patrick Doherty , Mattias Villani
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