English
Related papers

Related papers: Precise large deviations of the first passage time

200 papers

We investigate the large deviation probabilities of first passage times (FPT) of discrete-time supercritical non-lattice branching random walks (BRWs) in $\mathbb{R}^d$ where $d\geq 1$. The FPT refers to the first time the BRW enters a ball…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-08-21 Jose Blanchet , Wei Cai , Shaswat Mohanty , Zhenyuan Zhang

We study the asymptotic tail probability of the first-passage time over a moving boundary for a random walk conditioned to return to zero, where the increments of the random walk have finite variance. Typically, the asymptotic tail behavior…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-08-09 Fiona Sloothaak , Vitali Wachtel , Bert Zwart

We study the ruin problem over a risk process described by a discrete-time Markov model. In contrast to previous studies that focused on the asymptotic behaviour of ruin probabilities for large values of the initial capital, we provide a…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2013-08-26 Ilya Tkachev , Alessandro Abate

Motivated by the dynamics of resonant neurons we consider a differentiable, non-Markovian random process $x(t)$ and particularly the time after which it will reach a certain level $x_b$. The probability density of this first passage time is…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-11 T. Verechtchaguina , I. M. Sokolov , L. Schimansky-Geier

We consider the branching process in random environment $\{Z_n\}_{n\geq 0}$, which is a~population growth process where individuals reproduce independently of each other with the reproduction law randomly picked at each generation. We…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-07-30 Dariusz Buraczewski , Piotr Dyszewski

The distribution of the first-passage time (FPT)$T_a$ for a Brownian particle with drift $\mu$ subject to hitting an absorber at a level $a>0$ is well-known and given by its density $\gamma(t) = \frac{a}{\sqrt{2 \pi t^3} } e^{-\frac{(a-\mu…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2024-09-04 Alain Mazzolo

For a risk process $R_u(t)=u+ct-X(t), t\ge 0$, where $u\ge 0$ is the initial capital, $c>0$ is the premium rate and $X(t),t\ge 0$ is an aggregate claim process, we investigate the probability of the Parisian ruin \[…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-04-20 Krzysztof Debicki , Enkelejd Hashorva , Lanpeng Ji

We consider the standard first passage percolation model on $\mathbb Z^d$ with bounded and bounded away from zero weights. We show that the rescaled passage time $\widetilde{\mathbf T}_{n,X}$ restricted to a compact set $X$ satisfies a…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-04-16 Julien Verges

For a zero-delayed random walk on the real line, let $\tau(x)$, $N(x)$ and $\rho(x)$ denote the first passage time into the interval $(x,\infty)$, the number of visits to the interval $(-\infty,x]$ and the last exit time from $(-\infty,x]$,…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-12-12 Alexander Iksanov , Matthias Meiners

The first passage search of a diffusing target (prey) by multiple searchers (predators) in confinement is an important problem in the stochastic process literature. While the analogous problem in open space has been studied in some details,…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2021-01-04 Indrani Nayak , Amitabha Nandi , Dibyendu Das

We consider the problem of bounding mean first passage times for a class of continuous-time Markov chains that captures stochastic interactions between groups of identical agents. The quantitative analysis of such probabilistic population…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-04-07 Michael Backenköhler , Luca Bortolussi , Verena Wolf

We study first-passage statistics for one-dimensional random walks $S_n$ with independent and identically distributed jumps starting from the origin. We focus on the joint distribution of the first-passage time $\tau_b$ and first-passage…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2025-07-16 Mattia Radice , Giampaolo Cristadoro

Consider first passage percolation on $\mathbb{Z}^d$ with passage times given by i.i.d. random variables with common distribution $F$. Let $t_\pi(u,v)$ be the time from $u$ to $v$ for a path $\pi$ and $t(u,v)$ the minimal time among all…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-12-30 Enrique D. Andjel , Maria Eulalia Vares

Let $N$ be a positive integer, $c$ be a positive constant and $(U_n)_{n\ge 1}$ be a sequence of independent identically distributed pseudo-random variables. We assume that the $U_n$'s take their values in the discrete set…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-03-27 Aimé Lachal

Given a Gaussian risk process $R(t)=u+c(t)-X(t),t\ge 0$, the cumulative Parisian ruin probability on a finite time interval $[0,T]$ with respect to $L \geq 0$ is defined as the probability that the sojourn time that the risk process $R$…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-02-06 Svyatoslav M. Novikov

This paper is concerned with the behaviour of a L\'{e}vy process when it crosses over a positive level, $u$, starting from 0, both as $u$ becomes large and as $u$ becomes small. Our main focus is on the time, $\tau_u$, it takes the process…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-12-21 Philip S. Griffin , Ross A. Maller

We explore first-passage phenomenology for biased active processes with a renewal-type structure, focusing in particular on paradigmatic run-and-tumble models in both discrete and continuous state spaces. In general, we show there is no…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2025-12-09 Yonathan Sarmiento , Benjamin Walter , Debraj Das , Samvit Mahapatra , Édgar Roldán , Rosemary J. Harris

We give exact and explicit expressions of mean first-passage times for random walks in a rectangular domain, in both cases of reflecting boundary conditions and periodic boundary conditions. The situations with one or two absorbing targets…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-11 S. Condamin , O. Benichou

We consider the boundary crossing problem for time-homogeneous diffusions and general curvilinear boundaries. Bounds are derived for the approximation error of the one-sided (upper) boundary crossing probability when replacing the original…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-08-28 A. N. Downes , K. Borovkov

We identify the integrable stopping time $\tau_*$ with minimal $L^1$-distance to the last-passage time $\gamma_z$ to a given level $z>0$, for an arbitrary non-negative time-homogeneous transient diffusion $X$. We demonstrate that $\tau_*$…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-12-31 Kristoffer Glover , Hardy Hulley