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Related papers: Precise large deviations of the first passage time

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We study the asymptotic probability that a random walk with heavy-tailed increments crosses a high boundary on a random time interval. We use new techniques to extend results of Asmussen [Ann. Appl. Probab. 8 (1998) 354-374] to completely…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-11-29 Sergey Foss , Zbigniew Palmowski , Stan Zachary

Stochastic resetting -- the intermittent restart of random processes -- has profoundly reshaped first-passage theory, providing a mechanism to control and optimize completion times. While the influence of resetting on mean first-passage…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-03-27 Juan Antonio Vega Coso

In this paper we consider a (reflected) Brownian motion with broken drift hitting a random boundary. Some dedicated calculations allow us to obtain the formula on the joint Laplace transform of the hitting time and hitting position. These…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-10-14 Zhenwen Zhao , Yuejuan Xi

Quantifying how spatial disorder affects the movement of a diffusing particle or agent is fundamental to target search studies. When diffusion occurs on a network, that is on a highly disordered environment, we lack the mathematical tools…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2025-08-15 Daniel Marris , Chittaranjan Hens , Subrata Ghosh , Luca Giuggioli

We study the asymptotic behaviour of the tail of the distribution of the first passage time of a L\'evy process over a one-sided moving boundary. Our main result states that if the boundary behaves as $t^{\gamma}$ for large $t$ for some…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-10-03 Frank Aurzada , Tanja Kramm , Mladen Savov

This paper considers a variant of the classical Cram\'er-Lundberg model that is particularly appropriate in the credit context, with the distinguishing feature that it corresponds to a finite number of obligors. The focus is on computing…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-12-07 Guusje Delsing , Michel Mandjes

A natural extension of a right-continuous integer-valued random walk is one which can jump to the right by one or two units. First passage times above a given fixed level then admit a tractable Laplace transform (probability generating…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-08-13 Matija Vidmar

We consider a Brownian motion with linear drift that splits at fixed time points into a fixed number of branches, which may depend on the branching point. For this process, which we shall refer to as the Brownian decision tree, we…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-12-08 Krzysztof Dȩbicki , Pavel Ievlev , Nikolai Kriukov

In this paper we consider the first passage percolation with identical and independent exponentially distributions, called the Eden growth model, and we study the upper tail large deviations for the first passage time ${\rm T}$. Our main…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-01-01 Shuta Nakajima

This paper analyzes a method to approximate the first passage time probability density function which turns to be particularly useful if only sample data are available. The method relies on a Laguerre-Gamma polynomial approximation and…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-12-14 Elvira Di Nardo , Giuseppe D'Onofrio , Tommaso Martini

We consider a two-dimensional ruin problem where the surplus process of business lines is modelled by a two-dimensional correlated Brownian motion with drift. We study the ruin function $P(u)$ for the component-wise ruin (that is both…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-08-07 Krzysztof Debicki , Lanpeng Ji , Tomasz Rolski

In this paper we consider first passage percolation on the square lattice \(\mathbb{Z}^d\) with edge passage times that are independent and have uniformly bounded second moment, but not necessarily identically distributed. For integer \(n…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-04-04 Ghurumuruhan Ganesan

Even after decades of research the problem of first passage time statistics for quantum dynamics remains a challenging topic of fundamental and practical importance. Using a projective measurement approach, with a sampling time $\tau$, we…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2017-04-05 Harel Friedman , David A. Kessler , Eli Barkai

We study the last passage time in geometric last passage percolation (LPP). As the system size increases, we derive precise large deviation probabilities -- up to and including the constant terms -- for both the lower and upper tails. A key…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-10-21 Sung-Soo Byun , Christophe Charlier , Philippe Moreillon , Nick Simm

We study the asymptotics of the probabilities of extreme slowdown events for transient one-dimensional excited random walks. That is, if $\{X_n\}_{n\geq 0}$ is a transient one-dimensional excited random walk and $T_n = \min\{ k: \, X_k =…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-06-14 Jonathon Peterson

We are interested in the law of the first passage time of an Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process to time-varying thresholds. We show that this problem is connected to the laws of the first passage time of the process to members of a two-parameter…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-03-26 Aria Ahari , Larbi Alili , Massimiliano Tamborrino

We derive exact tail asymptotics of sojourn time above the level $u\geq 0$ $$ \mathbb{P}\left(v(u)\int_0^T \mathbb{I}(X(t)-ct>u)d t>x\right), \quad x\geq 0 $$ as $u\to\infty$, where $X$ is a Gaussian process with continuous sample paths,…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-08-14 Krzysztof Debicki , Peng Liu , Zbigniew Michna

For two nonstandard renewal risk models, we investigate the precise large deviations of the finite-time ruin probability and a random sum of the net-loss process, and the asymptotics of the random-time ruin probability. Notably, in one of…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-10-11 Yang Chen , Zhaolei Cui , Yuebao Wang

Consider a random walk $S_n=\sum_{i=0}^n X_i$ with negative drift. This paper deals with upper bounds for the maximum $M=\max_{n\ge 1}S_n$ of this random walk in different settings of power moment existences. As it is usual for deriving…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-07-28 Johannes Kugler , Vitali Wachtel

We study the win rate $R_{N_d}/N_d$ of a biased simple random walk $S_n$ on $\mathbb{Z}$ at the first-passage time $N_d=\inf\{n\ge 0:S_n=d\}$, with $p=P[X_1=+1]\in[1/2,1)$. Using generating-function techniques and integral representations,…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-12-29 F. Thomas Bruss , Davy Paindaveine
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