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Related papers: Delayed Gambler's Ruin

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In the extended gambler's ruin problem we can move one step forward or backward (classical gambler's ruin problem), we can stay where we are for a time unit (delayed action) or there can be absorption in the current state (game is…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-03-28 Theo van Uem

This note explores the mathematical theory to solve modern gamblers ruin problems. We establish a ruin framework and solve for the probability of bankruptcy. We also show how this relates to the expected time to bankruptcy and review the…

Applications · Statistics 2014-03-25 Salil Mehta

The gambler's ruin problem for correlated random walks (CRW), both with and without delays, is addressed using the Optional Stopping Theorem for martingales. We derive closed-form expressions for the ruin probabilities and the expected game…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-06-03 Vladimir Pozdnyakov

We obtain absorption probabilities and expected time until absorption for different stopping strategies in gambler's ruin problem using the concept of multiple function barriers

Probability · Mathematics 2013-03-01 T. J. van Uem

We give explicit formulas for ruin probabilities in a multidimensional Generalized Gambler's ruin problem. The generalization is best interpreted as a game of one player against $d$ other players, allowing arbitrary winning and losing…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-09-26 Paweł Lorek

We derive an explicit formula for the probability of ruin of a gambler playing against an infinitely-rich adversary, when the games have payoff given by a general integer-valued probability distribution.

Probability · Mathematics 2018-12-03 Guy Katriel

The power of symbolic computation, as opposed to mere numerical computation, is illustrated with efficient algorithms for studying the generalized gambler's ruin problem in one and two dimensions. We also consider a new generalization of…

Combinatorics · Mathematics 2026-02-05 Lucy Martinez

Consider gambler's ruin with three players, 1, 2, and 3, having initial capitals $A$, $B$, and $C$ units. At each round a pair of players is chosen (uniformly at random) and a fair coin flip is made resulting in the transfer of one unit…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-04-20 Persi Diaconis , Stewart N. Ethier

Assume that letters (from a finite alphabet) in a text form a Markov chain. We track two distinct words, $U$ and $D$. A gambler gains 1 point for each occurrence of $U$ (including overlapping occurrences) and loses 1 point for each…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-06-03 Zhiyi Chi , Vladimir Pozdnyakov

Our paper explores a discrete-time risk model with time-varying premiums, investigating two types of correlated claims: main claims and by-claims. Settlement of the by-claims can be delayed for one time period, representing real-world…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2024-08-02 Dhiti Osatakul , Shuanming Li , Xueyuan Wu

In this paper, we study a dual risk model with delays in the spirit of Dassios-Zhao. When a new innovation occurs, there is a delay before the innovation turns into a profit. We obtain large initial surplus asymptotics for the ruin…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2023-01-18 Lingjiong Zhu

In this paper we provide formulas for the expectation of a conditional game duration in a finite state-space one-dimensional gambler's ruin problem with arbitrary winning $p(n)$ and losing $q(n)$ probabilities (i.e., they depend on the…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-11-30 Paweł Lorek , Piotr Markowski

Using experimental mathematics and symbolic computation, we derive many moments for the duration of a three player (fair) gambler's ruin.

Combinatorics · Mathematics 2023-09-19 Shalosh B. Ekhad , Doron Zeilberger

We deal with a generalization of the classical risk model when an insurance company gets additional funds whenever a claim arrives and consider some practical approaches to the estimation of the ruin probability. In particular, we get an…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-03-19 Yuliya Mishura , Olena Ragulina , Oleksandr Stroyev

A gambler with an initial fortune $x$ starts by betting a dollar, then doubles the bet after every win and halves the bet after every loss. Let $p\in (0,1)$ be the probability of winning for each round. We show that the gambler survives…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-12-12 Aditya Guha Roy , Yuval Peres , Shuo Qin , Junchi Zuo

In this paper we consider the Parisian ruin probabilities for the dual risk model in a discrete-time setting. By exploiting the strong Markov property of the risk process we derive a recursive expression for the fnite-time Parisian ruin…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-08-24 Zbigniew Palmowski , Lewis Ramsden , Apostolos D. Papaioannou

The discrete time risk model with two seasons and dependent claims is considered. An algorithm is created for computing the values of the ultimate ruin probability. Theoretical results are illustrated with numerical examples.

Probability · Mathematics 2020-01-13 Olga Navickienė , Jonas Sprindys , Jonas Šiaulys

In this paper, we propose a new multi-armed bandit problem called the Gambler's Ruin Bandit Problem (GRBP). In the GRBP, the learner proceeds in a sequence of rounds, where each round is a Markov Decision Process (MDP) with two actions…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2016-09-30 Nima Akbarzadeh , Cem Tekin

We analyse the ruin probabilities for a renewal insurance risk process with inter-arrival time distributions depending on the claims that arrived within a fixed (past) time window. This dependence could be explained through a regenerative…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-04-22 Corina Constantinescu , Suhang Dai , Weihong Ni , Zbigniew Palmowski

We study a ruin problem for an annuity model where a fixed fraction of capital is invested in a risky asset. Under weak assumptions on jumps, the ruin probability solves a second-order integro-differential equation and decays as a power…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-01-06 Platon Promyslov
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