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We study coarse pattern formation in a cellular automaton modelling a spatially-extended stochastic neural network. The model, originally proposed by Gong and Robinson [36], is known to support stationary and travelling bumps of localised…

Pattern Formation and Solitons · Physics 2016-10-10 Daniele Avitabile , Kyle Wedgwood

A Bayesian non-parametric framework for studying time-to-event data is proposed, where the prior distribution is allowed to depend on an additional random source, and may update with the sample size. Such scenarios are natural, for…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-05-06 Martin Bladt , Jorge González Cázares

Stability selection is a versatile framework for structure estimation and variable selection in high-dimensional setting, primarily grounded in frequentist principles. In this paper, we propose an enhanced methodology that integrates…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-05 Mahdi Nouraie , Connor Smith , Samuel Muller

This paper studies large deviations of a ``fully coupled" finite state mean-field interacting particle system in a fast varying environment. The empirical measure of the particles evolves in the slow time scale and the random environment…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-06-24 Sarath Yasodharan , Rajesh Sundaresan

Using an intrinsic approach, we study some properties of random fields which appear as tail fields of regularly varying stationary random fields. The index set is allowed to be a general locally compact Hausdorff Abelian group $\mathbb{G}$.…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-01-11 Günter Last

We propose a new procedure to monitor and forecast the onset of transitions in high dimensional complex systems. We describe our procedure by an application to the Tangled Nature model of evolutionary ecology. The quasi-stable…

Adaptation and Self-Organizing Systems · Physics 2014-12-31 Andrea Cairoli , Duccio Piovani , Henrik Jeldtoft Jensen

The analysis on stability and bifurcations in the macroscopic dynamics exhibited by the system of two coupled large populations comprised of $N$ stochastic excitable units each is performed by studying an approximate system, obtained by…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2015-06-11 I. Franovic , K. Todorovic , N. Vasovic , N. Buric

A non-stationary Gaussian random field model is developed based on a combination of the stochastic partial differential equation (SPDE) approach and the classical deformation method. With the deformation method, a stationary field is…

Applications · Statistics 2020-09-01 Anders Hildeman , David Bolin , Igor Rychlik

We study a system of non-identical bistable particles that is driven by a dynamical constraint and coupled through a non-local mean-field. Assuming piecewise affine constitutive laws we prove the existence of traveling wave solutions and…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2023-03-14 Michael Herrmann , Barbara Niethammer

The estimation of parameters in the frequency spectrum of a seasonally persistent stationary stochastic process is addressed. For seasonal persistence associated with a pole in the spectrum located away from frequency zero, a new…

Methodology · Statistics 2007-09-04 Emma J. McCoy , Sofia C. Olhede , David A. Stephens

Existing frequency domain methods for bootstrapping time series have a limited range. Consider for instance the class of spectral mean statistics (also called integrated periodograms) which includes many important statistics in time series…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-06-19 Marco Meyer , Efstathios Paparoditis , Jens-Peter Kreiss

Spatial statistics is traditionally based on stationary models on $\mathbb{R^d}$ like Mat\'ern fields. The adaptation of traditional spatial statistical methods, originally designed for stationary models in Euclidean spaces, to effectively…

Applications · Statistics 2023-12-12 Somnath Chaudhuri , Maria A. Barceló , Pablo Juan , Diego Varga , David Bolin , Haavard Rue , Marc Saez

This paper addresses the problem of estimating the modes of an observed non-stationary mixture signal in the presence of an arbitrary distributed noise. A novel Bayesian model is introduced to estimate the model parameters from the…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-03-31 Quentin Legros , Dominique Fourer , Sylvain Meignen , Marcelo A. Colominas

We propose a new sensitivity analysis methodology for complex stochastic dynamics based on the Relative Entropy Rate. The method becomes computationally feasible at the stationary regime of the process and involves the calculation of…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2013-04-16 Yannis Pantazis , Markos A. Katsoulakis

The utilization of online stochastic algorithms is popular in large-scale learning settings due to their ability to compute updates on the fly, without the need to store and process data in large batches. When a constant step-size is used,…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-07-19 Stefan Vlaski , Elsa Rizk , Ali H. Sayed

We investigate different mean-field-like approximations for stochastic dynamics on graphs, within the framework of a cluster-variational approach. In analogy with its equilibrium counterpart, this approach allows one to give a unified view…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2017-07-31 Alessandro Pelizzola , Marco Pretti

This paper presents theoretical advances in the application of the Stochastic Partial Differential Equation (SPDE) approach in geostatistics. We show a general approach to construct stationary models related to a wide class of linear SPDEs,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-07-30 Ricardo Carrizo Vergara , Denis Allard , Nicolas Desassis

Computational multi-scale methods capitalize on a large time-scale separation to efficiently simulate slow dynamics over long time intervals. For stochastic systems, one often aims at resolving the statistics of the slowest dynamics. This…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2021-05-14 Kristian Debrabant , Giovanni Samaey , Przemysław Zieliński

We consider the problem of approximating the stationary distribution of an ergodic Markov chain given a set of sampled transitions. Classical simulation-based approaches assume access to the underlying process so that trajectories of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-03-03 Junfeng Wen , Bo Dai , Lihong Li , Dale Schuurmans

We present an approach for synthesising observational data with elastodynamic finite element models by extending the statistical finite element method (statFEM) framework. The proposed formulation adopts a Bayesian filtering approach to…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2026-04-15 Igor Kavrakov , Yaswanth Sai Jetti , Ahmet Oguzhan Yuksel , Fehmi Cirak