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A new estimator for three-center two-particle Coulomb integrals is presented. Our estimator is exact for some classes of integrals and is much more efficient than the standard Schwartz counterpart due to the proper account of distance…

Chemical Physics · Physics 2015-09-02 David S. Hollman , Henry F. Schaefer , Edward F. Valeev

We consider the problem of computing the probability of maximality (PoM) of a Gaussian random vector, i.e., the probability for each dimension to be maximal. This is a key challenge in applications ranging from Bayesian optimization to…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-07-15 Nicolas Menet , Jonas Hübotter , Parnian Kassraie , Andreas Krause

We study estimation of causal effects in staggered rollout designs, i.e. settings where there is staggered treatment adoption and the timing of treatment is as-good-as randomly assigned. We derive the most efficient estimator in a class of…

Econometrics · Economics 2023-05-18 Jonathan Roth , Pedro H. C. Sant'Anna

There is growing interest in developing statistical estimators that achieve exponential concentration around a population target even when the data distribution has heavier than exponential tails. More recent activity has focused on…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-04-22 Jakwang Kim , Jiyoung Park , Anirban Bhattacharya

This paper investigates the iterates $\hbb^1,\dots,\hbb^T$ obtained from iterative algorithms in high-dimensional linear regression problems, in the regime where the feature dimension $p$ is comparable with the sample size $n$, i.e., $p…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-04-30 Pierre C. Bellec , Kai Tan

We derive new and improved non-asymptotic deviation inequalities for the sample average approximation (SAA) of an optimization problem. Our results give strong error probability bounds that are "sub-Gaussian"~even when the randomness of the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-03-28 Roberto I. Oliveira , Philip Thompson

Marginal structural models are a popular method for estimating causal effects in the presence of time-varying exposures. In spite of their popularity, no scalable non-parametric estimator exist for marginal structural models with…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-09-30 Axel Martin , Michele Santacatterina , Iván Díaz

When studying treatment effects in multilevel studies, investigators commonly use (semi-)parametric estimators, which make strong parametric assumptions about the outcome, the treatment, and/or the correlation structure between study units…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-05-12 Chan Park , Hyunseung Kang

Highly robust and efficient estimators for the generalized linear model with a dispersion parameter are proposed. The estimators are based on three steps. In the first step the maximum rank correlation estimator is used to consistently…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-03-29 Michael Amiguet , Alfio Marazzi , Marina Valdora , Victor Yohai

In this paper is proposed a new heuristic approach belonging to the field of evolutionary Estimation of Distribution Algorithms (EDAs). EDAs builds a probability model and a set of solutions is sampled from the model which characterizes the…

We study the problem of constrained efficient global optimization, where both the objective and constraints are expensive black-box functions that can be learned with Gaussian processes. We propose CONFIG (CONstrained efFIcient Global…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-02-07 Wenjie Xu , Yuning Jiang , Bratislav Svetozarevic , Colin N. Jones

Four types of explicit estimators are proposed here to estimate the loss rates of the links in a network with the tree topology and all of them are derived by the maximum likelihood principle. One of the four is developed from an estimator…

Networking and Internet Architecture · Computer Science 2017-07-05 Weiping Zhu

Descriptive statistics for parametric models are currently highly sensative to departures, gross errors, and/or random errors. Here, leveraging the structures of parametric distributions and their central moment kernel distributions, a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-09-11 Li Tuobang

The partially observable constrained optimization problems (POCOPs) impede data-driven optimization techniques since an infeasible solution of POCOPs can provide little information about the objective as well as the constraints. We endeavor…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-12-27 Shengbo Wang , Ke Li

Training large-scale mixture of experts models efficiently on modern hardware requires assigning datapoints in a batch to different experts, each with a limited capacity. Recently proposed assignment procedures lack a probabilistic…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-12-09 Wouter Kool , Chris J. Maddison , Andriy Mnih

We consider a model for multivariate data with heavy-tailed marginal distributions and a Gaussian dependence structure. The different marginals in the model are allowed to have non-identical tail behavior in contrast to most popular…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-05-23 Bikramjit Das

This paper investigates the large sample properties of local regression distribution estimators, which include a class of boundary adaptive density estimators as a prime example. First, we establish a pointwise Gaussian large sample…

Econometrics · Economics 2021-01-29 Matias D. Cattaneo , Michael Jansson , Xinwei Ma

Good robust estimators can be tuned to combine a high breakdown point and a specified asymptotic efficiency at a central model. This happens in regression with MM- and tau-estimators among others. However, the finite-sample efficiency of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-11-21 Ricardo Maronna , Víctor Yohai

Gaussian processes (GPs) are widely used in nonparametric regression, classification and spatio-temporal modeling, motivated in part by a rich literature on theoretical properties. However, a well known drawback of GPs that limits their use…

Methodology · Statistics 2011-06-29 Anjishnu Banerjee , David Dunson , Surya Tokdar

By far the most common way to estimate an expected loss in machine learning is to draw samples, compute the loss on each one, and take the empirical average. However, sampling is not necessarily optimal. Given an MLP at initialization, we…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-18 Wilson Wu , Victor Lecomte , Michael Winer , George Robinson , Jacob Hilton , Paul Christiano
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