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These lecture notes aim at a post-Bachelor audience with a background at an introductory level in Applied Mathematics and Applied Statistics. They discuss the logic and methodology of the Bayes-Laplace approach to inductive statistical…

Applications · Statistics 2022-08-31 Henk van Elst

Parameter inference, i.e. inferring the posterior distribution of the parameters of a statistical model given some data, is a central problem to many scientific disciplines. Generative models can be used as an alternative to Markov Chain…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-06-06 Pablo Lemos , Adam Coogan , Yashar Hezaveh , Laurence Perreault-Levasseur

We present a framework for generating multiple imputations for continuous data when the missing data mechanism is unknown. Imputations are generated from more than one imputation model in order to incorporate uncertainty regarding the…

Applications · Statistics 2013-01-14 Juned Siddique , Ofer Harel , Catherine M. Crespi

Autoregressive models are a class of time series models that are important in both applied and theoretical statistics. Typically, inferential devices such as confidence sets and hypothesis tests for time series models require nuanced…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-01-19 Hien Duy Nguyen

Statistical matching is a technique for integrating two or more data sets when information available for matching records for individual participants across data sets is incomplete. Statistical matching can be viewed as a missing data…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-10-14 Jae-kwang Kim , Emily Berg , Taesung Park

We propose a new perspective for the evaluation of matching procedures by considering the complexity of the function class they belong to. Under this perspective we provide theoretical guarantees on post-matching covariate balance through a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-01-04 Efrén Cruz Cortés , Kevin Josey , Fan Yang , Debashis Ghosh

Preferential sampling is a common feature in geostatistics and occurs when the locations to be sampled are chosen based on information about the phenomena under study. In this case, point pattern models are commonly used as the probability…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-10-27 Douglas Mateus da Silva , Dani Gamerman

While data science is battling to extract information from the enormous explosion of data, many estimators and algorithms are being developed for better prediction. Researchers and data scientists often introduce new methods and evaluate…

Applications · Statistics 2019-05-22 Raju Rimal , Trygve Almøy , Solve Sæbø

We propose a posterior sampling algorithm for the problem of estimating multiple independent source signals from their noisy superposition. The proposed algorithm is a combination of Gibbs sampling method and plug-and-play (PnP) diffusion…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-09-17 Yi Zhang , Rui Guo , Yonina C. Eldar

Bayesian synthetic likelihood (BSL) is now an established method for conducting approximate Bayesian inference in models where, due to the intractability of the likelihood function, exact Bayesian approaches are either infeasible or…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-06-12 David T. Frazier , Christopher Drovandi

Missing data is a common issue in real-world datasets. This paper studies the performance of impute-then-regress pipelines by contrasting theoretical and empirical evidence. We establish the asymptotic consistency of such pipelines for a…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-01-08 Dimitris Bertsimas , Arthur Delarue , Jean Pauphilet

Predictive variability due to data ambiguities has typically been addressed via construction of dedicated models with built-in probabilistic capabilities that are trained to predict uncertainty estimates as variables of interest. These…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-08-04 Katarína Tóthová , Ľubor Ladický , Daniel Thul , Marc Pollefeys , Ender Konukoglu

We study the asymptotic frequentist coverage of credible sets based on a novel Bayesian approach for a multiple linear regression model under variable selection. We initially ignore the issue of variable selection, which allows us to put a…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-06-21 Samhita Pal , Subhashis Ghosal

Hypothesis testing methods that do not rely on exact distribution assumptions have been emerging lately. The method of sign-perturbed sums (SPS) is capable of characterizing confidence regions with exact confidence levels for linear…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2017-07-03 Sándor Kolumbán , István Vajk , Johan Schoukens

Prediction-powered inference is a framework for performing valid statistical inference when an experimental dataset is supplemented with predictions from a machine-learning system. The framework yields simple algorithms for computing…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-11-10 Anastasios N. Angelopoulos , Stephen Bates , Clara Fannjiang , Michael I. Jordan , Tijana Zrnic

Penalized regression methods, such as lasso and elastic net, are used in many biomedical applications when simultaneous regression coefficient estimation and variable selection is desired. However, missing data complicates the…

There is wide agreement on the importance of implementation data from randomized effectiveness studies in behavioral science; however, there are few methods available to incorporate these data into causal models, especially when they are…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-05-17 Sooyong Lee , Adam C Sales , Hyeon-Ah Kang , Tiffany A. Whittaker

With the development of new remote sensing technology, large or even massive spatial datasets covering the globe become available. Statistical analysis of such data is challenging. This article proposes a semiparametric approach to model…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-10-24 Pulong Ma , Emily L. Kang

In recent years, the shortcomings of Bayesian posteriors as inferential devices have received increased attention. A popular strategy for fixing them has been to instead target a Gibbs measure based on losses that connect a parameter of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-04-24 David T. Frazier , Jeremias Knoblauch , Jack Jewson , Christopher Drovandi

Missing value imputation is an important practical problem. There is a large body of work on it, but there does not exist any work that formulates the problem in a structured output setting. Also, most applications have constraints on the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2013-11-12 Rahul Kidambi , Vinod Nair , Sundararajan Sellamanickam , S. Sathiya Keerthi