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In this paper we propagate a large deviations approach for proving limit theory for (generally) multivariate time series with heavy tails. We make this notion precise by introducing regularly varying time series. We provide general large…
We establish the central limit theorem for linear processes with dependent innovations including martingales and mixingale type of assumptions as defined in McLeish [Ann. Probab. 5 (1977) 616--621] and motivated by Gordin [Soviet Math.…
We study weak convergence of empirical processes of dependent data $(X_i)_{i\geq0}$, indexed by classes of functions. Our results are especially suitable for data arising from dynamical systems and Markov chains, where the central limit…
Hawkes process is a class of simple point processes that is self-exciting and has clustering effect. The intensity of this point process depends on its entire past history. It has wide applications in finance, neuroscience and many other…
A general class of non-Markov, supercritical Gaussian branching particle systems is introduced and its long-time asymptotics is studied. Both weak and strong laws of large numbers are developed with the limit object being characterized in…
We study large time behavior of critical marked Hawkes processes and related branching particle systems. In case of marked Hawkes processes we assume that the kernel function has multiplicative form and the marks corresponding to the events…
We obtain large deviations theorems for nonconventional sums with underlying process being a Markov process satisfying the Doeblin condition or a dynamical system such as subshift of finite type or hyperbolic or expanding transformation.
We introduce LAMP: the Linear Additive Markov Process. Transitions in LAMP may be influenced by states visited in the distant history of the process, but unlike higher-order Markov processes, LAMP retains an efficient parametrization. LAMP…
Studying the behaviour of Markov processes at boundary points of the state space has a long history, dating back all the way to William Feller. With different motivations in mind entrance and exit questions have been explored for different…
We explore two notions of stationary processes. The first is called a random-step Markov process in which the stationary process of states, $(X_i)_{i \in \mathbb{Z}}$ has a stationary coupling with an independent process on the positive…
This paper consists of $3$ parts. The first part only considers classical processes and introduces two different extensions of the notion of hidden Markov process. In the second part, the notion of quantum hidden process is introduced. In…
We consider a class of slow-fast processes on a connected complete Riemannian manifold $M$.The limiting dynamics as the scale separation goes to $\infty$ is governed by the averaging principle. Around this limit, we prove large deviation…
We study discrete time Markov processes with periodic or open boundary conditions and with inhomogeneous rates in the bulk. The Markov matrices are given by the inhomogeneous transfer matrices introduced previously to prove the…
We register a random sequence which has the following properties: it has three segments being the homogeneous Markov processes. Each segment has his own one step transition probability law and the length of the segment is unknown and…
We study the long-time behaviour of matrix-valued stochastic exponentials of L\'evy processes, i.e. of multiplicative L\'evy processes in the general linear group. In particular, we prove laws of large numbers as well as central limit…
We prove pathwise large-deviation principles of switching Markov processes by exploiting the connection to associated Hamilton-Jacobi equations, following Jin Feng's and Thomas Kurtz's method. In the limit that we consider, we show how the…
Time-irreversible stochastic processes are frequently used in natural sciences to explain non-equilibrium phenomena and to design efficient stochastic algorithms. Our main goal in this thesis is to analyse their dynamics by means of large…
Multistate Markov models are a canonical parametric approach for data modeling of observed or latent stochastic processes supported on a finite state space. Continuous-time Markov processes describe data that are observed irregularly over…
In this short note we consider semi-Markov processes satisfying the condition of direction-time independence (Markov renewal processes). We derive large deviation principles and fluctuation theorems for the empirical current and the…
We discuss Pitman's representation of a Markov process, which serves as a discrete analog to the Bessel 3D process starting at time 0 from an arbitrary initial law. This representation involves maxima of lazy simple random walks and an…