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We propose a computational method for large deviation statistics of time-averaged quantities in general Markov processes. In our proposed method, we repeat a response measurement against external forces, where the forces are determined by…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2014-03-12 Takahiro Nemoto , Shin-ichi Sasa

Motivated by a real failure dataset in a two-dimensional context, this paper presents an extension of the Markov modulated Poisson process (MMPP) to two dimensions. The one-dimensional MMPP has been proposed for the modeling of dependent…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-01-30 Yoel G. Yera , Rosa E. Lillo , Bo F. Nielsen , Pepa Ramírez-Cobo , Fabrizio Ruggeri

Motivated by applications in large-scale and multi-agent reinforcement learning, we study the non-asymptotic performance of stochastic approximation (SA) schemes with delayed updates under Markovian sampling. While the effect of delays has…

We analyze a model of relay-augmented cellular wireless networks. The network users, who move according to a general mobility model based on a Poisson point process of continuous trajectories in a bounded domain, try to communicate with a…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-02-16 Christian Hirsch , Benedikt Jahnel , Paul Keeler , Robert I. A. Patterson

We investigate the parameter recovery of Markov-switching ordinary differential processes from discrete observations, where the differential equations are nonlinear additive models. This framework has been widely applied in biological…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-01-03 Katherine Tsai , Mladen Kolar , Sanmi Koyejo

Using a result of Blanchet and Wallwater (2015: Exact sampling of stationary and time-reversed queues. ACM TOMACS, 25, 26) for exactly simulating the maximum of a negative drift random walk queue endowed with independent and identically…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-06-06 Jose Blanchet , Yanan Pei , Karl Sigman

The majority of existing probabilistic model checking case studies are based on well understood theoretical models and distributions. However, real-life probabilistic systems usually involve distribution parameters whose values are obtained…

Software Engineering · Computer Science 2013-08-29 Guoxin Su , David S. Rosenblum

This paper studies a scheduling control problem for a single-server multiclass queueing network in heavy traffic, operating in a changing environment. The changing environment is modeled as a finite state Markov process that modulates the…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-11-30 Amarjit Budhiraja , Arka Ghosh , Xin Liu

We consider a Markovian load balancing model on a fully-connected network, where calls have Poisson arrivals and exponential durations. The endpoints of each call are uniform over all the links of the network. Each call is routed either…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-06-24 Malwina Luczak

We study the asymptotics of large, moderate and normal deviations for the connected components of the sparse random graph by the method of stochastic processes. We obtain the logarithmic asymptotics of large deviations of the joint…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Anatolii A. Puhalskii

This work proposes a compositional data-driven technique for the construction of finite Markov decision processes (MDPs) for large-scale stochastic networks with unknown mathematical models. Our proposed framework leverages dissipativity…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-09-18 Abolfazl Lavaei

In this paper we study limit behavior for a Markov-modulated (MM) binomial counting process, also called a binomial counting process under regime switching. Such a process naturally appears in the context of credit risk when multiple…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-03-25 Peter Spreij , Jaap Storm

This paper is devoted to the problem of sample path large deviations for the Markov processes on R_+^N having a constant but different transition mechanism on each boundary set {x:x_i=0 for i\notin\Lambda, x_i>0 for i\in\Lambda}. The global…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Irina Ignatiouk-Robert

Suppose $ E$ is a space with a null-recurrent Markov kernel $ P$. Furthermore, suppose there are infinite particles with variable weights on $ E$ performing a random walk following $ P$. Let $ X_{t}$ be a weighted functional of the position…

Probability · Mathematics 2010-12-01 Souvik Ghosh

We present existence and discrete-time approximation results on optimal control policies for continuous-time stochastic control problems under a variety of information structures. These include fully observed models, partially observed…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-03-13 Somnath Pradhan , Serdar Yüksel

Rare trajectories of stochastic systems are important to understand -- because of their potential impact. However, their properties are by definition difficult to sample directly. Population dynamics provides a numerical tool allowing their…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2017-07-03 Esteban Guevara Hidalgo , Takahiro Nemoto , Vivien Lecomte

This paper introduces a periodic multivariate Poisson autoregression with potentially infinite memory, with a special focus on the network setting. Using contraction techniques, we study the stability of such a process and provide upper…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-04-04 Mahmoud Khabou , Edward A. K. Cohen , Almut E. D. Veraart

We prove a complete class theorem that characterizes \emph{all} stationary time reversible Markov processes whose finite dimensional marginal distributions (of all orders) are infinitely divisible. Aside from two degenerate cases (iid and…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-06-01 Robert L Wolpert , Lawrence D. Brown

In this paper, a simple transient Markov process with an absorbing point is used to investigate the qualitative behavior of a large scale storage network of non reliable file servers where files can be duplicated. When the size of the…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-04-02 Mathieu Feuillet , Philippe Robert

The theory of stochastic approximations form the theoretical foundation for studying convergence properties of many popular recursive learning algorithms in statistics, machine learning and statistical physics. Large deviations for…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-02-05 Henrik Hult , Adam Lindhe , Pierre Nyquist , Guo-Jhen Wu
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