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Finite order Markov models are theoretically well-studied models for dependent discrete data. Despite their generality, application in empirical work when the order is large is rare. Practitioners avoid using higher order Markov models…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-03-06 Guilherme Ost , Daniel Takahashi

We consider a unified framework of sequential change-point detection and hypothesis testing modeled by means of hidden Markov chains. One observes a sequence of random variables whose distributions are functionals of a hidden Markov chain.…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2013-12-13 Savas Dayanik , Kazutoshi Yamazaki

Gaussian process emulators of computationally expensive computer codes provide fast statistical approximations to model physical processes. The training of these surrogates depends on the set of design points chosen to run the simulator.…

Computation · Statistics 2016-08-16 A. Garbuno-Inigo , F. A. DiazDelaO , K. M. Zuev

We consider the so-called GI/GI/N queue, in which a stream of jobs with independent and identically distributed service times arrive as a renewal process to a common queue that is served by $N$ identical parallel servers in a…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-12-06 Reza Aghajani , Kavita Ramanan

For a widely used hub-and-spoke closed product-form network consisting of an infinite-server node and several single-server queues, we characterize the maximum queue-length distribution in various operational regimes by leveraging a novel…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-12-09 Predrag Jelenkovic , Petar Momcilovic

We study optimal service pricing in server farms where customers arrive according to a renewal process and have independent and identical ($i.i.d.$) exponential service times and $i.i.d.$ valuations of the service. The service provider…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-01-01 Ashok Krishnan K. S , Chandramani Singh , Siva Theja Maguluri , Parimal Parag

This paper investigates tail asymptotics of stationary distributions and quasi-stationary distributions (QSDs) of continuous-time Markov chains on subsets of the non-negative integers. Based on the so-called flux-balance equation, we…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-08-16 Chuang Xu , Mads Christian Hansen , Carsten Wiuf

We establish an abstract, effective, exponential large deviations type estimate for Markov systems satisfying a weaker form of mixing. We employ this result to derive such estimates, as well as a central limit theorem, for the skew product…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2025-07-17 Ao Cai , Pedro Duarte , Silvius Klein

The infinite servers queue with Poisson arrivals state transient probabilities, considering the time origin at the beginning of a busy period, mean and variance monotony as time functions is studied. These studies, for which results it is…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-09-29 Manuel Alberto M. Ferreira

We study a decentralized variant of stochastic approximation, a data-driven approach for finding the root of an operator under noisy measurements. A network of agents, each with its own operator and data observations, cooperatively find the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-06-17 Sihan Zeng , Thinh T. Doan , Justin Romberg

We consider Markovian many-server systems with admission control operating in a QED regime, where the relative utilization approaches unity while the number of servers grows large, providing natural Economies-of-Scale. In order to determine…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-11-12 Jaron Sanders , S. C. Borst , A. J. E. M. Janssen , J. S. H. van Leeuwaarden

Stochastic networks with complex structures are key modelling tools for many important applications. In this paper, we consider a specific type of network: the retrial queueing systems with priority. This type of queueing system is…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-01-17 Bin Liu , Yiqiang Q. Zhao

For Markov processes evolving on multiple time-scales a combination of large component scalings and averaging of rapid fluctuations can lead to useful limits for model approximation. A general approach to proving a law of large numbers to a…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-12-29 Lea Popovic

A two-sided matching system is considered, where servers are assumed to arrive at a fixed rate, while the arrival rate of customers is modulated via a price-control mechanism. We analyse a loss model, wherein customers who are not served…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-07-26 Rahul Vaze , Jayakrishnan Nair

We have shown recently that a Markov process conditioned on rare events involving time-integrated random variables can be described in the long-time limit by an effective Markov process, called the driven process, which is given…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-12-17 Raphael Chetrite , Hugo Touchette

Asymptotics deviation probabilities of the sum S n = X 1 + $\times$ $\times$ $\times$ + X n of independent and identically distributed real-valued random variables have been extensively investigated , in particular when X 1 is not…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-10-20 Thierry Klein , Agnès Lagnoux , Pierre Petit

This article deals with stochastic processes endowed with the Markov (memoryless) property and evolving over general (uncountable) state spaces. The models further depend on a non-deterministic quantity in the form of a control input, which…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2015-09-11 Sofie Haesaert , Robert Babuska , Alessandro Abate

We consider a collection of weakly interacting diffusion processes moving in a two-scale locally periodic environment. We study the large deviations principle of the empirical distribution of the particles' positions in the combined limit…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-11-03 Zachary Bezemek , Konstantinos Spiliopoulos

This paper purpose is to investigate exponential behavior conditions for the infinite servers queue with Poisson arrivals busy period length distribution. It is presented a general theoretical result that is the basis of this work. The…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-09-30 Manuel Alberto M. Ferreira , José António Filipe

We consider generalized Bayesian inference on stochastic processes and dynamical systems with potentially long-range dependency. Given a sequence of observations, a class of parametrized model processes with a prior distribution, and a loss…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-04-26 Langxuan Su , Sayan Mukherjee