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Mechanistic modelling of animal movement is often formulated in discrete time despite problems with scale invariance, such as handling irregularly timed observations. A natural solution is to formulate in continuous time, yet uptake of this…

Applications · Statistics 2017-05-19 Alison Parton , Paul G. Blackwell

The study of animal movement is challenging because it is a process modulated by many factors acting at different spatial and temporal scales. Several models have been proposed which differ primarily in the temporal conceptualization,…

The velocity-jump model is a specific type of piecewise deterministic Markov process in which an individual's velocity is constant except at times that form the events of some point process. It represents an interpretable continuous-time…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-09-26 Paul G. Blackwell

Continuous-time models have been developed to capture features of animal movement across temporal scales. In particular, one popular model is the continuous-time correlated random walk, in which the velocity of an animal is formulated as an…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2018-08-07 Théo Michelot , Paul G. Blackwell

Group dynamic movement is a fundamental aspect of many species' movements. The need to adequately model individuals' interactions with other group members has been recognised, particularly in order to differentiate the role of social forces…

We consider continuous-time diffusion models driven by fractional Brownian motion. Observations are assumed to possess a non-trivial likelihood given the latent path. Due to the non-Markovianity and high-dimensionality of the latent paths,…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-03-25 Alexandros Beskos , Joseph Dureau , Konstantinos Kalogeropoulos

Wild animals are commonly fitted with trackers that record their position through time, and statistical models for tracking data broadly fall into two categories: models focused on small-scale movement decisions, and models for large-scale…

Applications · Statistics 2025-10-07 Théo Michelot , Ephraim M. Hanks

Switching dynamical systems are an expressive model class for the analysis of time-series data. As in many fields within the natural and engineering sciences, the systems under study typically evolve continuously in time, it is natural to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-05-19 Lukas Köhs , Bastian Alt , Heinz Koeppl

Animals often exhibit changes in their behavior during migration. Telemetry data provide a way to observe geographic position of animals over time, but not necessarily changes in the dynamics of the movement process. Continuous-time models…

Applications · Statistics 2018-03-30 Mevin B. Hooten , Henry R. Scharf , Trevor J. Hefley , Aaron T. Pearse , Mitch D. Weegman

Improved communication systems, shrinking battery sizes and the price drop of tracking devices have led to an increasing availability of trajectory tracking data. These data are often analyzed to understand animal behavior. In this work, we…

Applications · Statistics 2019-09-12 Gianluca Mastrantonio , Clara Grazian , Sara Mancinelli , Enrico Bibbona

We consider the modeling of data generated by a latent continuous-time Markov jump process with a state space of finite but unknown dimensions. Typically in such models, the number of states has to be pre-specified, and Bayesian inference…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-08-12 Yu Luo , David A. Stephens

Multi-state models are frequently applied for representing processes evolving through a discrete set of state. Important classes of multi-state models arise when transitions between states may depend on the time since entry into the current…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-02-28 Rosario Barone , Andrea Tancredi

The processes influencing animal movement and resource selection are complex and varied. Past efforts to model behavioral changes over time used Bayesian statistical models with variable parameter space, such as reversible-jump Markov chain…

Applications · Statistics 2015-06-15 Ephraim M. Hanks , Mevin B. Hooten , Mat W. Alldredge

In this paper we present a novel inference methodology to perform Bayesian inference for spatiotemporal Cox processes where the intensity function depends on a multivariate Gaussian process. Dynamic Gaussian processes are introduced to…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-03-12 Flávio B. Gonçalves , Dani Gamerman

There is a lack of methodological results for continuous time change detection due to the challenges of noninformative prior specification and efficient posterior inference in this setting. Most methodologies to date assume data are…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-04-28 Dan Cunha , Mark Friedl , Luis Carvalho

Hidden Markov models (HMMs) have been used increasingly to understand how movement patterns of animals arise from behavioural states. An animal is assumed to transition between behavioural states through time, as described by transition…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2025-10-07 Théo Michelot , Emma Storey

GPS technology is currently easily accessible to researchers, and many animal movement datasets are available. Two of the main features that a model which describes an animal's path can possess are directional persistence and attraction to…

Applications · Statistics 2021-09-29 Gianluca Mastrantonio

New types of high-resolution animal movement data allow for increasingly comprehensive biological inference, but method development to meet the statistical challenges associated with such data is lagging behind. In this contribution, we…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-07-08 Ferdinand V. Stoye , Annika Hoyer , Roland Langrock

We propose a Bayesian inference approach for a class of latent Markov models. These models are widely used for the analysis of longitudinal categorical data, when the interest is in studying the evolution of an individual unobservable…

Methodology · Statistics 2011-01-05 Francesco Bartolucci , Silvia Pandolfi

The movement of organisms is subject to a multitude of influences of widely varying character: from the bio-mechanics of the individual, over the interaction with the complex environment many animals live in, to evolutionary pressure and…

Biological Physics · Physics 2013-07-18 Friedrich Lenz , Aleksei V. Chechkin , Rainer Klages
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