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This paper gives yet another definition of game-theoretic probability in the context of continuous-time idealized financial markets. Without making any probabilistic assumptions (but assuming positive and continuous price paths), we obtain…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2016-07-05 Vladimir Vovk , Glenn Shafer

This paper studies partially observable two-person zero-sum semi-Markov games under a probability criterion, in which the system state may not be completely observed. It focuses on the probability that the accumulated rewards of player 1…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-08-26 Xin Wen , Li Xia , Zhihui Yu

We consider three different types of global uncertainty models for discrete-time stochastic processes: measure-theoretic upper expectations, game-theoretic upper expectations and axiomatic upper expectations. The last two are known to be…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-04-30 Natan T'Joens , Jasper De Bock

We propose a game-theoretic framework that incorporates both incomplete information and general ambiguity attitudes on factors external to all players. Our starting point is players' preferences on payoff-distribution vectors, essentially…

Economics · Quantitative Finance 2017-04-04 Jian Yang

Expanding the ideas of the author's paper 'Nonexpansive maps and option pricing theory' (Kibernetica 34:6 (1998), 713-724) we develop a pure game-theoretic approach to option pricing, by-passing stochastic modeling. Risk neutral…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-05-03 Vassili Kolokoltsov

In this paper, we study a game with positive or plus infinite expectation and determine the optimal proportion of investment for maximizing the limit expectation of growth rate per attempt. With this objective, we introduce a new pricing…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2013-06-28 Yukio Hirashita

In this paper we introduce a new type of norms for semimartingales, under both linear and nonlinear expectations. Our norm is defined in the spirit of quasimartingales, and it characterizes square integrable semimartingales. This work is…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-11-01 Triet Pham , Jianfeng Zhang

Studying continuous time counterpart of some discrete time dynamics is now a standard and fruitful technique, as some properties hold in both setups. In game theory, this is usually done by considering differential games on Euclidean…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2018-11-13 Vianney Perchet , Marc Quincampoix

We reveal a contradiction in measure-theoretic probability. The contradiction is an "equation" $1/2 = 0$ with its two sides representing probabilities. Unlike known paradoxes in mathematics, the revealed contradiction cannot be explained…

General Mathematics · Mathematics 2014-12-18 Guang-Liang Li , Victor O. K. Li

We introduce games with probabilistic uncertainty, a natural model for controller synthesis in which the controller observes the state of the system through imprecise sensors that provide correct information about the current state with a…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2012-07-03 Krishnendu Chatterjee , Martin Chmelik , Rupak Majumdar

The important application of semi-static hedging in financial markets naturally leads to the notion of quasi self-dual processes which is, for continuous semimartingales, related to symmetry properties of both their ordinary as well as…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-02-01 Thorsten Rheinländer , Michael Schmutz

We study strategic interaction in data-driven games where players face uncertainty about payoff distributions inferred from finite samples. To model calibrated attitudes toward such uncertainty, we formulate distributionally robust games…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2026-05-28 Bharat Gangwani , Arunesh Sinha

This paper provides an analysis of different formal representations of beliefs in epistemic game theory. The aim is to attempt a synthesis of different structures of beliefs in the presence of indeterminate probabilities. Special attention…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2013-09-09 Yang Liu

We pursue robust approach to pricing and hedging in mathematical finance. We consider a continuous time setting in which some underlying assets and options, with continuous paths, are available for dynamic trading and a further set of…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2015-07-07 Zhaoxu Hou , Jan Obloj

We consider multiplayer stochastic games in which the payoff of each player is a bounded and Borel-measurable function of the infinite play. By using a generalization of the technique of Martin (1998) and Maitra and Sudderth (1998), we show…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-08-26 János Flesch , Eilon Solan

We consider strong law of large numbers (SLLN) in the framework of game-theoretic probability of Shafer and Vovk (2001). We prove several versions of SLLN for the case that Reality's moves are unbounded. Our game-theoretic versions of SLLN…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-08-27 Masayuki Kumon , Akimichi Takemura , Kei Takeuchi

Stochastic games combine controllable and adversarial non-determinism with stochastic behavior and are a common tool in control, verification and synthesis of reactive systems facing uncertainty. Multi-objective stochastic games are natural…

Computational Complexity · Computer Science 2022-07-21 Tobias Winkler , Maximilian Weininger

A game-theoretic setting provides a mathematical basis for analysis of strategic interaction among competing agents and provides insights into both classical and quantum decision theory and questions of strategic choice. An outstanding…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2018-07-24 Azhar Iqbal , James M. Chappell , Derek Abbott

We study pricing and superhedging strategies for game options in an imperfect market with default. We extend the results obtained by Kifer in \cite{Kifer} in the case of a perfect market model to the case of an imperfect market with…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2017-07-04 Roxana Dumitrescu , Marie-Claire Quenez , Agnès Sulem

Probability forecasts are intended to account for the uncertainties inherent in forecasting. It is suggested that from an end-user's point of view probability is not necessarily sufficient to reflect uncertainties that are not simply the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-01-22 Kevin Judd