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We study the escape probability problem in random walks over graphs. Given vertices, $s,t,$ and $p$, the problem asks for the probability that a random walk starting at $s$ will hit $t$ before hitting $p$. Such probabilities can be…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2024-09-17 Jingbang Chen , Mehrdad Ghadiri , Hoai-An Nguyen , Richard Peng , Junzhao Yang

In this paper, we consider the explicit bound for the second-order approximation of the quadratic variation of a general fractional Gaussian process $(G_t)_{t\ge 0}$. The second order mixed partial derivative of the covariance function $…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-06-18 Yong Chen , Zhen Ding , Ying Li

In this paper, we study the scaling limit of a class of random walks which behave like simple random walks outside of a bounded region around the origin and which are subject to a partial reflection near the origin. If the probability of…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-11-30 Raphael Forien

In two recent papers [5] and [6], we generalized some classical results of Harmonic Analysis using probabilistic approach by means of a d- dimensional rotationally symmetric stable process. These results allow one to discuss some…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-04-07 Deniz Karli

We consider a discrete-time two-dimensional process $\{(L_{1,n},L_{2,n})\}$ on $\mathbb{Z}_+^2$ with a supplemental process $\{J_n\}$ on a finite set, where individual processes $\{L_{1,n}\}$ and $\{L_{2,n}\}$ are both skip free. We assume…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-07-19 Toshihisa Ozawa , Masahiro Kobayashi

Under some weak conditions, the first-passage time of the Brownian motion to a continuous curved boundary is an almost surely finite stopping time. Its probability density function (pdf) is explicitly known only in few particular cases.…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-01-22 Samuel Herrmann , Etienne Tanré

Let $Z$ be a subordinate Brownian motion in ${\mathbb R}^d$, $d\ge 2$, via a subordinator with Laplace exponent $\phi$. We kill the process $Z$ upon exiting a bounded open set $D\subset {\mathbb R}^d$ to obtain the killed process $Z^D$, and…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-01-16 Panki Kim , Renming Song , Zoran Vondraček

We propose a novel stochastic method to generate Brownian paths conditioned to start at an initial point and end at a given final point during a fixed time $t_{f}$ under a given potential $U(x)$. These paths are sampled with a probability…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2016-11-24 Marc Delarue , Patrice Koehl , Henri Orland

The first passage time density of a diffusion process to a time varying threshold is of primary interest in different fields. Here we consider a Brownian motion in presence of an exponentially decaying threshold to model the neuronal…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-02-18 Massimiliano Tamborrino

The strong $L^2$-approximation of occupation time functionals is studied with respect to discrete observations of a $d$-dimensional c\`adl\`ag process. Upper bounds on the error are obtained under weak assumptions, generalizing previous…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-02-02 Randolf Altmeyer

We consider the behavior of spatial point processes when subjected to a class of linear transformations indexed by a variable T. It was shown in Ellis [Adv. in Appl. Probab. 18 (1986) 646-659] that, under mild assumptions, the transformed…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Dominic Schuhmacher

Examples with bound information on the regression function and density abound in many real applications. We propose a novel approach for estimating such functions by incorporating the prior knowledge on the bounds. Specially, a Gaussian…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-10-30 Jize Zhang , Lizhen Lin

The paper analyses the sensitivity of the finite time horizon boundary non-crossing probability $F(g)$ of a general time-inhomogeneous diffusion process to perturbations of the boundary $g$. We prove that, for boundaries $g\in C^2,$ this…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-08-21 Vincent Liang , Konstantin Borovkov

A new formula for the probability that a standard Brownian motion stays between two linear boundaries is proved. A simple algorithm is deduced. Uniform precision estimates are computed. Different implementations have been made available…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-12-20 Bernard Ycart , Rémy Drouilhet

In this paper, we consider smooth shot noise processes and their expected number of level crossings. When the kernel response function is sufficiently smooth, the mean number of crossings function is obtained through an integral formula.…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-11-27 Hermine Biermé , Agnès Desolneux

This paper studies a problem of Bayesian parameter estimation for a sequence of scaled counting processes whose weak limit is a Brownian motion with an unknown drift. The main result of the paper is that the limit of the posterior…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-03-19 Asaf Cohen

We investigate some simple and surprising properties of a one-dimensional Brownian trajectory with diffusion coefficient $D$ that starts at the origin and reaches $X$ either: (i) at time $T$ or (ii) for the first time at time $T$. We…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2016-11-22 Uttam Bhat , S. Redner

Prompted by an example arising in critical percolation, we study some reflected Brownian motions in symmetric planar domains and show that they are intertwined with one-dimensional diffusions. In the case of a wedge, the reflected Brownian…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Julien Dubedat

We extend Monte Carlo samplers based on piecewise deterministic Markov processes (PDMP samplers) by formally defining different boundary conditions such as sticky floors, soft and hard walls and teleportation portals. This allows PDMP…

Computation · Statistics 2023-03-15 Joris Bierkens , Sebastiano Grazzi , Gareth Roberts , Moritz Schauer

Fractional Brownian motion is a Gaussian process x(t) with zero mean and two-time correlations <x(t)x(s)> ~ t^{2H} + s^{2H} - |t-s|^{2H}, where H, with 0<H<1 is called the Hurst exponent. For H = 1/2, x(t) is a Brownian motion, while for H…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2013-05-29 Kay Jörg Wiese , Satya N. Majumdar , Alberto Rosso