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Economic interdependencies have become increasingly present in globalized production, financial and trade systems. While establishing interdependencies among economic agents is crucial for the production of complex products, they may also…

Physics and Society · Physics 2019-12-23 Aymeric Vié , Alfredo J. Morales

The growing popularity of Graph Representation Learning (GRL) methods has resulted in the development of a large number of models applied to a miscellany of domains. Behind this diversity of domains, there is a strong heterogeneity of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-05-20 Pierre Sevestre , Marine Neyret

The inability to see and quantify systemic financial risk comes at an immense social cost. Systemic risk in the financial system arises to a large extent as a consequence of the interconnectedness of its institutions, which are linked…

We study financial systems from a game-theoretic standpoint. A financial system is represented by a network, where nodes correspond to firms, and directed labeled edges correspond to debt contracts between them. The existence of cycles in…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2021-07-23 Panagiotis Kanellopoulos , Maria Kyropoulou , Hao Zhou

Unfair stock trading strategies have been shown to be one of the most negative perceptions that customers can have concerning trading and may result in long-term losses for a company. Investment banks usually place trading orders for…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2020-01-06 Wenhang Bao

When banks choose similar investment strategies the financial system becomes vulnerable to common shocks. We model a simple financial system in which banks decide about their investment strategy based on a private belief about the state of…

Economics · Quantitative Finance 2014-08-05 Christoph Aymanns , Co-Pierre Georg

We present a brief overview of random matrix theory (RMT) with the objectives of highlighting the computational results and applications in financial markets as complex systems. An oft-encountered problem in computational finance is the…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2018-09-27 Hirdesh K. Pharasi , Kiran Sharma , Anirban Chakraborti , Thomas H. Seligman

In financial applications, reinforcement learning (RL) agents are commonly trained on historical data, where their actions do not influence prices. However, during deployment, these agents trade in live markets where their own transactions…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-01-27 Shaocong Ma , Heng Huang

We introduce a probabilistic framework that represents stylized banking networks with the aim of predicting the size of contagion events. Most previous work on random financial networks assumes independent connections between banks, whereas…

Physics and Society · Physics 2017-04-12 Thomas R. Hurd , James P. Gleeson , Sergey Melnik

For centuries, national economies created wealth by engaging in international trade and production. The resulting international supply networks not only increase wealth for countries, but also create systemic risk: economic shocks,…

General Economics · Economics 2021-12-02 Abhijit Chakraborty , Tobias Reisch , Christian Diem , Stefan Thurner

Deep Neural Networks (DNNs) are known to be vulnerable to adversarial attacks, i.e., an imperceptible perturbation to the input can mislead DNNs trained on clean images into making erroneous predictions. To tackle this, adversarial training…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-01-07 Yonggan Fu , Qixuan Yu , Yang Zhang , Shang Wu , Xu Ouyang , David Cox , Yingyan Celine Lin

We consider a single security market based on a limit order book and two investors, with different speeds of trade execution. If the fast investor can front-run the slower investor, we show that this allows the fast trader to obtain risk…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2011-10-24 Samuel N. Cohen , Lukasz Szpruch

Networks of financial exposures are the key propagators of risk and distress among banks, but their empirical structure is not publicly available because of confidentiality. This limitation has triggered the development of methods of…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2024-08-07 Valentina Macchiati , Piero Mazzarisi , Diego Garlaschelli

We consider the problem of risk diversification in complex networks. Nodes represent e.g. financial actors, whereas weighted links represent e.g. financial obligations (credits/debts). Each node has a risk to fail because of losses…

Physics and Society · Physics 2016-04-27 Rebekka Burkholz , Antonios Garas , Frank Schweitzer

We estimate generic statistical properties of a structural credit risk model by considering an ensemble of correlation matrices. This ensemble is set up by Random Matrix Theory. We demonstrate analytically that the presence of correlations…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2011-06-29 Michael C. Münnix , Rudi Schäfer , Thomas Guhr

We propose a novel concept of a Systemic Optimal Risk Transfer Equilibrium (SORTE), which is inspired by the B\"uhlmann's classical notion of an Equilibrium Risk Exchange. We provide sufficient general assumptions that guarantee existence,…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2020-06-29 Francesca Biagini , Alessandro Doldi , Jean-Pierre Fouque , Marco Frittelli , Thilo Meyer-Brandis

Over the past decade alternatives to traditional insurance and banking have grown in popularity. The desire to encourage local participation has lead products such as peer-to-peer insurance, reciprocal contracts, and decentralized finance…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2025-09-29 Arthur Charpentier , Philipp Ratz

In this paper we study the effect of network structure between agents and objects on measures for systemic risk. We model the influence of sharing large exogeneous losses to the financial or (re)insuance market by a bipartite graph. Using…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2015-10-05 Oliver Kley , Claudia Klüppelberg , Gesine Reinert

The 2008 financial crisis exposed fundamental vulnerabilities in interconnected banking systems, yet existing frameworks fail to integrate spatial propagation with network contagion mechanisms. This paper develops a unified spatial-network…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2025-11-13 Tatsuru Kikuchi

The role of Network Theory in the study of the financial crisis has been widely spotted in the latest years. It has been shown how the network topology and the dynamics running on top of it can trigger the outbreak of large systemic crisis.…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2016-05-09 Andrea Flori , Giuseppe Pappalardo , Michelangelo Puliga , Alessandro Chessa , Fabio Pammolli