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Positive $T$-martingales were developed as a general framework that extends the positive measure-valued martingales and are meant to model intermittent turbulence. We extend their scope by allowing the martingale to take complex values. We…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-08-14 Julien Barral , Xiong Jin , Benoît Mandelbrot

In \cite{hZ09}, Zessin constructed the so-called P\'olya sum process via partial integration technique. This process shares some important properties with the Poisson process such as complete randomness and infinite divisibility. This work…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-02-27 Mathias Rafler

This work defines and investigates the properties of the Max-U-Exp distribution. The method of moments is applied in order to estimate its parameters. Then, by using the previous general theory about Mixed Poisson processes, developed by…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-02-15 Pavlina K. Jordanova , Evelina Veleva

We study coalescent processes conditional on the population pedigree under the exchangeable diploid bi-parental population model of \citet{BirknerEtAl2018}. While classical coalescent models average over all reproductive histories, thereby…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-05-22 Frederic Alberti , Matthias Birkner , Wai-Tong Louis Fan , John Wakeley

This work shows how exponential concentration inequalities for additive functionals of stochastic processes over a finite time interval can be derived from concentration inequalities for martingales. The approach is entirely probabilistic…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-07-14 Bob Pepin

After sketching the basic principles of renewal theory we discuss the classical Poisson process and offer two other processes, namely the renewal process of Mittag-Leffler type and the renewal process of Wright type, so named by us because…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Francesco Mainardi , Rudolf Gorenflo , Alessandro Vivoli

We construct admissible circulant Laplacian matrix functions as generators for strictly increasing random walks on the integer line. These Laplacian matrix functions refer to a certain class of Bernstein functions. The approach has…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-12-10 Thomas M. Michelitsch , Federico Polito , Alejandro P. Riascos

A prediction interval covers a future observation from a random process in repeated sampling, and is typically constructed by identifying a pivotal quantity that is also an ancillary statistic. Analogously, a tolerance interval covers a…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-01-19 Geoffrey S Johnson

In this paper, we study a Galton-Watson process $(Z_n)$ with infinitely many types in a random ergodic environment $\bar{\xi}=(\xi_n)_{n\geq 0}$. We focus on the supercritical regime of the process, where the quenched average of the size of…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-02-07 Maxime Ligonnière

A superprocess limit for an interacting birth-death particle system modelling a population with trait and physical age-structures is established. Traits of newborn offspring are inherited from the parents except when mutations occur, while…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-11-29 Sylvie Méléard , Viet Chi Tran

This paper gives an elementary proof for the following theorem: a renewal process can be represented by a doubly-stochastic Poisson process (DSPP) if and only if the Laplace-Stieltjes transform of the inter-arrival times is of the following…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-09-30 Xinlong Du , Harsha Honnappa

This paper introduces and studies a new class of nonparametric prior distributions. Random probability distribution functions are constructed via normalization of random measures driven by increasing additive processes. In particular, we…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Luis E. Nieto-Barajas , Igor Prunster , Stephen G. Walker

We prove a dichotomy for Manneville-Pomeau maps $f:[0,1]\to [0, 1]$: given any point $\zeta\in [0,1]$, either the Rare Events Point Processes (REPP), counting the number of exceedances, which correspond to entrances in balls around $\zeta$,…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2017-06-27 Ana Cristina Moreira Freitas , Jorge Milhazes Freitas , Mike Todd , Sandro Vaienti

This paper investigates the martingale characterizations of non-homogeneous counting processes and their fractional generalizations. We show that the weighted sum of non-homogeneous Poisson processes (NPPs) is the non-homogeneous…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-12-24 Kartik Tathe , Sayan Ghosh

We propose an alternative delayed population growth difference equation model based on a modification of the Beverton-Holt recurrence, assuming a delay only in the growth contribution that takes into account that those individuals that die…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2022-10-24 Sabrina H. Streipert , Gail S. K. Wolkowicz

We propose an effective exponential model of delay discounting considering fluctuation in impulsivity. This model is seen to be dual to the two-parameter Tsallis model of delay discounting proposed by Takahashi in 2007. We demonstrate that…

Physics and Society · Physics 2023-05-22 Trambak Bhattacharyya , Shanu Shukla , Ranu Pandey

In this paper, we introduce and study fractional versions of three compound Poisson processes, namely, the Bell-Touchard process, the Poisson-logarithmic process and the generalized P\'olya-Aeppli process. It is shown that these processes…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-07-11 M. Khandakar , K. K. Kataria

A workload model using the infinite source Poisson model for bursts is combined with the on--off model for within burst activity. Burst durations and on--off durations are assumed to have heavy-tailed distributions with infinite variance…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2011-06-06 David A. Rolls

Dirichlet distribution and Dirichlet process as its infinite dimensional generalization are primarily used conjugate prior of categorical and multinomial distributions in Bayesian statistics. Extensions have been proposed to broaden…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-12-05 Xuenan Feng

We study a random tree, which was introduced by Ajazi et al. as part of a model of a neuronal network. Realising a scaling relation for the law of the tree, we can use elementary techniques to derive asymptotic results on the geometry as…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-06-25 Lukas Schoug
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