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In a given problem, the Bayesian statistical paradigm requires the specification of a prior distribution that quantifies relevant information about the unknowns of main interest external to the data. In cases where little such information…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-10-11 Alexander Terenin , David Draper

The Yule branching process is a classical model for the random generation of gene tree topologies in population genetics. It generates binary ranked trees -- also called "histories" -- with a finite number $n$ of leaves. We study the…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-08-10 Filippo Disanto , Michael Fuchs

Some martingale characterizations of compound mixed Poisson processes are proven, extending S. Watanabe's (1964) martingale characterization of Poisson processes as well as the main result of Lyberopoulos and Macheras (2012), concerning…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-04-20 Demetrios P. Lyberopoulos , Nikolaos D. Macheras

We construct a stationary random tree, embedded in the upper half plane, with prescribed offspring distribution and whose vertices are the atoms of a unit Poisson point process. This process which we call Hammersley's tree process extends…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-05-11 Anne-Laure Basdevant , Lucas Gerin , Jean-Baptiste Gouere , Arvind Singh

We discuss some applications of the Mittag-Leffler function and related probability distributions in the theory of renewal processes and continuous time random walks. In particular we show the asymptotic (long time) equivalence of a generic…

Probability · Mathematics 2010-04-27 Rudolf Gorenflo

In this article, we introduce fractional Poisson felds of order k in n-dimensional Euclidean space $R_n^+$. We also work on time-fractional Poisson process of order k, space-fractional Poisson process of order k and tempered version of…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-03-12 Neha Gupta , Arun Kumar

When an advantageous mutation occurs in a population, the favorable allele may spread to the entire population in a short time, an event known as a selective sweep. As a result, when we sample $n$ individuals from a population and trace…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Rick Durrett , Jason Schweinsberg

We study linear statistics of a class of determinantal processes which interpolate between Poisson and GUE/Ginibre statistics in dimension 1 or 2. These processes are obtained by performing an independent Bernoulli percolation on the…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-07-23 Gaultier Lambert

A well-established model for the genealogy of a large population in equilibrium is Kingman's coalescent. For the population together with its genealogy evolving in time, this gives rise to a time-stationary tree-valued process. We study the…

Probability · Mathematics 2010-05-18 Peter Pfaffelhuber , Anton Wakolbinger , Heinz Weisshaupt

We prove large deviation principles for two versions of fractional Poisson processes. Firstly we consider the main version which is a renewal process; we also present large deviation estimates for the ruin probabilities of an insurance…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-11-26 Luisa Beghin , Claudio Macci

The fractional Poisson process and the Wright process (as discretization of the stable subordinator) along with their diffusion limits play eminent roles in theory and simulation of fractional diffusion processes. Here we have analyzed…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-01-14 Rudolf Gorenflo , Francesco Mainardi

What constitutes jointly Poisson processes remains an unresolved issue. This report reviews the current state of the theory and indicates how the accepted but unproven model equals that resulting from the small time-interval limit of…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2009-11-16 D. H. Johnson , I. N. Goodman

Using the recently developed notion of permutation limits this paper derives the limiting distribution of the number of fixed points and cycle structure for any convergent sequence of random permutations, under mild regularity conditions.…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-07-14 Sumit Mukherjee

We propose a stochastic process driven by the memory effect with novel distributions which include both exponential and leptokurtic heavy-tailed distributions. A class of the distributions is analytically derived from the continuum limit of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-03-27 Jongwook Kim , Teppei Okumura

Scientists often re-invent things that were long known. Here we review these activities as related to the mechanism of producing power law distributions, originally proposed in 1922 by Yule to explain experimental data on the sizes of…

Physics and Society · Physics 2011-04-15 M. V. Simkin , V. P. Roychowdhury

In this paper we study the iterated birth process of which we examine the first-passage time distributions and the hitting probabilities. Furthermore, linear birth processes, linear and sublinear death processes at Poisson times are…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-03-23 L. Beghin , E. Orsingher

Motivated by the probabilistic methods for nonlinear differential equations introduced by McKean (1975) for the Kolmogorov-Petrovski-Piskunov (KPP) equation, and by Le Jan and Sznitman (1997) for the incompressible Navier-Stokes equations,…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-10-04 Radu Dascaliuc , Tuan N. Pham , Enrique Thomann , Edward C. Waymire

Self-normalized processes arise naturally in statistical applications. Being unit free, they are not affected by scale changes. Moreover, self-normalization often eliminates or weakens moment assumptions. In this paper we present several…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Victor H. de la Pena , Michael J. Klass , Tze Leung Lai

This is an expository review paper illustrating the ``martingale method'' for proving many-server heavy-traffic stochastic-process limits for queueing models, supporting diffusion-process approximations. Careful treatment is given to an…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-12-28 Guodong Pang , Rishi Talreja , Ward Whitt

We propose a class of non-Markov population models with continuous or discrete state space via a limiting procedure involving sequences of rescaled and randomly time-changed Galton--Watson processes. The class includes as specific cases the…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-01-12 Luisa Andreis , Federico Polito , Laura Sacerdote