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We present a Cross-Entropy based population Monte Carlo algorithm. This methods stands apart from previous work in that we are not optimizing a mixture distribution. Instead, we leverage deterministic mixture weights and optimize the…

Computation · Statistics 2022-02-09 Caleb Miller , Jem N. Corcoran , Michael D. Schneider

This paper proposes probabilistic conformal prediction (PCP), a predictive inference algorithm that estimates a target variable by a discontinuous predictive set. Given inputs, PCP construct the predictive set based on random samples from…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-06-22 Zhendong Wang , Ruijiang Gao , Mingzhang Yin , Mingyuan Zhou , David M. Blei

We consider the problem of estimating rare event probabilities, focusing on systems whose evolution is governed by differential equations with uncertain input parameters. If the system dynamics is expensive to compute, standard sampling…

Computation · Statistics 2019-11-05 Siddhant Wahal , George Biros

Although recent advances in regional Convolutional Neural Networks (CNNs) enable them to outperform conventional techniques on standard object detection and classification tasks, their response time is still slow for real-time performance.…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2016-03-03 JT Turner , Kalyan Gupta , Brendan Morris , David W. Aha

We propose a stochastic model predictive control (MPC) framework for linear systems subject to joint-in-time chance constraints under unknown disturbance distributions. Unlike existing approaches that rely on parametric or Gaussian…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-04-21 Lukas Vogel , Andrea Carron , Eleftherios E. Vlahakis , Dimos V. Dimarogonas

Deep neural networks are widely used in practical applications of AI, however, their inner structure and complexity made them generally not easily interpretable. Model transparency and interpretability are key requirements for multiple…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-01-13 Luca Bergamin , Roberto Confalonieri , Fabio Aiolli

A very desirable Datalog extension investigated by many researchers in the last thirty years consists in allowing the use of the basic SQL aggregates min, max, count and sum in recursive rules. In this paper, we propose a simple…

Databases · Computer Science 2017-07-24 Carlo Zaniolo , Mohan Yang , Matteo Interlandi , Ariyam Das , Alexander Shkapsky , Tyson Condie

We present a simple and robust strategy for the selection of sampling points in Uncertainty Quantification. The goal is to achieve the fastest possible convergence in the cumulative distribution function of a stochastic output of interest.…

Computational Physics · Physics 2017-05-08 Enrico Camporeale , Ashutosh Agnihotri , Casper Rutjes

Efficient methods to provide sub-optimal solutions to non-convex optimization problems with knowledge of the solution's sub-optimality would facilitate the widespread application of nonlinear optimal control algorithms. To that end,…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-04-10 Prithvi Akella , Aaron D. Ames

Floating-point round-off errors are ubiquitous in numerically intensive programs arising in fields such as scientific computing and optimization. As floating-point errors potentially lead to unexpected and catastrophic program failures, one…

Logic in Computer Science · Computer Science 2026-05-07 Yichen Tao , Hongfei Fu , Jiawei Chen , Jean-Baptiste Jeannin

This paper continues the research devoted to the design of numerically stable square-root implementations for the maximum correntropy criterion Kalman filtering (MCC-KF). In contrast to the previously obtained results, here we reveal the…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-11-07 Maria V. Kulikova

This manuscript proposes a probabilistic framework for algorithms that iteratively solve unconstrained linear problems $Bx = b$ with positive definite $B$ for $x$. The goal is to replace the point estimates returned by existing methods with…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2014-10-16 Philipp Hennig

In this paper we propose an output-feedback Model Predictive Control (MPC) algorithm for linear discrete-time systems affected by a possibly unbounded additive noise and subject to probabilistic constraints. In case the noise distribution…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2014-08-29 Marcello Farina , Luca Giulioni , Lalo Magni , Riccardo Scattolini

The error exponent in lossy source coding characterizes the asymptotic decay rate of error probability with respect to blocklength. The Marton's error exponent provides the theoretically optimal bound on this rate. However, computation…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2025-07-29 Jiachuan Ye , Shitong Wu , Lingyi Chen , Wenyi Zhang , Huihui Wu , Hao Wu

Cumulative prospect theory (CPT) is the first theory for decision-making under uncertainty that combines full theoretical soundness and empirically realistic features [P.P. Wakker - Prospect theory: For risk and ambiguity, Page 2]. While…

Logic in Computer Science · Computer Science 2025-05-15 Thomas Brihaye , Krishnendu Chatterjee , Stefanie Mohr , Maximilian Weininger

Robust Model Predictive Control (MPC) for nonlinear systems is a problem that poses significant challenges as highlighted by the diversity of approaches proposed in the last decades. Often compromises with respect to computational load,…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-02-21 Daniel D. Leister , Justin P. Koeln

Nonlinear similarity measures defined in kernel space, such as correntropy, can extract higher-order statistics of data and offer potentially significant performance improvement over their linear counterparts especially in non-Gaussian…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-04-26 Badong Chen , Lei Xing , Bin Xu , Haiquan Zhao , Nanning Zheng , Jose C. Principe

Chance-constrained programs (CCP) represent a trade-off between conservatism and robustness in optimization. In many CCPs, one optimizes an objective under a probabilistic constraint continuously parameterized by a random vector $\xi$. In…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-04-09 Guillaume Van Dessel , François Glineur

Maximum entropy estimation is of broad interest for inferring properties of systems across many different disciplines. In this work, we significantly extend a technique we previously introduced for estimating the maximum entropy of a set of…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2016-01-05 Elliot A. Martin , Jaroslav Hlinka , Alexander Meinke , Filip Děchtěrenko , Jörn Davidsen

We investigate Monte Carlo based algorithms for solving stochastic control problems with probabilistic constraints. Our motivation comes from microgrid management, where the controller tries to optimally dispatch a diesel generator while…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-02-06 Alessandro Balata , Michael Ludkovski , Aditya Maheshwari , Jan Palczewski
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