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Stochastic systems often exhibit multiple viable metastable states that are long-lived. Over very long timescales, fluctuations may push the system to transition between them, drastically changing its macroscopic configuration. In realistic…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2023-04-14 Tobias Grafke , Alessandro Laio

This work defines two classes of processes, that we term {\it tempered fractional multistable motion} and {\it tempered multifractional stable motion}. They are extensions of fractional multistable motion and multifractional stable motion,…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-07-04 Xiequan Fan , Jacques Lévy Véhel

We consider a popular nonsmooth formulation of the real phase retrieval problem. We show that under standard statistical assumptions, a simple subgradient method converges linearly when initialized within a constant relative distance of an…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2018-01-09 Damek Davis , Dmitriy Drusvyatskiy , Courtney Paquette

This paper considers the problem of computing Bayesian estimates of both states and model parameters for nonlinear state-space models. Generally, this problem does not have a tractable solution and approximations must be utilised. In this…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-12-15 Jarrad Courts , Johannes Hendriks , Adrian Wills , Thomas Schön , Brett Ninness

In this paper, we analyze the behavior of stochastic approximation schemes with set-valued maps in the absence of a stability guarantee. We prove that after a large number of iterations if the stochastic approximation process enters the…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2017-01-27 Vinayaka G. Yaji , Shalabh Bhatnagar

Max-stable processes have proved to be useful for the statistical modelling of spatial extremes. Several representations of max-stable random fields have been proposed in the literature. One such representation is based on a limit of…

Methodology · Statistics 2012-04-26 Richard A. Davis , Claudia Klüppelberg , Christina Steinkohl

This paper has two main goals: (a) establish several statistical properties---consistency, asymptotic distributions, and convergence rates---of stationary solutions and values of a class of coupled nonconvex and nonsmoothempirical risk…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-10-08 Zhengling Qi , Ying Cui , Yufeng Liu , Jong-Shi Pang

Multivariate Exponentially Weighted Moving Average, MEWMA, charts are popular, handy and effective procedures to detect distributional changes in a stream of multivariate data. For doing appropriate performance analysis, dealing with the…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-01-12 Sven Knoth

Many scientific and economic problems involve the analysis of high-dimensional time series datasets. However, theoretical studies in high-dimensional statistics to date rely primarily on the assumption of independent and identically…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-07-31 Sumanta Basu , George Michailidis

We consider the inference problem for parameters in stochastic differential equation models from discrete time observations (e.g. experimental or simulation data). Specifically, we study the case where one does not have access to…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2018-04-10 Sebastian Krumscheid

We propose a method to sample stationary properties of solutions of stochastic differential equations, which is accurate and efficient if there are rarely visited regions or rare transitions between distinct regions of the state space. The…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2016-03-23 Rüdiger Kürsten , Ulrich Behn

Simulating a Gaussian process requires sampling from a high-dimensional Gaussian distribution, which scales cubically with the number of sample locations. Spectral methods address this challenge by exploiting the Fourier representation,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-02-27 Arsalan Jawaid , Abdullah Karatas , Jörg Seewig

Stochastic gradient methods enable learning probabilistic models from large amounts of data. While large step-sizes (learning rates) have shown to be best for least-squares (e.g., Gaussian noise) once combined with parameter averaging,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-11-22 Dmitry Babichev , Francis Bach

Point processes are stochastic models generating interacting points or events in time, space, etc. Among characteristics of these models, first-order intensity and conditional intensity functions are often considered. We focus on…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-05-24 Jean-François Coeurjolly , Ismaïla Ba , Achmad Choiruddin

Learning the parameters of a (potentially partially observable) random field model is intractable in general. Instead of focussing on a single optimal parameter value we propose to treat parameters as dynamical quantities. We introduce an…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2012-05-14 Max Welling

Multivariate spatial field data are increasingly common and whose modeling typically relies on building cross-covariance functions to describe cross-process relationships. An alternative viewpoint is to model the matrix of spectral…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-05-07 William Kleiber

We study how sampling geometry contributes to uncertainty in modeling spatial geophysical observations as sampled random fields characterized by stationary, isotropic, parametric covariance functions. We incorporate the signature of…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-04-03 Olivia L. Walbert , Frederik J. Simons , Arthur P. Guillaumin , Sofia C. Olhede

This work develops change-point methods for statistics of high-frequency data. The main interest is in the volatility of an It\^{o} semi-martingale, the latter being discretely observed over a fixed time horizon. We construct a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-01-13 Markus Bibinger , Moritz Jirak , Mathias Vetter

Incremental stability is a property of dynamical systems ensuring the uniform asymptotic stability of each trajectory rather than a fixed equilibrium point or trajectory. Here, we introduce a notion of incremental stability for stochastic…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2017-05-08 Pushpak Jagtap , Majid Zamani

We derive and study two different formalisms used for non-equilibrium processes: The coherent-state path integral, and an effective, coarse-grained stochastic equation of motion. We first study the coherent-state path integral and the…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2016-04-20 Kay Jörg Wiese
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