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We study a general risk measure called the generalized shortfall risk measure, which was first introduced in Mao and Cai (2018). It is proposed under the rank-dependent expected utility framework, or equivalently induced from the cumulative…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2024-11-12 Tiantian Mao , Gilles Stupfler , Fan Yang

We study the long-run properties of optimal control problems in continuous time, where the running cost of a control problem is evaluated by a probability measure over R_+. Li, Quincampoix and Renault [DCDS-A, 2016] introduced an asymptotic…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2016-03-15 Xiaoxi Li

We study statistical properties of the optimal value and optimal solutions of the Sample Average Approximation of risk averse stochastic problems. Central Limit Theorem type results are derived for the optimal value and optimal solutions…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2016-03-25 Vincent Guigues , Volker Krätschmer , Alexander Shapiro

We consider the dynamic linear regression problem, where the predictor vector may vary with time. This problem can be modeled as a linear dynamical system, with non-constant observation operator, where the parameters that need to be learned…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-10-13 Mark Kozdoba , Edward Moroshko , Shie Mannor , Koby Crammer

Regular variation is a continuous-parameter theory; we work in a general setting, containing the existing Karamata, Bojanic-Karamata/de Haan and Beurling theories as special cases. We give sequential versions of the main theorems, that is,…

Classical Analysis and ODEs · Mathematics 2019-01-23 N. H. Bingham , A. J. Ostaszewski

To achieve robustness of risk across different assets, risk parity investing rules, a particular state of risk contributions, have grown in popularity over the previous few decades. To generalize the concept of risk contribution from the…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2022-02-22 Mengjin Zhao , Guangyan Jia

The batch means estimator of the MCMC variance is a simple and effective measure of accuracy for MCMC based ergodic averages. Under various regularity conditions, the estimator has been shown to be consistent for the true variance. However,…

Computation · Statistics 2019-11-05 Saptarshi Chakraborty , Suman K. Bhattacharya , Kshitij Khare

Risk sensitive decision making finds important applications in current day use cases. Existing risk measures consider a single or finite collection of random variables, which do not account for the asymptotic behaviour of underlying…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2024-05-24 Shivam Patel , Vivek Borkar

Features in predictive models are not exchangeable, yet common supervised models treat them as such. Here we study ridge regression when the analyst can partition the features into $K$ groups based on external side-information. For example,…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-03-05 Nikolaos Ignatiadis , Panagiotis Lolas

We provide a general framework to study stochastic sequences related to individual learning in economics, learning automata in computer sciences, social learning in marketing, and other applications. More precisely, we study the asymptotic…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-10-07 Carlos Oyarzun , Johannes Ruf

In this article we consider transient random walks on HNN extensions of finitely generated groups. We prove that the rate of escape w.r.t. some generalised word length exists. Moreover, a central limit theorem with respect to the…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-01-01 Lorenz A. Gilch

A large class of problems in sciences and engineering can be formulated as the general problem of constructing random intervals with pre-specified coverage probabilities for the mean. Wee propose a general approach for statistical inference…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-06-11 Xinjia Chen

Risk estimation is at the core of many learning systems. The importance of this problem has motivated researchers to propose different schemes, such as cross validation, generalized cross validation, and Bootstrap. The theoretical…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-01-19 Ji Xu , Arian Maleki , Kamiar Rahnama Rad , Daniel Hsu

We provide a new extension of Breiman's Theorem on computing tail probabilities of a product of random variables to a multivariate setting. In particular, we give a complete characterization of regular variation on cones in $[0,\infty)^d$…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-06-09 Bikramjit Das , Vicky Fasen-Hartmann , Claudia Klüppelberg

In the paper, we investigate the asymptotic behaviors of the randomly weighted sums with upper tail asymptotically independent increments under new conditions without requiring moment assumptions on random weights.An application of the…

Consider the problem of sampling sequentially from a finite number of $N \geq 2$ populations, specified by random variables $X^i_k$, $ i = 1,\ldots , N,$ and $k = 1, 2, \ldots$; where $X^i_k$ denotes the outcome from population $i$ the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2015-06-04 Wesley Cowan , Junya Honda , Michael N. Katehakis

For a broad class of nonlinear time series known as Bernoulli shifts, we establish the asymptotic normality of the smoothed periodogram estimator of the long-run variance. This estimator uses only a narrow band of Fourier frequencies around…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-05-09 Vaidotas Characiejus , Piotr Kokoszka , Xiangdong Meng

Frequentists' inference often delivers point estimators associated with confidence intervals or sets for parameters of interest. Constructing the confidence intervals or sets requires understanding the sampling distributions of the point…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-10-18 Xinran Li , Peng Ding

The Latent Block Model (LBM) is a model-based method to cluster simultaneously the $d$ columns and $n$ rows of a data matrix. Parameter estimation in LBM is a difficult and multifaceted problem. Although various estimation strategies have…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-02-26 Vincent Brault , Christine Keribin , Mahendra Mariadassou

In this paper we propose a new approach for sequential monitoring of a parameter of a $d$-dimensional time series, which can be estimated by approximately linear functionals of the empirical distribution function. We consider a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-11-26 Holger Dette , Josua Gösmann