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In this paper, an approximation recursive formula of the mean-square error lower bound for the discrete-time nonlinear filtering problem when noises of dynamic systems are temporally correlated is derived based on the Van Trees (posterior)…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2015-04-28 Zhiguo Wang , Xiaojing Shen

We consider a class of tempered subordinators, namely a class of subordinators with one-dimensional marginal tempered distributions which belong to a family studied in [3]. The main contribution in this paper is a non-central moderate…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-11-05 Nikolai Leonenko , Claudio Macci , Barbara Pacchiarotti

In the present paper, we consider the linear autoregressive model in $\rr$, $$ X_{k,n}=\theta_n X_{k,n-1}+\xi_k, k=0,1,...,n, n\ge 1$$ where $\theta_n\in [0,1)$ is unknown, $(\xi_k)_{k\in\zz}$ is a sequence of centered i.i.d. r.v. valued in…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-07-18 Yu Miao , Yanling Wang , Guangyu Yang

Let $f$ be analytic on $[0,1]$ with $|f^{(k)}(1/2)|\leq A\alpha^kk!$ for some constant $A$ and $\alpha<2$. We show that the median estimate of $\mu=\int_0^1f(x)\,\mathrm{d}x$ under random linear scrambling with $n=2^m$ points converges at…

Computation · Statistics 2022-07-11 Zexin Pan , Art B. Owen

We study the problem of heavy-tailed mean estimation in settings where the variance of the data-generating distribution does not exist. Concretely, given a sample $\mathbf{X} = \{X_i\}_{i = 1}^n$ from a distribution $\mathcal{D}$ over…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-12-10 Yeshwanth Cherapanamjeri , Nilesh Tripuraneni , Peter L. Bartlett , Michael I. Jordan

Completely random measures (CRMs) and their normalizations are a rich source of Bayesian nonparametric priors. Examples include the beta, gamma, and Dirichlet processes. In this paper we detail two major classes of sequential CRM…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-05-11 Trevor Campbell , Jonathan H. Huggins , Jonathan P. How , Tamara Broderick

We present a new finite-sample analysis of M-estimators of locations in $\mathbb{R}^d$ using the tool of the influence function. In particular, we show that the deviations of an M-estimator can be controlled thanks to its influence function…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-08-23 Timothée Mathieu

This paper incorporates information about the temporal order of regressors to estimate orthogonal and economically interpretable regression coefficients. We establish new finite sample properties for the Gram-Schmidt orthogonalization…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-01-13 Robin M. Cross , Steven T. Buccola

The commonly used two-way fixed effects estimator is biased under correlated heterogeneity and can lead to misleading inference. The mean group estimator proposed by Pesaran and Smith (1995) is robust to correlated heterogeneity but…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-04-01 M. Hashem Pesaran , Liying Yang

We study the mixing time of systematic scan Glauber dynamics Ising model on the complete graph. On the complete graph $K_n$, at each time, $k \leq n$ vertices are chosen uniformly random and are updated one by one according to the uniformly…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-11-11 Sanghak Jeon

Let $X_n(k)$ be the number of vertices at level $k$ in a random recursive tree with $n+1$ vertices. We are interested in the asymptotic behavior of $X_n(k)$ for intermediate levels $k=k_n$ satisfying $k_n\to\infty$ and $k_n=o(\log n)$ as…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-06-29 Alexander Iksanov , Zakhar Kabluchko

We develop a systematic, omnibus approach to goodness-of-fit testing for parametric distributional models when the variable of interest is only partially observed due to censoring and/or truncation. In many such designs, tests based on the…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-02-10 Juan Carlos Escanciano , Jacobo de Uña-Álvarez

A moderate deviation principle as well as moderate and large deviation inequalities for a sequence of elements living inside a fixed Wiener chaos associated with an isonormal Gaussian process are shown. The conditions under which the…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-11-06 Matthias Schulte , Christoph Thaele

Optimization algorithms are increasingly being used in applications with limited time budgets. In many real-time and embedded scenarios, only a few iterations can be performed and traditional convergence metrics cannot be used to evaluate…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-12-28 Hesameddin Mohammadi , Samantha Samuelson , Mihailo R. Jovanović

Uniform deviation bounds limit the difference between a model's expected loss and its loss on an empirical sample uniformly for all models in a learning problem. As such, they are a critical component to empirical risk minimization. In this…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-02-28 Olivier Bachem , Mario Lucic , S. Hamed Hassani , Andreas Krause

Tensor-based modulation (TBM) has been proposed in the context of unsourced random access for massive uplink communication. In this modulation, transmitters encode data as rank-1 tensors, with factors from a discrete vector constellation.…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2021-11-04 Alexis Decurninge , Ingmar Land , Maxime Guillaud

In this paper, in a multivariate setting we derive near optimal rates of convergence in the minimax sense for estimating partial derivatives of the mean function for functional data observed under a fixed synchronous design over H\"older…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-08-25 Max Berger , Hajo Holzmann

Primal-dual splitting involving proximity operators in order to be able to find some approximation to the minimizer for a general form of Tikhonov type functional is in the focus of this work. This approximation is produced by a pair of…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2019-03-19 Erdem Altuntac

A bias-reduced estimator is proposed for the mean absolute deviation parameter of a median regression model. A workaround is devised for the lack of smoothness in the sense conventionally required in general bias-reduced estimation. A local…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-05-04 Michele Lambardi di San Miniato

Recent advances in quasi-Monte Carlo integration demonstrate that the median of linearly scrambled digital net estimators achieves near-optimal convergence rates for high-dimensional integrals without requiring a priori knowledge of the…

Computation · Statistics 2026-02-03 Zexin Pan