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Related papers: A Framework for Optimal Matching for Causal Infere…

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In the absence of randomized controlled and natural experiments, it is necessary to balance the distributions of (observable) covariates of the treated and control groups in order to obtain an unbiased estimate of a causal effect of…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-03-02 Martin Cousineau , Vedat Verter , Susan A. Murphy , Joelle Pineau

Motivated by applications, we consider here new operator theoretic approaches to Conditional mean embeddings (CME). Our present results combine a spectral analysis-based optimization scheme with the use of kernels, stochastic processes, and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-05-16 Palle E. T. Jorgensen , Myung-Sin Song , James Tian

We study estimation of a class prior for unlabeled target samples which possibly differs from that of source population. Moreover, it is assumed that the source data is partially observable: only samples from the positive class and from the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-05-22 Jan Mielniczuk , Wojciech Rejchel , Paweł Teisseyre

Optimal experimental design seeks to determine the most informative allocation of experiments to infer an unknown statistical quantity. In this work, we investigate the optimal design of experiments for {\em estimation of linear functionals…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2023-01-18 Mojmír Mutný , Andreas Krause

We present an operator-free, measure-theoretic approach to the conditional mean embedding (CME) as a random variable taking values in a reproducing kernel Hilbert space. While the kernel mean embedding of unconditional distributions has…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-01-11 Junhyung Park , Krikamol Muandet

We introduce a novel kernel-based framework for learning differential equations and their solution maps that is efficient in data requirements, in terms of solution examples and amount of measurements from each example, and computational…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-04-07 Yasamin Jalalian , Juan Felipe Osorio Ramirez , Alexander Hsu , Bamdad Hosseini , Houman Owhadi

We congratulate the authors on their exciting paper, which introduces a novel idea for assessing the estimation bias in causal estimates. Doubly robust estimators are now part of the standard set of tools in causal inference, but a typical…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-06-18 Edward H. Kennedy , Sivaraman Balakrishnan , Larry A. Wasserman

In Optimal Recovery, the task of learning a function from observational data is tackled deterministically by adopting a worst-case perspective tied to an explicit model assumption made on the functions to be learned. Working in the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-11-05 Simon Foucart , Chunyang Liao

Most supervised machine learning tasks are subject to irreducible prediction errors. Probabilistic predictive models address this limitation by providing probability distributions that represent a belief over plausible targets, rather than…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-10-25 David Widmann , Fredrik Lindsten , Dave Zachariah

We study some of the most commonly used mutual information estimators, based on histograms of fixed or adaptive bin size, $k$-nearest neighbors and kernels, and focus on optimal selection of their free parameters. We examine the consistency…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2015-05-13 Angeliki Papana , Dimitris Kugiumtzis

Causal effect estimation from observational data is a crucial but challenging task. Currently, only a limited number of data-driven causal effect estimation methods are available. These methods either provide only a bound estimation of the…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-11-10 Debo Cheng , Jiuyong Li , Lin Liu , Kui Yu , Thuc Duy Lee , Jixue Liu

Evaluating treatments received by one population for application to a different target population of scientific interest is a central problem in causal inference from observational studies. We study the minimax linear estimator of the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-03-01 David A. Hirshberg , Arian Maleki , Jose R. Zubizarreta

For two decades, reproducing kernels and their associated discrepancies have facilitated elegant theoretical analyses in the setting of quasi Monte Carlo. These same tools are now receiving interest in statistics and related fields, as…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-08-24 Chris. J. Oates

We study policy evaluation of offline contextual bandits subject to unobserved confounders. Sensitivity analysis methods are commonly used to estimate the policy value under the worst-case confounding over a given uncertainty set. However,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-09-25 Kei Ishikawa , Niao He

A popular technique for selecting and tuning machine learning estimators is cross-validation. Cross-validation evaluates overall model fit, usually in terms of predictive accuracy. In causal inference, the optimal choice of estimator…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-07-07 Dominik Rothenhäusler

Randomized clinical trials (RCTs) are ideal for estimating causal effects, because the distributions of background covariates are similar in expectation across treatment groups. When estimating causal effects using observational data,…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-02-27 Anthony D. Scotina , Roee Gutman

When estimating causal effects from observational studies, researchers often need to adjust for many covariates to deconfound the non-causal relationship between exposure and outcome, among which many covariates are discrete. The behavior…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-05-07 Zhenghao Zeng , Sivaraman Balakrishnan , Yanjun Han , Edward H. Kennedy

Causal mediation analysis examines causal pathways linking exposures to disease. The estimation of interventional effects, which are mediation estimands that overcome certain identifiability problems of natural effects, has been advanced…

Conditional kernel mean embeddings are nonparametric models that encode conditional expectations in a reproducing kernel Hilbert space. While they provide a flexible and powerful framework for probabilistic inference, their performance is…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-11-09 Kelvin Hsu , Richard Nock , Fabio Ramos

The standard approach to causal modelling especially in social and health sciences is the potential outcomes framework due to Neyman and Rubin. In this framework, observations are thought to be drawn from a distribution over variables of…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-07-18 Benedikt Höltgen , Robert C. Williamson