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We study the problem of estimating the source of a network cascade given a time series of noisy information about the spread. Initially, there is a single vertex affected by the cascade (the source) and the cascade spreads in discrete time…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-11-15 Anirudh Sridhar , H. Vincent Poor

We study cascades in social networks with the independent cascade (IC) model and the Susceptible-Infected-recovered (SIR) model. The well-studied IC model fails to capture the feature of node recovery, and the SIR model is a variant of the…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2025-03-18 Panfeng Liu , Guoliang Qiu , Biaoshuai Tao , Kuan Yang

We present a Bayesian approach for the Contamination Source Detection problem in Water Distribution Networks. Given an observation of contaminants in one or more nodes in the network, we try to give probable explanation for it assuming that…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2018-09-28 Ernesto Ortega , Alfredo Braunstein , Alejandro Lage-Castellanos

Estimating the true prevalence of an epidemic outbreak is a key public health problem. This is challenging because surveillance is usually resource intensive and biased. In the network setting, prior work on cost sensitive disease…

Physics and Society · Physics 2026-01-16 Ritwick Mishra , Abhijin Adiga , Madhav Marathe , S. S. Ravi , Ravi Tandon , Anil Vullikanti

In this paper we consider a simple virus infection spread model on a finite population of $n$ agents connected by some neighborhood structure. Given a graph $G$ on $n$ vertices, we begin with some fixed number of initial infected vertices.…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-03-21 Antar Bandyopadhyay , Farkhondeh Sajadi

The source detection problem in network analysis involves identifying the origins of diffusion processes, such as disease outbreaks or misinformation propagation. Traditional methods often focus on single sources, whereas real-world…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2025-07-14 Haomin Li , Daniel K. Sewell

In network epidemic models, controlling the spread of a disease often requires targeted interventions such as vaccinating high-risk individuals based on network structure. However, typical approaches assume complete knowledge of the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-02-16 Anirudh Sridhar , Arnob Ghosh

This paper studies the problem of identifying the contagion source when partial timestamps of a contagion process are available. We formulate the source localization problem as a ranking problem on graphs, where infected nodes are ranked…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2014-12-16 Kai Zhu , Zhen Chen , Lei Ying

We study the inference of the origin and the pattern of contamination in water distribution networks. We assume a simplified model for the dyanmics of the contamination spread inside a water distribution network, and assume that at some…

Physics and Society · Physics 2017-12-07 Alfredo Braunstein , Alejandro Lage-Castellanos , Ernesto Ortega

This monograph provides an overview of the mathematical theories and computational algorithm design for contagion source detection in large networks. By leveraging network centrality as a tool for statistical inference, we can accurately…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2023-07-11 Chee Wei Tan , Pei-Duo Yu

We study a simple model of epidemics where an infected node transmits the infection to its neighbors independently with probability $p$. This is also known as the independent cascade or Susceptible-Infected-Recovered (SIR) model with fixed…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2021-10-19 Yeganeh Alimohammadi , Christian Borgs , Amin Saberi

This paper develops and analyzes optimization models for rapid detection of viruses in large contact networks. In the model, a virus spreads in a stochastic manner over an undirected connected graph, under various assumptions on the spread…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-06-16 Sudesh K. Agrawal , John J. Hasenbein

In a networked system, functionality can be seriously endangered when nodes are infected, due to internal random failures or a contagious virus that develops into an epidemic. Given a snapshot of the network representing the nodes' states…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2019-12-13 Seyyedali Hosseinalipour , Jie Wang , Yuanzhe Tian , Huaiyu Dai

This paper studies the problem of locating multiple diffusion sources in networks with partial observations. We propose a new source localization algorithm, named Optimal-Jordan-Cover (OJC). The algorithm first extracts a subgraph using a…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2016-11-22 Kai Zhu , Zhen Chen , Lei Ying

In the Network Inference problem, one seeks to recover the edges of an unknown graph from the observations of cascades propagating over this graph. In this paper, we approach this problem from the sparse recovery perspective. We introduce a…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2024-11-14 Jean Pouget-Abadie , Thibaut Horel

This paper studies algorithmic strategies to effectively reduce the number of infections in susceptible-infected-recovered (SIR) epidemic models. We consider a Markov chain SIR model and its two instantiations in the deterministic SIR…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-11-24 Yuhao Yi , Liren Shan , Philip E. Paré , Karl H. Johansson

The identification of which nodes are optimal seeds for spreading processes on a network is a non-trivial problem that has attracted much interest recently. While activity has mostly focused on non-recurrent type of dynamics, here we…

Physics and Society · Physics 2020-07-17 Gaël Poux-Médard , Romualdo Pastor-Satorras , Claudio Castellano

Infectious diseases typically spread over a contact network with millions of individuals, whose sheer size is a tremendous challenge to analysing and controlling an epidemic outbreak. For some contact networks, it is possible to group…

Physics and Society · Physics 2021-07-23 Bastian Prasse , Karel Devriendt , Piet Van Mieghem

The reconstruction of missing information in epidemic spreading on contact networks can be essential in the prevention and containment strategies. The identification and warning of infectious but asymptomatic individuals (i.e., contact…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2022-11-21 Indaco Biazzo , Alfredo Braunstein , Luca Dall'Asta , Fabio Mazza

To infer a diffusion network based on observations from historical diffusion processes, existing approaches assume that observation data contain exact occurrence time of each node infection, or at least the eventual infection statuses of…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2023-12-14 Hao Huang , Qian Yan , Keqi Han , Ting Gan , Jiawei Jiang , Quanqing Xu , Chuanhui Yan