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We develop a stochastic model for Lagrangian velocity as it is observed in experimental and numerical fully developed turbulent flows. We define it as the unique statistically stationary solution of a causal dynamics, given by a stochastic…

We consider an infinite-dimensional stochastic clustering model on $\mathbb{R}$. In discrete time, each point of a unit-intensity simple point process moves halfway toward either of its left or right neighbors, chosen uniformly at random.…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-03-10 Partha S. Dey , S. Rasoul Etesami , Aditya S. Gopalan

We propose a formalism to analyze discrete stochastic processes with finite-state-level N. By using an (N+1)-dimensional representation of su(2) Lie algebra, we re-express the master equation to a time-evolution equation for the state…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-10-27 Takashi Arai

Several versions of It\^{o}'s formula have been obtained in the context of the functional stochastic calculus. Here, we revisit this topic in two ways. First, by defining a notion of derivative along a functional, we extend the setting of…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-02-25 Christian Houdré , Jorge Víquez

Reinforced processes are known to provide a stochastic representation for the quasi-stationary distribution of a given killed Markov process - describing the killed Markov process at fixed time instants. In this paper we shall adapt the…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-02-10 Oliver Tough

Markov jump processes (or continuous-time Markov chains) are a simple and important class of continuous-time dynamical systems. In this paper, we tackle the problem of simulating from the posterior distribution over paths in these models,…

Computation · Statistics 2013-10-21 Vinayak Rao , Yee Whye Teh

The Path-dependent Neural Jump ODE (PD-NJ-ODE) is a model for online prediction of generic (possibly non-Markovian) stochastic processes with irregular (in time) and potentially incomplete (with respect to coordinates) observations. It is a…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-07-29 Florian Krach , Josef Teichmann

Stochastic processes are considered on free loop spaces, geometric loop and diffeomorphism groups of real and complex manifolds. They are used for investigations of Wiener differentiable quasi-invariant measures on such groups relative to…

Group Theory · Mathematics 2007-05-23 S. V. Ludkovsky

We propose a direct numerical method to calculate the statistics of the number of transitions in stochastic processes, without having to resort to Monte Carlo calculations. The method is based on a generating function method, and arbitrary…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-05-18 Jun Ohkubo , Thomas Eggel

We address a class of backward stochastic differential equations on a bounded interval, where the driving noise is a marked, or multivariate, point process. Assuming that the jump times are totally inaccessible and a technical condition…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-06-28 Fulvia Confortola , Marco Fuhrman , Jean Jacod

Complex systems are characterized by a huge number of degrees of freedom often interacting in a non-linear manner. In many cases macroscopic states, however, can be characterized by a small number of order parameters that obey stochastic…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2012-02-20 David Kleinhans

This paper introduces a drift optimization model of stochastic optimization problems driven by regulated stochastic processes. A broad range of problems across operations research, machine learning, and statistics can be viewed as…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-06-10 Zihe Zhou , Harsha Honnappa , Raghu Pasupathy

We investigate the convergence of hitting times for jump-diffusion processes. Specifically, we study a sequence of stochastic differential equations with jumps. Under reasonable assumptions, we establish the convergence of solutions to the…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-10-09 Georgiy Shevchenko

In this paper we consider a stochastic process that may experience random reset events which bring suddenly the system to the starting value and analyze the relevant statistical magnitudes. We focus our attention on monotonous…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2013-01-21 Miquel Montero , Javier Villarroel

In this work, we consider rather general and broad class of Markov chains, Ito chains, that look like Euler-Maryama discretization of some Stochastic Differential Equation. The chain we study is a unified framework for theoretical analysis.…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-04-02 Aleksei Ustimenko , Aleksandr Beznosikov

In this paper, we consider parameter estimation for stochastic differential equations driven by Wiener processes and compound Poisson processes. We assume unknown parameters corresponding to coefficients of the drift term, diffusion term,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-12-31 Shuntaro Suzuki , Takaaki Wakamatsu , Yasutaka Shimizu

We study the performance of a stochastic algorithm based on the power method that adaptively learns the large deviation functions characterizing the fluctuations of additive functionals of Markov processes, used in physics to model…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2023-03-30 Francesco Coghi , Hugo Touchette

We approximate stochastic processes in finite dimension by dynamical systems. We provide trajectorial estimates which are uniform with respect to the initial condition for a well chosen distance. This relies on some non-expansivity property…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-01-11 Vincent Bansaye

In this paper we consider the nonparametric functional estimation of the drift of Gaussian processes using Paley-Wiener and Karhunen-Lo\`eve expansions. We construct efficient estimators for the drift of such processes, and prove their…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-08-20 Nicolas Privault , Anthony Reveillac

Piecewise-deterministic Markov processes (PDMPs) offer a powerful stochastic modeling framework that combines deterministic trajectories with random perturbations at random times. Estimating their local characteristics (particularly the…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-12-29 Romain Azaïs , Solune Denis
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