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Different methods are used to determine the scaling exponents associated with a time series describing a complex dynamical process, such as those observed in geophysical systems. Many of these methods are based on the numerical evaluation…

Geophysics · Physics 2007-05-23 Nicola Scafetta , Bruce J. West

Motivated by the fact that empirical time series of earthquakes exhibit long-range correlations in space and time and the Gutenberg-Richter distribution of magnitudes, we propose a simple fault model that can account for these types of…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2020-01-29 Marco Baiesi

Forest-fire waiting times, defined as the time between successive events above a certain size in a given region, are calculated for Italy. The probability densities of the waiting times are found to verify a scaling law, despite that fact…

Geophysics · Physics 2009-11-13 Alvaro Corral , Luciano Telesca , Rosa Lasaponara

In this work we used fractal statistics in order to decipher the mechanisms acting during explosive volcanic eruptions by studying the grain size distribution (GSD) of natural pyroclastic-fall deposits. The method was applied to lithic-rich…

Using the standard ETAS model of triggered seismicity, we present a rigorous theoretical analysis of the main statistical properties of temporal clusters, defined as the group of events triggered by a given main shock of fixed magnitude m…

Geophysics · Physics 2017-08-24 A. Saichev , D. Sornette

The distribution of seismic moment is of capital interest to evaluate earthquake hazard, in particular regarding the most extreme events. We make use of likelihood-ratio tests to compare the simple Gutenberg-Richter power-law distribution…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2015-09-07 Isabel Serra , Álvaro Corral

Seismic wave amplification due to localized site conditions is an important aspect of regional seismic hazard assessment. Without systematic studies of frequency-dependent site-effects during strong Icelandic earthquakes, various local site…

Geophysics · Physics 2024-07-15 Atefe Darzi , Benedikt Halldorsson , Fabrice Cotton , Sahar Rahpeyma

We study earthquake interval time statistics, paying special attention to inter-occurrence times in the two-dimensional (2D) stick-slip (block-slider) model. Inter-occurrence times are the time interval between successive earthquakes on all…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2017-08-23 Tomohiro Hasumi , Yoji Aizawa

The statistical properties of the seismic time series data in southern California are studies. In particular, the calm time intervals, which are the time intervals between successive significant earthquakes above the fixed threshold value…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2009-09-29 Sumiyoshi Abe , Norikazu Suzuki

Forecasting volcanic eruptions remains a formidable challenge due to the inherent complexity and variability of volcanic processes. A key source of uncertainty arises from the sporadic nature of volcanic unrest, which is often characterised…

Geophysics · Physics 2025-03-03 Qinghua Lei , Didier Sornette

We consider a branching model of triggered seismicity, the ETAS (epidemic-type aftershock sequence) model which assumes that each earthquake can trigger other earthquakes (``aftershocks''). An aftershock sequence results in this model from…

Geophysics · Physics 2009-11-10 A. Saichev , D. Sornette

A hanging glacier at the east face of Weisshorn (Switzerland) broke off in 2005. We were able to monitor and measure surface motion and icequake activity for 25 days up to three days prior to the break-off. The analysis of seismic waves…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2015-05-20 Jerome Faillettaz , Didier Sornette , Martin Funk

The origin of power-law distributions in self-organized criticality is investigated by treating the variation of the number of active sites in the system as a stochastic process. An avalanche is then regarded as a first-return random walk…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-10 C. B. Yang

Following the observations of the self-similarity in various length scales in the roughness of the fractured solid surfaces, we propose here a new model for the earthquake. We demonstrate rigorously that the contact area distribution…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-10-31 Bikas K. Chakrabarti , Robin B. Stinchcombe

The statistical property of the calm times, i.e., time intervals between successive earthquakes with arbitrary values of magnitude, is studied by analyzing the seismic time series data in California and Japan. It is found that the calm…

Other Condensed Matter · Physics 2009-11-10 Sumiyoshi Abe , Norikazu Suzuki

Event correlation between aftershocks in the coherent noise model is studied by making use of natural time, which has recently been introduced in complex time-series analysis. It is found that the aging phenomenon and the associated scaling…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-10 Ugur Tirnakli , Sumiyoshi Abe

Aftershock sequences are of particular interest in seismic research since they may condition seismic activity in a given region over long time spans. While they are typically identified with periods of enhanced seismic activity after a…

Geophysics · Physics 2015-05-18 Tiago P. Peixoto , Katharina Doblhoff-Dier , Jörn Davidsen

Explosive eruptions are the surface manifestation of dynamics that involve transfer of magma from the underground regions of magma accumulation. Evidence of the involvement of compositionally different magmas from different reservoirs is…

Geophysics · Physics 2020-12-01 Simone Colucci , Paolo Papale

In this paper, we explore the analogy between the refugees' drownings in the sea and the earthquakes' occurrences and focus on the aspect that characterizes the statistics of their spatial and temporal successions. The former is shown to…

Physics and Society · Physics 2020-10-20 Ashod Khederlarian , Martin Grant , Monika Halkort , Sara Najem

We study statistical properties of spatial distances between successive earthquakes, the so-called hypocenter intervals, produced by a two-dimensional (2D) Burridge-Knopoff model involving stick-slip behavior. It is found that cumulative…

Other Condensed Matter · Physics 2008-12-12 Tomohiro Hasumi
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