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Let $X$ be the unique normal martingale such that $X_0=0$ and \[\mathrm{d}[X]_t=(1-t-X_{t-}) \mathrm{d}X_t+\mathrm{d}t\] and let $Y_t:=X_t+t$ for all $t\geq 0$; the semimartingale $Y$ arises in quantum probability, where it is the…

Probability · Mathematics 2008-05-22 Alexander C. R. Belton

Inference and testing in general point process models such as the Hawkes model is predominantly based on asymptotic approximations for likelihood-based estimators and tests. As an alternative, and to improve finite sample performance, this…

Econometrics · Economics 2021-09-22 Giuseppe Cavaliere , Ye Lu , Anders Rahbek , Jacob Stærk-Østergaard

A well-known It\^o formula for finite dimensional processes, given in terms of stochastic integrals with respect to Wiener processes and Poisson random measures, is revisited and is revised. The revised formula, which corresponds to the…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-07-30 István Gyöngy , Sizhou Wu

In this paper, our interest is in the problem of simultaneous hypothesis testing when the test statistics corresponding to the individual hypotheses are possibly correlated. Specifically, we consider the case when the test statistics…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-01-14 Anupam Kundu , Subir Kumar Bhandari

Random metastability occurs when an externally forced or noisy system possesses more than one state of apparent equilibrium. This work investigates fluctuations in a class of random dynamical systems, arising from randomly perturbing a…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2025-05-30 Cecilia González-Tokman , Joshua Peters

In pharmaceutical and toxicological research, historical control data are increasingly used to validate concurrent control groups, typically via the construction of historical control limits. While methods have been described for continuous…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-24 Sören Budig , Frank Schaarschmidt , Max Menssen

We analyze a solution method for minimization problems over a space of $\mathbb{R}^d$-valued functions of bounded variation on an interval $I$. The presented method relies on piecewise constant iterates. In each iteration the algorithm…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-06-02 Philip Trautmann , Daniel Walter

We consider the problem of two-sample testing in a semi-supervised setting with abundant unlabeled covariate data. Standard two-sample tests neglect covariate information, which has the potential to significantly boost performance. However,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-05-05 Gyumin Lee , Shubhanshu Shekhar , Ilmun Kim

Frequently, clinical trials and observational studies involve complex event history data with multiple events. When the observations are independent, the analysis of such studies can be based on standard methods for multi-state models.…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-06-30 Giorgos Bakoyannis

We propose a nonparametric sequential test that aims to address two practical problems pertinent to online randomized experiments: (i) how to do a hypothesis test for complex metrics; (ii) how to prevent type $1$ error inflation under…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-06-28 Vineet Abhishek , Shie Mannor

Strict stationarity is a common assumption used in the time series literature in order to derive asymptotic distributional results for second-order statistics, like sample autocovariances and sample autocorrelations. Focusing on weak…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-02-28 Yunyi Zhang , Efstathios Paparoditis , Dimitris N. Politis

Assuming that data are collected sequentially from independent streams, we consider the simultaneous testing of multiple binary hypotheses under two general setups; when the number of signals (correct alternatives) is known in advance, and…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-02-14 Yanglei Song , Georgios Fellouris

Given an It\^o semimartingale $X$, its Markovian projection is an It\^o semimartingale $\widehat{X}$, with Markovian differential characteristics, that matches the one-dimensional marginal laws of $X$. One may even require certain…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-05-26 Martin Larsson , Shukun Long

To use control charts in practice, the in-control state usually has to be estimated. This estimation has a detrimental effect on the performance of control charts, which is often measured for example by the false alarm probability or the…

Methodology · Statistics 2013-07-30 Axel Gandy , Jan Terje Kvaløy

The aim of this paper is to present an abstract and general approach to jump inequalities in harmonic analysis. Our principal conclusion is the refinement of $r$-variational estimates, previously known for $r>2$, to end-point results for…

Classical Analysis and ODEs · Mathematics 2020-03-25 Mariusz Mirek , Elias M. Stein , Pavel Zorin-Kranich

In this paper, we examine the validity of non-parametric spatial bootstrap as a procedure to quantify errors in estimates of N-point correlation functions. We do this by means of a small simulation study with simple point process models and…

Astrophysics · Physics 2008-05-16 Ji Meng Loh

We propose a new estimation scheme for estimation of the volatility parameters of a semimartingale with jumps based on a jump-detection filter. Our filter uses all of data to analyze the relative size of increments and to discriminate jumps…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-02-16 Haruhiko Inatsugu , Nakahiro Yoshida

The problem of testing the equality of the generating processes of two categorical time series is addressed in this work. To this aim, we propose three tests relying on a dissimilarity measure between categorical processes. Particular…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-05-02 Ángel López-Oriona , José Antonio Vilar Fernández , Pierpaolo D'Urso

Let $\Gamma$ denote the space of all locally finite subsets (configurations) in $R^d$. A stochastic dynamics of binary jumps in continuum is a Markov process on $\Gamma$ in which pairs of particles simultaneously hop over $R^d$. In this…

We investigate the problem of jointly testing multiple hypotheses and estimating a random parameter of the underlying distribution in a sequential setup. The aim is to jointly infer the true hypothesis and the true parameter while using on…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-02-02 Dominik Reinhard , Michael Fauß , Abdelhak M. Zoubir