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Atmospheric trace-gas inversion refers to any technique used to predict spatial and temporal fluxes using mole-fraction measurements and atmospheric simulations obtained from computer models. Studies to date are most often of a…

Atmospheric inverse modelling is a method for reconstructing historical fluxes of green-house gas between land and atmosphere, using observed atmospheric concentrations and an atmospheric tracer transport model. The small number of observed…

Applications · Statistics 2019-07-08 Unn Dahlen , Johan Linström , Marko Scholze

Multivariate spatial fields are of interest in many applications, including climate model emulation. Not only can the marginal spatial fields be subject to nonstationarity, but the dependence structure among the marginal fields and between…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-11-21 Paul F. V. Wiemann , Matthias Katzfuss

We develop a class of nearest-neighbor mixture models that provide direct, computationally efficient, probabilistic modeling for non-Gaussian geospatial data. The class is defined over a directed acyclic graph, which implies conditional…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-06-28 Xiaotian Zheng , Athanasios Kottas , Bruno Sansó

Generative modeling of spatio-temporal fields is crucial for a variety of applications, including stochastic weather generators and climate-model surrogates. However, many such fields exhibit complex dependence structures that vary across…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-06 Carrie J. Lei-Cramer , Jian Cao , Matthias Katzfuss

Flux inversion is the process by which sources and sinks of a gas are identified from observations of gas mole fraction. The inversion often involves running a Lagrangian particle dispersion model (LPDM) to generate sensitivities between…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-12-24 Laura Cartwright , Andrew Zammit-Mangion , Nicholas M. Deutscher

In response to global concerns regarding air quality and the environmental impact of greenhouse gas emissions, detecting and quantifying sources of emissions has become critical. To understand this impact and target mitigations effectively,…

Applications · Statistics 2024-10-14 Thomas Newman , Christopher Nemeth , Matthew Jones , Philip Jonathan

A multivariate distribution can be described by a triangular transport map from the target distribution to a simple reference distribution. We propose Bayesian nonparametric inference on the transport map by modeling its components using…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-01-18 Matthias Katzfuss , Florian Schäfer

In highly nonlinear systems such as the ones commonly found in astrodynamics, Gaussian distributions generally evolve into non-Gaussian distributions. This paper introduces a method for effectively controlling non-Gaussian distributions in…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-10-16 Daniel C. Qi , Kenshiro Oguri , Puneet Singla , Maruthi R. Akella

Spatial fields in the Earth and environmental sciences are often available at multiple scales or resolutions. While coarse-scale data (e.g., from global circulation models) are often abundant, they lack the local detail provided by…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-04-01 Alejandro Calle-Saldarriaga , Paul F. V. Wiemann , Matthias Katzfuss

Gaussian cosmic microwave background skies are fully specified by the power spectrum. The conventional method of characterizing non-Gaussian skies is to evaluate higher order moments, the n-point functions and their Fourier transforms. We…

Astrophysics · Physics 2011-05-10 Pedro G. Ferreira , Joao Magueijo

Spatio-temporal processes in environmental applications are often assumed to follow a Gaussian model, possibly after some transformation. However, heterogeneity in space and time might have a pattern that will not be accommodated by…

Applications · Statistics 2021-10-15 Thaís C. O. da Fonseca , Viviana G. R. Lobo , Alexandra M. Schmidt

We present a cost-effective method for model calibration and solution of source inversion problems in atmospheric dispersion modelling. We use Gaussian process emulations of atmospheric dispersion models within a Bayesian framework for…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2021-06-08 Juan G. Garcia , Bamdad Hosseini , John M Stockie

In the present study we examine non-Gaussian spreading of solutes subject to advection, dispersion and kinetic sorption (adsorption/desorption). We start considering the behavior of a single particle and apply a random walk to describe…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-01-14 Gerard Uffink , Amro Elfeki , Michel Dekking , Johannes Bruining , Cor Kraaikamp

In a broad and fundamental type of ''inverse problems'' in science, one infers a spatially distributed physical attribute based on observations of processes that are controlled by the spatial attribute in question. The data-generating field…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-09-09 Zepu Zhang

We consider amortized Bayesian inference for nonlinear inverse problems in settings where only samples from the joint distribution of parameters and observations are available. Classical methods such as Markov chain Monte Carlo require…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2026-05-19 Hojjat Kaveh , Ricardo Baptista , Andrew M. Stuart

Data assimilation in models representing spatio-temporal phenomena poses a challenge, particularly if the spatial histogram of the variable appears with multiple modes. The traditional Kalman model is based on a Gaussian initial…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-06-26 Maxime Conjard , Henning Omre

Real-time identification and quantification of greenhouse-gas emissions under transient atmospheric conditions is a critical challenge in environmental monitoring. We introduce a spatio-temporal inversion framework that embeds a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-06-18 Thomas Newman , Christopher Nemeth , Matthew Jones , Philip Jonathan

We present a novel approach for the analysis of multivariate case-control georeferenced data using Bayesian inference in the context of disease mapping, where the spatial distribution of different types of cancers is analyzed. Extending…

When performing a time series analysis of continuous data, for example from climate or environmental problems, the assumption that the process is Gaussian is often violated. Therefore, we introduce two non-Gaussian autoregressive time…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-03-02 Yuan Yan , Marc Genton
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