Related papers: A definite recursive relation and some statistical…
Our approach to Mendelian Randomization (MR) analysis is designed to increase reproducibility of causal effect "discoveries" by: (i) using a Bayesian approach to inference; (ii) replacing the point null hypothesis with a region of practical…
It is a folklore conjecture that the M\"obius function exhibits cancellation on shifted primes; that is, $\sum_{p\le X}\mu(p+h) \ = \ o(\pi(X))$ as $X\to\infty$ for any fixed shift $h>0$. This appears in print at least since Hildebrand in…
This paper studies the problem of recursively estimating the weighted adjacency matrix of a network out of a temporal sequence of binary-valued observations. The observation sequence is generated from nonlinear networked dynamics in which…
Let $(X,B_X,\mu,T)$ be a measure-preserving probability system with $T$ is invertible. Suppose that $A\in B_X$ with $\mu(A)>0$ and $\epsilon>0$. For any $m\geq 1$, there exist infinitely many primes $p_0,p_1,\ldots,p_m$ with…
We focus on functional renormalization for ensembles of several (say $n\geq 1$) random matrices, whose potentials include multi-traces, to wit, the probability measure contains factors of the form $ \exp[-\mathrm{Tr}(V_1)\times\ldots\times…
We study a general class of multiplicative functions by relating "short averages" to its "long average". More precisely, we estimate asymptotically the variance of such a class of functions in short intervals using Fourier analysis and…
The set of all permutations, ordered by pattern containment, is a poset. We give a formula for the M\"obius function of intervals $[1,\pi]$ in this poset, for any permutation $\pi$ with at most one descent. We compute the M\"obius function…
The famous results of Koml\'os, Major and Tusn\'ady (see [15] and [17]) state that it is possible to approximate almost surely the partial sums of size n of i.i.d. centered random variables in L p (p > 2) by a Wiener process with an error…
Let X be a non-empty set and U a ring of subsets of X. The countable additive functions U->{0,1} are called measures. The paper gives some definitions (derivable measures, the Lebesgue-Stieltjes measures) and properties of these functions,…
Retrospective causal questions ask what would have happened to an observed individual had they received a different treatment. We study the problem of estimating $\mu(x,y)=\mathbb{E}[Y(1)\mid X=x,Y(0)=y]$, the expected counterfactual…
We consider a multiple arithmetical sum involving the Moebius function which despite its elementary appearance is in fact of a highly intriguing nature. We establish an asymptotic formula for the quadruple case that raises the first…
Predictive recursion is an accurate and computationally efficient algorithm for nonparametric estimation of mixing densities in mixture models. In semiparametric mixture models, however, the algorithm fails to account for any uncertainty in…
We give an asymptotic formula for correlations \[ \sum_{n\le x}f_1(P_1(n))f_2(P_2(n))\cdot \dots \cdot f_m(P_m(n))\] where $f\dots,f_m$ are bounded "pretentious" multiplicative functions, under certain natural hypotheses. We then deduce…
Sums of of 1-dependent integer-valued random variables are approximated by compound Poisson, negative binomial and Binomial distributions and signed compound Poisson measures. Estimates are obtained for total variation and local metrics.…
For a probability measure preserving dynamical system $(\mathcal{X},f,\mu)$, the Poincar\'e Recurrence Theorem asserts that $\mu$-almost every orbit is recurrent with respect to its initial condition. This motivates study of the statistics…
Any function F : {0,...,N-1} -> {-1,1} such that F(x) can be computed from the binary digits of x using a bounded depth circuit is orthogonal to the Mobius function mu in the sense that E_{0 <= x <= N-1} mu(x)F(x) = o(1). The proof combines…
Random binnings generated via recursive binary splits are introduced as a way to detect, measure the strength of, and to display the pattern of association between any two variates, whether one or both are continuous or categorical. This…
We determine sufficient conditions under which certain recursively defined functions are well defined for all real inputs. Given a function $f:\mathbb R\to\mathbb R$, call a decreasing sequence $x_1>x_2>x_3>\cdots$ "$f$-bad" if…
We consider the classical problem of estimating a vector $\bolds{\mu}=(\mu_1,...,\mu_n)$ based on independent observations $Y_i\sim N(\mu_i,1)$, $i=1,...,n$. Suppose $\mu_i$, $i=1,...,n$ are independent realizations from a completely…
The aim of this article is to present in a self-contained way identities arising in elementary number theory, among which the following one: $$ \sum_{d\mid n}\frac{\mu^2(d)}{\varphi(d)\,d^s}=\prod_{p\mid n}\left(1+\frac{1}{(p-1)p^s}\right).…