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The paradigm of linear structural equation modeling readily allows one to incorporate causal feedback loops in the model specification. These appear as directed cycles in the common graphical representation of the models. However, the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-07-16 Mathias Drton , Marina Garrote-López , Niko Nikov , Elina Robeva , Y. Samuel Wang

Constraints on cosmological parameters from large-scale structure have traditionally been obtained from two-point statistics. However, non-linear structure formation renders these statistics insufficient in capturing the full information…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2017-11-22 Alex Hall , Alexander Mead

A topological computation method, called the MGSTD method, is applied to time-series data obtained from meteorological measurement. The method gives decomposition of the dynamics into invariant sets and gradient-like transitions between…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2019-05-31 Hidetoshi Morita , Masaru Inatsu , Hiroshi Kokubu

Three-dimensional Monte Carlo simulations provide a striking confirmation to a recent theoretical prediction: the Brownian non-Gaussian diffusion of critical self-avoiding walks. Although the mean square displacement of the polymer center…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2022-09-21 Boris Marcone , Sankaran Nampoothiri , Enzo Orlandini , Flavio Seno , Fulvio Baldovin

We have recently shown that multi-field axion N-flation can lead to observable non-gaussianity in much of its parameter range, with the assisted inflation mechanism ensuring that the density perturbations are sufficiently close to scale…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2013-05-30 Soo A Kim , Andrew R Liddle , David Seery

In the environmental modeling field, the exploratory analysis of responses often exhibits spatial correlation as well as some non-Gaussian attributes such as skewness and/or heavy-tailedness. Consequently, we propose a general spatial model…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-07-25 Behzad Mahmoudian

The characterization of the distance from equilibrium is a debated problem in particular in the treatment of experimental signals. If the signal is a 1-dimensional time-series, such a goal becomes challenging. A paradigmatic example is the…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2023-08-24 Dario Lucente , Massimiliano Viale , Andrea Gnoli , Andrea Puglisi , Angelo Vulpiani

We present a Bayesian estimation analysis for a particular trace gas detection technique with species separation provided by differential diffusion. The proposed method collects a sample containing multiple gas species into a common volume,…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2009-11-13 John K. Stockton , Ari K. Tuchman

Bayesian estimation with an explicit transitional prior is required for a tracking algorithm to be embedded in most multi-target tracking frameworks. This paper describes a novel approach capable of tracking maneuvering spacecraft with an…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-10-25 Enrico M. Zucchelli , Brandon A. Jones

Multivariate geostatistics is based on modelling all covariances between all possible combinations of two or more variables at any sets of locations in a continuously indexed domain. Multivariate spatial covariance models need to be built…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-10-10 Noel Cressie , Andrew Zammit-Mangion

Nonstationary non-Gaussian spatial data are common in many disciplines, including climate science, ecology, epidemiology, and social sciences. Examples include count data on disease incidence and binary satellite data on cloud mask…

Computation · Statistics 2020-11-30 Benjamin Seiyon Lee , Jaewoo Park

Wall-bounded turbulent flows are chaotic and multiscale, rendering real-time prediction at high Reynolds numbers computationally prohibitive in applications such as wind farms. Classical data assimilation methods are based on repeated…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2026-05-25 Fabian Steinbrenner , Baris Turan , Hao Teng , Heng Xiao

In this paper we propose a flexible class of multivariate nonlinear non-Gaussian state space models, based on copulas. More precisely, we assume that the observation equation and the state equation are defined by copula families that are…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-11-04 Alexander Kreuzer , Luciana Dalla Valle , Claudia Czado

Gaussian processes regression is applied to augment experimental data of transfer-path analysis (TPA) by known information about the underlying physical properties of the system under investigation. The approach can be used as an…

Classical Physics · Physics 2019-05-21 Christopher Albert

This paper proposes a physical-statistical modeling approach for spatio-temporal data arising from a class of stochastic convection-diffusion processes. Such processes are widely found in scientific and engineering applications where…

Applications · Statistics 2020-08-07 Xiao Liu , Kyongmin Yeo , Siyuan Lu

Stochastic reservoir characterization, a critical aspect of subsurface exploration for oil and gas reservoirs, relies on stochastic methods to model and understand subsurface properties using seismic data. This paper addresses the…

Applications · Statistics 2024-03-07 Karen S Auestad , The Tien Mai , Mina Spremic , Jo Eidsvik

A new probabilistic post-processing method for wind vectors is presented in a distributional regression framework employing the bivariate Gaussian distribution. In contrast to previous studies all parameters of the distribution are…

Applications · Statistics 2019-07-26 Moritz N. Lang , Georg J. Mayr , Reto Stauffer , Achim Zeileis

This paper addresses the inverse source problem for a mixed-type fractional wave-diffusion-wave equation posed in a cylindrical domain. The governing equation involves a time-dependent variable-order fractional derivative, which enables the…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2026-05-05 Erkinjon Karimov , Muzaffar Toshpulatov

Covariance estimation and selection for multivariate datasets in a high-dimensional regime is a fundamental problem in modern statistics. Gaussian graphical models are a popular class of models used for this purpose. Current Bayesian…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-03-06 Xuan Cao , Shaojun Zhang

Gaussian process state-space models (GPSSMs) provide a principled and flexible approach to modeling the dynamics of a latent state, which is observed at discrete-time points via a likelihood model. However, inference in GPSSMs is…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-07-18 Xuhui Fan , Edwin V. Bonilla , Terence J. O'Kane , Scott A. Sisson