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In this paper we consider the problem of parameter inference for Markov jump process (MJP) representations of stochastic kinetic models. Since transition probabilities are intractable for most processes of interest yet forward simulation is…

Computation · Statistics 2014-09-16 Andrew Golightly , Darren J. Wilkinson

This paper is focused on the moderate-deviations analysis of binary hypothesis testing. The analysis relies on a concentration inequality for discrete-parameter martingales with bounded jumps, where this inequality forms a refinement to the…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2016-11-17 Igal Sason

In this paper, we propose a nonparametric way to test the hypothesis that time-variation in intraday volatility is caused solely by a deterministic and recurrent diurnal pattern. We assume that noisy high-frequency data from a discretely…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-01-26 Kim Christensen , Ulrich Hounyo , Mark Podolskij

This paper presents a nonparametric method for estimating the conditional density associated to the jump rate of a piecewise-deterministic Markov process. In our framework, the estimation needs only one observation of the process within a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-07-12 Romain Azaïs , François Dufour , Anne Gégout-Petit

In high-frequency statistics and econometrics sums of functionals of increments of stochastic processes are commonly used and statistical inference is based on the asymptotic behaviour of these sums as the mesh of the observation times…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-03-16 Ole Martin , Mathias Vetter

This paper first introduces a refined version of the Azuma-Hoeffding inequality for discrete-parameter martingales with uniformly bounded jumps. The refined inequality is used to revisit the large deviations analysis of binary hypothesis…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2012-07-17 Igal Sason

We construct an aggregated version of the value processes associated with stochastic control problems, where the criterion to optimise is given by solutions to semi-martingale backward stochastic differential equations (BSDEs). The results…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-07-03 Dylan Possamaï , Marco Rodrigues , Alexandros Saplaouras

Given an It\=o semimartingale with a time-homogeneous jump part observed at high frequency, we prove weak convergence of a normalized truncated empirical distribution function of the L\'evy measure to a Gaussian process. In contrast to…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-06-25 Michael Hoffmann , Mathias Vetter

Spatially isotropic max-stable processes have been used to model extreme spatial or space-time observations. One prominent model is the Brown-Resnick process, which has been successfully fitted to time series, spatial data and space-time…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-06-08 Sven Buhl , Claudia Klüppelberg

A sequential multiple assignment randomized trial (SMART) facilitates comparison of multiple adaptive treatment strategies (ATSs) simultaneously. Previous studies have established a framework to test the homogeneity of multiple ATSs by a…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-11-04 Liwen Wu , Junyao Wang , Abdus S. Wahed

Many experiments are concerned with the comparison of counts between treatment groups. Examples include the number of successful signups in conversion rate experiments, or the number of errors produced by software versions in canary…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-12-14 Michael Lindon , Alan Malek

In modern experimental science, there is a common problem of estimating the coefficients of a linear regression in a context where the variables of interest cannot be observed simultaneously. When there is a categorical variable that is…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-03-10 Polina Arsenteva , Mohamed Amine Benadjaoud , Hervé Cardot

The dynamics of the eigenvalues (semimartingales) of a L\'{e}vy process $X$ with values in Hermitian matrices is described in terms of It\^{o} stochastic differential equations with jumps. This generalizes the well known Dyson-Brownian…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-06-26 Victor Pérez-Abreu , Alfonso Rocha-Arteaga

Over the past decades, linear mixed models have attracted considerable attention in various fields of applied statistics. They are popular whenever clustered, hierarchical or longitudinal data are investigated. Nonetheless, statistical…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-09-20 Katarzyna Reluga , María José Lombardía , Stefan Andreas Sperlich

We consider a stochastic process driven by a diffusion and jumps. We devise a technique, which is based on a discrete record of observations, for identifying the times when jumps larger than a suitably defined threshold occurred. The…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Cecilia Mancini

A model of Poissonian observation having a jump (change-point) in the intensity function is considered. Two cases are studied. The first one corresponds to the situation when the jump size converges to a non-zero limit, while in the second…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-02-25 Serguei Dachian , Lin Yang

Recent years have seen tremendous advances in the theory and application of sequential experiments. While these experiments are not always designed with hypothesis testing in mind, researchers may still be interested in performing tests…

Econometrics · Economics 2023-06-29 Karun Adusumilli

In a recent paper, [Gampel, F. and Gajda, M., Phys. Rev. A 107, 012420, (2023)], the authors claimed they are proposing a new model to explain the existence of classical trajectories in the quantum domain. The idea is based on simultaneous…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2023-11-14 Adélcio C. Oliveira

Asymptotic bootstrap validity is usually understood as consistency of the distribution of a bootstrap statistic, conditional on the data, for the unconditional limit distribution of a statistic of interest. From this perspective, randomness…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-10-09 Giuseppe Cavaliere , Iliyan Georgiev

We take a new look at the problem of disentangling the volatility and jumps processes of daily stock returns. We first provide a computational framework for the univariate stochastic volatility model with Poisson-driven jumps that offers a…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-04-30 Angelos Alexopoulos , Petros Dellaportas , Omiros Papaspiliopoulos