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Financial markets are exposed to systemic risk (SR), the risk that a major fraction of the system ceases to function, and collapses. It has recently become possible to quantify SR in terms of underlying financial networks where nodes…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2016-10-03 Sebastian Poledna , Stefan Thurner

Banks in the interbank network can not assess the true risks associated with lending to other banks in the network, unless they have full information on the riskiness of all the other banks. These risks can be estimated by using network…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2013-01-28 Stefan Thurner , Sebastian Poledna

Systemic liquidity risk, defined by the IMF as "the risk of simultaneous liquidity difficulties at multiple financial institutions", is a key topic in macroprudential policy and financial stress analysis. Specialized models to simulate…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2021-12-08 V. Macchiati , G. Brandi , G. Cimini , G. Caldarelli , D. Paolotti , T. Di Matteo

Management of systemic risk in financial markets is traditionally associated with setting (higher) capital requirements for market participants. There are indications that while equity ratios have been increased massively since the…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2019-05-16 Christian Diem , Anton Pichler , Stefan Thurner

Evaluation of systemic risk in networks of financial institutions in general requires information of inter-institution financial exposures. In the framework of Debt Rank algorithm, we introduce an approximate method of systemic risk…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2021-04-14 Sebastian M. Krause , Hrvoje Štefančić , Vinko Zlatić , Guido Caldarelli

Since 2008, the network analysis of financial systems is one of the most important subjects in economics. In this paper, we have used the complexity approach and Random Matrix Theory (RMT) for analyzing the global banking network. By…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2020-07-30 Ali Namaki , Jamshid Ardalankia , Reza Raei , Leila Hedayatifar , Ali Hosseiny , Emmanuel Haven , G. Reza Jafari

This work explores the characteristics of financial contagion in networks whose links distributions approaches a power law, using a model that defines banks balance sheets from information of network connectivity. By varying the parameters…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2014-10-10 Vanessa Hoffmann de Quadros , Juan Carlos González-Avella , José Roberto Iglesias

We study insolvency cascades in an interbank system when banks are allowed to insure their loans with credit default swaps (CDS) sold by other banks. We show that, by properly shifting financial exposures from one institution to another, a…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2017-10-16 Matt V. Leduc , Sebastian Poledna , Stefan Thurner

We provide an overview of the relationship between financial networks and systemic risk. We present a taxonomy of different types of systemic risk, differentiating between direct externalities between financial organizations (e.g.,…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2020-12-24 Matthew O. Jackson , Agathe Pernoud

This paper investigates two mechanisms of financial contagion that are, firstly, the correlated exposure of banks to the same source of risk, and secondly the direct exposure of banks in the interbank market. It will consider a random…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2016-03-15 Seyyed Mostafa Mousavi , Robert Mackay , Alistair Tucker

We study the difference between the level of systemic risk that is empirically measured on an interbank network and the risk that can be deduced from the balance sheets composition of the participating banks. Using generalised DebtRank…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2022-09-07 Alessandro Ferracci , Giulio Cimini

The latest financial crisis has painfully revealed the dangers arising from a globally interconnected financial system. Conventional approaches based on the notion of the existence of equilibrium and those which rely on statistical…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2019-12-12 V. Sasidevan , Nils Bertschinger

In the context of understanding the nature of the risk transformation process of the financial system we propose an iterative risk-trading game between several agents who build their trading strategies based on a general utility setting.…

Condensed Matter · Physics 2009-11-10 Stefan Thurner , Rudolf Hanel , Stefan Pichler

Systemic risk arises as a multi-layer network phenomenon. Layers represent direct financial exposures of various types, including interbank liabilities, derivative- or foreign exchange exposures. Another network layer of systemic risk…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2018-03-13 Anton Pichler , Sebastian Poledna , Stefan Thurner

Do we know if a short selling ban or a Tobin Tax result in more stable asset prices? Or do they in fact make things worse? Just like medicine regulatory measures in financial markets aim at improving an already complex system. And just like…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2010-12-01 Stefan Kerbl

Measurement and management of credit concentration risk is critical for banks and relevant for micro-prudential requirements. While several methods exist for measuring credit concentration risk within institutions, the systemic effect of…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2019-07-09 Davide Cellai , Trevor Fitzpatrick

In this paper we estimate the propagation of liquidity shocks through interbank markets when the information about the underlying credit network is incomplete. We show that techniques such as Maximum Entropy currently used to reconstruct…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2013-10-08 Iacopo Mastromatteo , Elia Zarinelli , Matteo Marsili

A growing body of studies on systemic risk in financial markets has emphasized the key importance of taking into consideration the complex interconnections among financial institutions. Much effort has been put in modeling the contagion…

Supply chain disruptions constitute an often underestimated risk for financial stability. As in financial networks, systemic risks in production networks arises when the local failure of one firm impacts the production of others and might…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-02-25 Jan Fialkowski , Christian Diem , András Borsos , Stefan Thurner

We contribute to the understanding of how systemic risk arises in a network of credit-interlinked agents. Motivated by empirical studies we formulate a network model which, despite its simplicity, depicts the nature of interbank markets…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2014-06-26 Oliver Kley , Claudia Klüppelberg , Lukas Reichel
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