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The last decade has seen max-stable processes emerge as a common tool for the statistical modeling of spatial extremes. However, their application is complicated due to the unavailability of the multivariate density function, and so…

Methodology · Statistics 2009-02-23 Simone A. Padoan , Mathieu Ribatet , Scott A. Sisson

Penalized regression models such as the Lasso have proved useful for variable selection in many fields - especially for situations with high-dimensional data where the numbers of predictors far exceeds the number of observations. These…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-03-19 Kasper Brink-Jensen , Claus Thorn Ekstrøm

Variational inference techniques based on inducing variables provide an elegant framework for scalable posterior estimation in Gaussian process (GP) models. Besides enabling scalability, one of their main advantages over sparse…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-02-24 Simone Rossi , Markus Heinonen , Edwin V. Bonilla , Zheyang Shen , Maurizio Filippone

Dynamic factor models are often estimated by point-estimation methods, disregarding parameter uncertainty. We propose a method accounting for parameter uncertainty by means of posterior approximation, using variational inference. Our…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-10-14 Erik Spånberg

Recently maximum pseudo-likelihood (MPL) inference method has been successfully applied to statistical physics models with intractable likelihoods. We use information theory to derive a relation between the pseudo-likelihood and likelihood…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2015-06-18 Alexander Mozeika , Onur Dikmen , Joonas Piili

This paper develops a multifidelity method that enables estimation of failure probabilities for expensive-to-evaluate models via information fusion and importance sampling. The presented general fusion method combines multiple probability…

The combination of inducing point methods with stochastic variational inference has enabled approximate Gaussian Process (GP) inference on large datasets. Unfortunately, the resulting predictive distributions often exhibit substantially…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-12-29 Martin Jankowiak , Geoff Pleiss , Jacob R. Gardner

Learning from negative samples holds great promise for improving Large Language Model (LLM) reasoning capability, yet existing methods treat all incorrect responses as equally informative, overlooking the crucial role of sample quality. To…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-05 Zixiang Di , Jinyi Han , Shuo Zhang , Ying Liao , Zhi Li , Xiaofeng Ji , Yongqi Wang , Zheming Yang , Ming Gao , Bingdong Li , Jie Wang

For data with high-dimensional covariates but small to moderate sample sizes, the analysis of single datasets often generates unsatisfactory results. The integrative analysis of multiple independent datasets provides an effective way of…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-01-19 Yuan Huang , Qingzhao Zhang , Sanguo Zhang , Jian Huang , Shuangge Ma

The authors propose a robust semi-parametric empirical likelihood method to integrate all available information from multiple samples with a common center of measurements. Two different sets of estimating equations are used to improve the…

Methodology · Statistics 2012-10-03 Hsiao-Hsuan Wang , Yuehua Wu , Yuejiao Fu , Xiaogang Wang

Modeling large dependent datasets in modern time series analysis is a crucial research area. One effective approach to handle such datasets is to transform the observations into density functions and apply statistical methods for further…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-07-23 Yinzhi Wang , Yingqiu Zhu , Ben-Chang Shia , Lei Qin

Conformal prediction provides model-agnostic and distribution-free uncertainty quantification through prediction sets that are guaranteed to include the ground truth with any user-specified probability. Yet, conformal prediction is not…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-03-18 Yan Scholten , Stephan Günnemann

Several strategies have been developed recently to ensure valid inference after model selection; some of these are easy to compute, while others fare better in terms of inferential power. In this paper, we consider a selective inference…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-07-13 Snigdha Panigrahi , Jonathan Taylor

We study a linear observation model with an unknown permutation called \textit{permuted/shuffled linear regression}, where responses and covariates are mismatched and the permutation forms a discrete, factorial-size parameter. The…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-01-23 Hirofumi Ota , Masaaki Imaizumi

In analyzing big data for finite population inference, it is critical to adjust for the selection bias in the big data. In this paper, we propose two methods of reducing the selection bias associated with the big data sample. The first…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-01-08 Jae Kwang Kim , Zhonglei Wang

Item nonresponse is frequently encountered in practice. Ignoring missing data can lose efficiency and lead to misleading inference. Fractional imputation is a frequentist approach of imputation for handling missing data. However, the…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-09-18 Hejian Sang , Jae Kwang Kim

In this paper, a class of resampling techniques for finite populations under complex sampling design is introduced. The basic idea on which it rests is a two-step procedure consisting in : (i) constructing a pseudo-population on the basis…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-07-21 Pier Luigi Conti , Daniela Marella , Fulvia Mecatti , Federico Andreis

We study tools for inference conditioned on model selection events that are defined by the generalized lasso regularization path. The generalized lasso estimate is given by the solution of a penalized least squares regression problem, where…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-06-14 Sangwon Hyun , Max G'Sell , Ryan J. Tibshirani

We study high-dimensional regression with missing entries in the covariates. A common strategy in practice is to \emph{impute} the missing entries with an appropriate substitute and then implement a standard statistical procedure acting as…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-01-28 Kabir Aladin Chandrasekher , Ahmed El Alaoui , Andrea Montanari

It is common practice in statistical data analysis to perform data-driven variable selection and derive statistical inference from the resulting model. Such inference enjoys none of the guarantees that classical statistical theory provides…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-06-06 Richard Berk , Lawrence Brown , Andreas Buja , Kai Zhang , Linda Zhao